JThom Analytics Logo
UC Irvine logo

UC Irvine #105

Team Page

22-12
Overall
16-4
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Big West logo

Team Schedule

UC Irvine logo

Away

8-4
Utah Valley logo
#88
Hawaii logo
#117
California-San Diego logo
#124
UC Santa Barbara logo
#130
UC Davis logo
#173
CSUN logo
#178
Cal State Fullerton logo
#189
Cal Poly logo
#220
San Jose State logo
#227
Long Beach State logo
#251
UC Riverside logo
#263
Norfolk State logo
#321
Bakersfield logo
#332

Neutral

3-2
North Dakota State logo
#115
Hawaii logo
#117
CSUN logo
#178
New Mexico State logo
#187
South Dakota State logo
#215

Home

10-4
Northern Iowa logo
#66
Belmont logo
#69
California Baptist logo
#104
Hawaii logo
#117
California-San Diego logo
#124
UC Santa Barbara logo
#130
UC Davis logo
#173
CSUN logo
#178
Cal State Fullerton logo
#189
Weber State logo
#209
Cal Poly logo
#220
Long Beach State logo
#251
UC Riverside logo
#263
Bakersfield logo
#332
Bethesda logo
Non D1
Lincoln (CA) logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

UC Irvine logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Bethesda logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 7Home
California Baptist logo
#10462%85%61-69
Nov 10Home
Lincoln (CA) logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 15Home
Weber State logo
#20986%95%79-70
Nov 19Away
Utah Valley logo
#8830%59%72-79
Nov 22Home
Northern Iowa logo
#6644%73%69-70
Nov 25Neutral
New Mexico State logo
#18775%91%45-57
Nov 26Neutral
South Dakota State logo
#21580%94%64-52
Nov 30Away
San Jose State logo
#22774%91%72-63
Dec 4Home
UC Riverside logo
#26392%97%73-60
Dec 6Home
CSUN logo
#17881%94%85-71
Dec 19Home
Belmont logo
#6944%73%58-84
Dec 21Neutral
North Dakota State logo
#11553%80%74-73
Dec 22Away
Norfolk State logo
#32190%97%89-70
Jan 1Away
Bakersfield logo
#33292%97%81-77
Jan 3Away
Cal State Fullerton logo
#18964%86%86-64
Jan 8Home
Long Beach State logo
#25191%97%74-64
Jan 10Away
Hawaii logo
#11741%70%
Jan 17Away
UC Davis logo
#17360%84%72-75
Jan 22Away
UC Riverside logo
#26381%93%80-66
Jan 24Away
California-San Diego logo
#12445%74%61-59
Jan 29Home
Hawaii logo
#11765%86%87-76
Feb 5Home
Bakersfield logo
#33297%99%78-62
Feb 7Away
UC Santa Barbara logo
#13048%75%79-84
Feb 12Away
Cal Poly logo
#22072%90%73-79
Feb 14Home
Cal State Fullerton logo
#18983%94%86-65
Feb 19Away
Long Beach State logo
#25178%92%69-58
Feb 21Home
California-San Diego logo
#12469%88%69-71
Feb 26Away
CSUN logo
#17862%84%68-67
Feb 28Home
UC Santa Barbara logo
#13071%89%64-60
Mar 5Home
Cal Poly logo
#22087%96%107-85
Mar 7Home
UC Davis logo
#17380%93%79-69
Mar 13Neutral
CSUN logo
#17873%91%93-78
Mar 14Neutral
Hawaii logo
#11753%80%64-71

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%Utah ValleyHawaiiNorthern IowaBelmontCalifornia-San DiegoUC Santa BarbaraNorth Dakota StateHawaiiUC DavisCSUNCalifornia BaptistCal State FullertonHawaiiCalifornia-San DiegoUC Santa BarbaraCal PolyCSUNSan Jose StateNew Mexico StateLong Beach StateUC DavisUC RiversideCSUNSouth Dakota StateCal State FullertonDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games7-0, 2 left
Record:
21-10
#50 Fcst:
27.2-3.8
Act Win %:
68%
#50 Fcst %:
88%
TWV:
-6.2
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 25 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

UC Irvine logo
05101520Bethesda Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H22Lincoln (CA) Location: Home 11/10 Win Probability: 100%100%H23Hawaii Location: Away 01/10 Win Probability: 41%41%A24Bakersfield Location: Home 02/05 Win Probability: 97%97%H1UC Riverside Location: Home 12/04 Win Probability: 92%92%H2Bakersfield Location: Away 01/01 Win Probability: 92%92%A3Long Beach State Location: Home 01/08 Win Probability: 91%91%H4Norfolk State Location: Away 12/22 Win Probability: 90%90%A5Cal Poly Location: Home 03/05 Win Probability: 87%87%H6Weber State Location: Home 11/15 Win Probability: 86%86%H7Cal State Fullerton Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 83%83%H8CSUN Location: Home 12/06 Win Probability: 81%81%H9UC Riverside Location: Away 01/22 Win Probability: 81%81%A10South Dakota State Location: Neutral 11/26 Win Probability: 80%80%N11UC Davis Location: Home 03/07 Win Probability: 80%80%H12Long Beach State Location: Away 02/19 Win Probability: 78%78%A13San Jose State Location: Away 11/30 Win Probability: 74%74%A14CSUN Location: Neutral 03/13 Win Probability: 73%73%N15UC Santa Barbara Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 71%71%H16Hawaii Location: Home 01/29 Win Probability: 65%65%H17Cal State Fullerton Location: Away 01/03 Win Probability: 64%64%A18CSUN Location: Away 02/26 Win Probability: 62%62%A19North Dakota State Location: Neutral 12/21 Win Probability: 53%53%N20California-San Diego Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 45%45%A2121WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
22100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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