JThom Analytics Logo
Utah Valley logo

Utah Valley #88

Team Page

22-11
Overall
14-4
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Western Athletic logo

Team Schedule

Utah Valley logo

Away

6-7
San Diego State logo
#48
Boise State logo
#57
California Baptist logo
#104
Fresno State logo
#139
Bowling Green logo
#154
UT Arlington logo
#175
Utah Tech logo
#203
Utah Tech logo
#203
Tarleton State logo
#224
Tarleton State logo
#224
Abilene Christian logo
#261
Southern Utah logo
#266
Southern Utah logo
#266

Neutral

4-1
California Baptist logo
#104
UC Santa Barbara logo
#130
UT Arlington logo
#175
Samford logo
#211
South Dakota State logo
#215

Home

12-0
California Baptist logo
#104
California Baptist logo
#104
UC Irvine logo
#105
UT Arlington logo
#175
UT Arlington logo
#175
Utah Tech logo
#203
Weber State logo
#209
Tarleton State logo
#224
Abilene Christian logo
#261
Abilene Christian logo
#261
Southern Utah logo
#266
Idaho State logo
#268
Bethesda logo
Non D1
West Coast Baptist logo
Non D1
Westminster (UT) logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Utah Valley logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 4Home
West Coast Baptist logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 8Away
Boise State logo
#5726%45%77-101
Nov 12Home
Westminster (UT) logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 15Away
Fresno State logo
#13960%78%74-75
Nov 19Home
UC Irvine logo
#10570%85%79-72
Nov 25Neutral
South Dakota State logo
#21586%94%75-52
Nov 26Neutral
Samford logo
#21185%93%89-45
Dec 3Away
San Diego State logo
#4820%37%66-77
Dec 6Away
Bowling Green logo
#15464%80%82-71
Dec 10Home
Idaho State logo
#26894%98%73-69
Dec 13Neutral
UC Santa Barbara logo
#13069%84%68-53
Dec 17Home
Weber State logo
#20990%95%90-74
Dec 20Home
Bethesda logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 29Home
California Baptist logo
#10470%85%73-66
Jan 1Away
Tarleton State logo
#22480%91%91-85
Jan 3Away
Abilene Christian logo
#26185%93%68-85
Jan 8Home
Southern Utah logo
#26694%98%89-72
Jan 10Home
Utah Tech logo
#20389%95%92-76
Jan 17Home
UT Arlington logo
#17586%93%86-74
Jan 21Away
Southern Utah logo
#26686%94%70-84
Jan 24Away
California Baptist logo
#10447%67%71-78
Jan 29Away
Tarleton State logo
#22480%91%83-55
Feb 5Home
Abilene Christian logo
#26194%97%68-55
Feb 7Home
UT Arlington logo
#17586%93%81-60
Feb 12Away
Utah Tech logo
#20375%88%77-81
Feb 19Home
California Baptist logo
#10470%85%65-46
Feb 21Away
UT Arlington logo
#17569%84%66-54
Feb 26Home
Tarleton State logo
#22492%96%79-72
Feb 28Home
Abilene Christian logo
#26194%97%74-67
Mar 5Away
Southern Utah logo
#26686%94%92-88
Mar 7Away
Utah Tech logo
#20375%88%104-101
Mar 13Neutral
UT Arlington logo
#17579%90%67-65
Mar 14Neutral
California Baptist logo
#10459%78%61-63

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%San Diego StateBoise StateCalifornia BaptistCalifornia BaptistFresno StateBowling GreenUT ArlingtonUC Santa BarbaraCalifornia BaptistCalifornia BaptistUC IrvineUtah TechUtah TechUT ArlingtonTarleton StateTarleton StateAbilene ChristianSamfordUT ArlingtonUT ArlingtonSouth Dakota StateSouthern UtahSouthern UtahDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games7-0, 3 left
Record:
22-8
#50 Fcst:
25.9-4.1
Act Win %:
73%
#50 Fcst %:
86%
TWV:
-3.9
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 23 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Utah Valley logo
0510152025West Coast Baptist Location: Home 11/04 Win Probability: 100%100%H23Westminster (UT) Location: Home 11/12 Win Probability: 100%100%H24Bethesda Location: Home 12/20 Win Probability: 100%100%H25Idaho State Location: Home 12/10 Win Probability: 94%94%H1Southern Utah Location: Home 01/08 Win Probability: 94%94%H2Abilene Christian Location: Home 02/05 Win Probability: 94%94%H3Abilene Christian Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 94%94%H4Tarleton State Location: Home 02/26 Win Probability: 92%92%H5Weber State Location: Home 12/17 Win Probability: 90%90%H6Utah Tech Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 89%89%H7Southern Utah Location: Away 03/05 Win Probability: 86%86%A8South Dakota State Location: Neutral 11/25 Win Probability: 86%86%N9UT Arlington Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 86%86%H10UT Arlington Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 86%86%H11Samford Location: Neutral 11/26 Win Probability: 85%85%N12Tarleton State Location: Away 01/01 Win Probability: 80%80%A13Tarleton State Location: Away 01/29 Win Probability: 80%80%A14UT Arlington Location: Neutral 03/13 Win Probability: 79%79%N15Utah Tech Location: Away 03/07 Win Probability: 75%75%A16UC Irvine Location: Home 11/19 Win Probability: 70%70%H17California Baptist Location: Home 12/29 Win Probability: 70%70%H18California Baptist Location: Home 02/19 Win Probability: 70%70%H19UT Arlington Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 69%69%A20UC Santa Barbara Location: Neutral 12/13 Win Probability: 69%69%N21Bowling Green Location: Away 12/06 Win Probability: 64%64%A2222WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
22100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

Loading rank history...

Projected Wins History

Loading historical data...

Projected Standings History

Loading historical data...

First Place Probability History

Loading historical data...

NCAA Tournament Bid History

Loading NCAA bid history...

NCAA Tournament Progression History

Loading NCAA progression history...