JThom Analytics Logo
California Baptist logo

California Baptist #104

Team Page

25-8
Overall
13-5
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
12.0
Avg Seed
Western Athletic logo

Team Schedule

California Baptist logo

Away

7-8
BYU logo
#29
Colorado logo
#75
Utah Valley logo
#88
Utah Valley logo
#88
UC Irvine logo
#105
Utah logo
#126
Eastern Washington logo
#164
Oregon State logo
#170
UT Arlington logo
#175
UT Arlington logo
#175
Utah Tech logo
#203
Tarleton State logo
#224
Abilene Christian logo
#261
Southern Utah logo
#266
Southern Utah logo
#266

Neutral

3-0
Utah Valley logo
#88
Utah Tech logo
#203
San Diego logo
#226

Home

15-0
Utah Valley logo
#88
UT Arlington logo
#175
Utah Tech logo
#203
Utah Tech logo
#203
Tarleton State logo
#224
Tarleton State logo
#224
Abilene Christian logo
#261
Abilene Christian logo
#261
UC Riverside logo
#263
Southern logo
#265
Southern Utah logo
#266
Sacramento State logo
#274
Grambling State logo
#296
USC Upstate logo
#305
Western Illinois logo
#364

Schedule Chart

California Baptist logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
USC Upstate logo
#30595%98%87-75
Nov 7Away
UC Irvine logo
#10538%67%69-61
Nov 14Home
Western Illinois logo
#36499%100%69-59
Nov 18Home
UC Riverside logo
#26392%97%80-57
Nov 21Home
Grambling State logo
#29694%98%72-59
Nov 25Neutral
San Diego logo
#22683%95%76-61
Nov 29Away
Oregon State logo
#17059%83%75-69
Dec 1Away
Colorado logo
#7525%53%70-78
Dec 3Away
BYU logo
#2910%27%60-91
Dec 6Away
Utah logo
#12646%74%85-91
Dec 12Away
Eastern Washington logo
#16459%83%88-83
Dec 16Home
Southern logo
#26592%98%75-67
Dec 20Home
Sacramento State logo
#27493%98%74-67
Dec 29Away
Utah Valley logo
#8830%59%66-73
Jan 1Away
UT Arlington logo
#17561%84%51-63
Jan 3Away
Tarleton State logo
#22474%91%76-81
Jan 8Home
Utah Tech logo
#20385%95%84-72
Jan 10Home
Southern Utah logo
#26692%98%58-55
Jan 15Away
Abilene Christian logo
#26180%93%74-58
Jan 21Home
Utah Tech logo
#20385%95%73-64
Jan 24Home
Utah Valley logo
#8853%79%78-71
Jan 31Away
UT Arlington logo
#17561%84%87-77
Feb 5Home
Tarleton State logo
#22488%96%56-55
Feb 7Home
Abilene Christian logo
#26192%97%65-63
Feb 12Away
Southern Utah logo
#26681%94%83-66
Feb 14Away
Utah Tech logo
#20368%88%65-70
Feb 19Away
Utah Valley logo
#8830%59%46-65
Feb 26Home
UT Arlington logo
#17581%93%68-56
Feb 28Home
Tarleton State logo
#22488%96%82-67
Mar 5Home
Abilene Christian logo
#26192%97%87-48
Mar 7Away
Southern Utah logo
#26681%94%82-75
Mar 13Neutral
Utah Tech logo
#20379%93%86-72
Mar 14Neutral
Utah Valley logo
#8841%71%63-61

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%BYUColoradoUtah ValleyUtah ValleyUC IrvineUtah ValleyUtahUtah ValleyEastern WashingtonOregon StateUT ArlingtonUT ArlingtonUtah TechTarleton StateUtah TechAbilene ChristianUT ArlingtonSouthern UtahSouthern UtahSan DiegoDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games13-0, 0 left
Record:
25-8
#50 Fcst:
28.3-4.7
Act Win %:
76%
#50 Fcst %:
86%
TWV:
-3.3
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 20 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

California Baptist logo
0510152025Western Illinois Location: Home 11/14 Win Probability: 99%99%H1USC Upstate Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 95%95%H2Grambling State Location: Home 11/21 Win Probability: 94%94%H3Sacramento State Location: Home 12/20 Win Probability: 93%93%H4Southern Utah Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 92%92%H5Southern Location: Home 12/16 Win Probability: 92%92%H6UC Riverside Location: Home 11/18 Win Probability: 92%92%H7Abilene Christian Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 92%92%H8Abilene Christian Location: Home 03/05 Win Probability: 92%92%H9Tarleton State Location: Home 02/05 Win Probability: 88%88%H10Tarleton State Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 88%88%H11Utah Tech Location: Home 01/08 Win Probability: 85%85%H12Utah Tech Location: Home 01/21 Win Probability: 85%85%H13San Diego Location: Neutral 11/25 Win Probability: 83%83%N14Southern Utah Location: Away 02/12 Win Probability: 81%81%A15Southern Utah Location: Away 03/07 Win Probability: 81%81%A16UT Arlington Location: Home 02/26 Win Probability: 81%81%H17Abilene Christian Location: Away 01/15 Win Probability: 80%80%A18Utah Tech Location: Neutral 03/13 Win Probability: 79%79%N19UT Arlington Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 61%61%A20Oregon State Location: Away 11/29 Win Probability: 59%59%A21Eastern Washington Location: Away 12/12 Win Probability: 59%59%A22Utah Valley Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 53%53%H23Utah Valley Location: Neutral 03/14 Win Probability: 41%41%N24UC Irvine Location: Away 11/07 Win Probability: 38%38%A2525WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
12In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
25100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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