JThom Analytics Logo
Arkansas logo

Arkansas #16

Team Page

26-8
Overall
13-5
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
2.0
Avg Seed
Southeastern logo

Team Schedule

Arkansas logo

Away

5-5
Florida logo
#4
Michigan State logo
#11
Alabama logo
#17
Georgia logo
#31
Oklahoma logo
#37
Auburn logo
#39
Missouri logo
#50
Ole Miss logo
#61
LSU logo
#68
Mississippi State logo
#94

Neutral

4-2
Duke logo
#1
Houston logo
#5
Vanderbilt logo
#12
Texas Tech logo
#22
Oklahoma logo
#37
Ole Miss logo
#61

Home

17-1
Vanderbilt logo
#12
Tennessee logo
#15
Louisville logo
#19
Kentucky logo
#27
Auburn logo
#39
Texas A&M logo
#41
Texas logo
#42
Missouri logo
#50
LSU logo
#68
South Carolina logo
#98
Fresno State logo
#139
Winthrop logo
#155
Central Arkansas logo
#156
Queens (NC) logo
#191
James Madison logo
#202
Samford logo
#211
Southern logo
#265
Jackson State logo
#337

Schedule Chart

Arkansas logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Southern logo
#26599%98%109-77
Nov 8Away
Michigan State logo
#1132%15%66-69
Nov 11Home
Central Arkansas logo
#15697%92%93-56
Nov 14Home
Samford logo
#21198%95%79-75
Nov 18Home
Winthrop logo
#15597%92%84-83
Nov 21Home
Jackson State logo
#337100%99%115-61
Nov 27Neutral
Duke logo
#123%10%71-80
Dec 3Home
Louisville logo
#1963%38%89-80
Dec 6Home
Fresno State logo
#13996%90%82-58
Dec 13Neutral
Texas Tech logo
#2256%31%93-86
Dec 16Home
Queens (NC) logo
#19198%94%108-80
Dec 20Neutral
Houston logo
#531%14%85-94
Dec 29Home
James Madison logo
#20298%95%103-74
Jan 3Home
Tennessee logo
#1561%37%86-75
Jan 7Away
Ole Miss logo
#6171%47%94-87
Jan 10Away
Auburn logo
#3956%31%73-95
Jan 14Home
South Carolina logo
#9893%83%108-74
Jan 17Away
Georgia logo
#3152%28%76-90
Jan 20Home
Vanderbilt logo
#1257%33%93-68
Jan 24Home
LSU logo
#6888%73%85-81
Jan 27Away
Oklahoma logo
#3756%31%83-79
Jan 31Home
Kentucky logo
#2771%47%77-85
Feb 7Away
Mississippi State logo
#9482%63%88-68
Feb 10Away
LSU logo
#6873%50%91-62
Feb 14Home
Auburn logo
#3977%55%88-75
Feb 18Away
Alabama logo
#1739%19%115-117
Feb 21Home
Missouri logo
#5082%62%94-86
Feb 25Home
Texas A&M logo
#4177%55%99-84
Feb 28Away
Florida logo
#422%9%77-111
Mar 4Home
Texas logo
#4277%56%105-85
Mar 7Away
Missouri logo
#5063%38%88-84
Mar 13Neutral
Oklahoma logo
#3768%42%82-79
Mar 14Neutral
Ole Miss logo
#6181%60%93-90
Mar 15Neutral
Vanderbilt logo
#1245%22%86-75

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%FloridaDukeHoustonMichigan StateAlabamaVanderbiltGeorgiaTexas TechOklahomaAuburnVanderbiltTennesseeMissouriLouisvilleOklahomaOle MissKentuckyLSUAuburnTexas A&MTexasOle MissMissouriMississippi StateLSUSouth CarolinaFresno StateWinthropCentral ArkansasQueens (NC)Difficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games4-0, 0 left
Record:
26-8
#50 Fcst:
18.0-16.0
Act Win %:
76%
#50 Fcst %:
53%
TWV:
+8.0
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 30 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Arkansas logo
0510152025Jackson State Location: Home 11/21 Win Probability: 100%100%H1Southern Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 99%99%H2Samford Location: Home 11/14 Win Probability: 98%98%H3James Madison Location: Home 12/29 Win Probability: 98%98%H4Queens (NC) Location: Home 12/16 Win Probability: 98%98%H5Central Arkansas Location: Home 11/11 Win Probability: 97%97%H6Winthrop Location: Home 11/18 Win Probability: 97%97%H7Fresno State Location: Home 12/06 Win Probability: 96%96%H8South Carolina Location: Home 01/14 Win Probability: 93%93%H9LSU Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 88%88%H10Mississippi State Location: Away 02/07 Win Probability: 82%82%A11Missouri Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 82%82%H12Ole Miss Location: Neutral 03/14 Win Probability: 81%81%N13Texas Location: Home 03/04 Win Probability: 77%77%H14Texas A&M Location: Home 02/25 Win Probability: 77%77%H15Auburn Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 77%77%H16LSU Location: Away 02/10 Win Probability: 73%73%A17Ole Miss Location: Away 01/07 Win Probability: 71%71%A18Oklahoma Location: Neutral 03/13 Win Probability: 68%68%N19Louisville Location: Home 12/03 Win Probability: 63%63%H20Missouri Location: Away 03/07 Win Probability: 63%63%A21Tennessee Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 61%61%H22Vanderbilt Location: Home 01/20 Win Probability: 57%57%H23Texas Tech Location: Neutral 12/13 Win Probability: 56%56%N24Oklahoma Location: Away 01/27 Win Probability: 56%56%A25Vanderbilt Location: Neutral 03/15 Win Probability: 45%45%N2626WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
2In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
26100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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