JThom Analytics Logo
CSUN logo

CSUN #178

Team Page

19-15
Overall
13-7
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Big West logo

Team Schedule

CSUN logo

Away

7-7
Stanford logo
#62
Northern Iowa logo
#66
UC Irvine logo
#105
North Dakota State logo
#115
Hawaii logo
#117
California-San Diego logo
#124
UC Santa Barbara logo
#130
UC Davis logo
#173
Cal State Fullerton logo
#189
Cal Poly logo
#220
Long Beach State logo
#251
UC Riverside logo
#263
North Dakota logo
#277
Delaware logo
#304
Bakersfield logo
#332

Neutral

1-3
UC Irvine logo
#105
California-San Diego logo
#124
Idaho logo
#145
Idaho State logo
#268

Home

10-3
UC Irvine logo
#105
Hawaii logo
#117
California-San Diego logo
#124
UC Santa Barbara logo
#130
Troy logo
#134
Fresno State logo
#139
UC Davis logo
#173
Cal State Fullerton logo
#189
Cal Poly logo
#220
Long Beach State logo
#251
UC Riverside logo
#263
Sacramento State logo
#274
Bakersfield logo
#332
La Sierra logo
Non D1
Nobel logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

CSUN logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Nobel logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 6Away
Northern Iowa logo
#6610%50%57-86
Nov 9Away
North Dakota logo
#27765%94%93-85
Nov 11Away
North Dakota State logo
#11521%70%68-90
Nov 16Home
Troy logo
#13449%90%94-85
Nov 26Neutral
Idaho logo
#14541%87%64-78
Nov 28Neutral
Idaho State logo
#26874%96%50-82
Dec 4Home
Bakersfield logo
#33292%99%87-66
Dec 6Away
UC Irvine logo
#10519%67%71-85
Dec 10Home
Fresno State logo
#13951%90%89-87
Dec 13Away
Delaware logo
#30472%96%88-66
Dec 19Home
La Sierra logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 22Home
Sacramento State logo
#27483%98%100-88
Dec 27Away
Stanford logo
#629%47%80-88
Jan 1Away
UC Davis logo
#17336%84%80-89
Jan 3Home
UC Santa Barbara logo
#13048%89%74-65
Jan 8Home
Cal Poly logo
#22072%96%95-90
Jan 10Away
Cal State Fullerton logo
#18941%86%79-86
Jan 15Away
California-San Diego logo
#12424%74%84-79
Jan 17Home
Long Beach State logo
#25179%97%80-87
Jan 24Away
Hawaii logo
#11721%70%
Jan 29Home
UC Davis logo
#17360%93%94-78
Jan 31Home
California-San Diego logo
#12446%88%81-64
Feb 5Away
Cal Poly logo
#22049%90%97-96
Feb 7Home
UC Riverside logo
#26381%97%88-74
Feb 14Home
Hawaii logo
#11741%86%84-60
Feb 19Away
UC Santa Barbara logo
#13026%75%85-83
Feb 21Away
Long Beach State logo
#25158%92%78-76
Feb 26Home
UC Irvine logo
#10538%85%67-68
Feb 28Away
UC Riverside logo
#26362%93%84-95
Mar 5Away
Bakersfield logo
#33281%97%86-84
Mar 7Home
Cal State Fullerton logo
#18965%94%77-90
Mar 12Neutral
California-San Diego logo
#12433%83%80-70
Mar 13Neutral
UC Irvine logo
#10527%78%78-93

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%StanfordNorthern IowaUC IrvineNorth Dakota StateHawaiiCalifornia-San DiegoUC Santa BarbaraUC IrvineCalifornia-San DiegoUC DavisUC IrvineCal State FullertonHawaiiIdahoCalifornia-San DiegoUC Santa BarbaraCal PolyTroyFresno StateLong Beach StateUC DavisUC RiversideCal State FullertonNorth DakotaDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games6-2, 2 left
Record:
18-13
#50 Fcst:
26.6-4.4
Act Win %:
58%
#50 Fcst %:
86%
TWV:
-8.6
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 24 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

CSUN logo
05101520Nobel Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H19La Sierra Location: Home 12/19 Win Probability: 100%100%H20Hawaii Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 21%21%A21Bakersfield Location: Home 12/04 Win Probability: 92%92%H1Sacramento State Location: Home 12/22 Win Probability: 83%83%H2UC Riverside Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 81%81%H3Bakersfield Location: Away 03/05 Win Probability: 81%81%A4Delaware Location: Away 12/13 Win Probability: 72%72%A5Cal Poly Location: Home 01/08 Win Probability: 72%72%H6North Dakota Location: Away 11/09 Win Probability: 65%65%A7UC Davis Location: Home 01/29 Win Probability: 60%60%H8Long Beach State Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 58%58%A9Fresno State Location: Home 12/10 Win Probability: 51%51%H10Troy Location: Home 11/16 Win Probability: 49%49%H11Cal Poly Location: Away 02/05 Win Probability: 49%49%A12UC Santa Barbara Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 48%48%H13California-San Diego Location: Home 01/31 Win Probability: 46%46%H14Hawaii Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 41%41%H15California-San Diego Location: Neutral 03/12 Win Probability: 33%33%N16UC Santa Barbara Location: Away 02/19 Win Probability: 26%26%A17California-San Diego Location: Away 01/15 Win Probability: 24%24%A1818WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
19100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

Loading rank history...

Projected Wins History

Loading historical data...

Projected Standings History

Loading historical data...

First Place Probability History

Loading historical data...

NCAA Tournament Bid History

Loading NCAA bid history...

NCAA Tournament Progression History

Loading NCAA progression history...