Sacramento State logo

Sacramento State #274

Team Page

8-23
Overall
6-12
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Big Sky logo

Team Schedule

Sacramento State logo

Away

0-16
UCLA logo
#26
Baylor logo
#47
California logo
#74
California Baptist logo
#104
Pacific logo
#113
Montana State logo
#133
Northern Colorado logo
#138
Idaho logo
#145
Portland State logo
#153
Eastern Washington logo
#164
UC Davis logo
#173
CSUN logo
#178
Montana logo
#185
Weber State logo
#209
Idaho State logo
#268
Northern Arizona logo
#325

Neutral

0-1
Idaho logo
#145

Home

8-4
UC Santa Barbara logo
#130
Montana State logo
#133
Northern Colorado logo
#138
Idaho logo
#145
Portland State logo
#153
Eastern Washington logo
#164
Montana logo
#185
Weber State logo
#209
Idaho State logo
#268
Presbyterian logo
#271
Northern Arizona logo
#325
Dominican (CA) logo
Non D1
San Francisco State logo
Non D1
William Jessup logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Sacramento State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 4Home
Dominican (CA) logo
Non D1100%100%W
Nov 7Home
William Jessup logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 11Home
UC Santa Barbara logo
#13024%89%87-92
Nov 14Away
UC Davis logo
#17316%84%73-77
Nov 16Home
Presbyterian logo
#27162%98%64-62
Nov 18Away
UCLA logo
#261%24%48-79
Nov 21Away
California logo
#744%52%67-91
Nov 25Home
San Francisco State logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 29Away
Pacific logo
#1138%70%54-68
Dec 2Away
Baylor logo
#472%37%88-110
Dec 20Away
California Baptist logo
#1047%67%67-74
Dec 22Away
CSUN logo
#17817%84%88-100
Jan 1Away
Idaho State logo
#26836%94%84-97
Jan 3Away
Weber State logo
#20923%88%82-95
Jan 10Away
Portland State logo
#15314%80%69-96
Jan 15Home
Northern Arizona logo
#32577%99%83-69
Jan 17Home
Northern Colorado logo
#13827%90%93-89
Jan 22Away
Idaho logo
#14513%79%76-86
Jan 24Away
Eastern Washington logo
#16416%83%67-75
Jan 29Home
Montana State logo
#13324%89%83-80
Jan 31Home
Montana logo
#18538%94%86-79
Feb 2Home
Weber State logo
#20944%95%104-90
Feb 7Home
Portland State logo
#15330%92%73-74
Feb 12Away
Northern Colorado logo
#13812%78%79-95
Feb 14Away
Northern Arizona logo
#32556%97%74-79
Feb 19Home
Eastern Washington logo
#16433%93%94-102
Feb 21Home
Idaho logo
#14528%91%80-86
Feb 26Away
Montana logo
#18518%85%73-81
Feb 28Away
Montana State logo
#13311%76%61-82
Mar 2Home
Idaho State logo
#26860%98%83-65
Mar 7Neutral
Idaho logo
#14518%87%45-68

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%UCLABaylorCaliforniaCalifornia BaptistPacificMontana StateNorthern ColoradoIdahoPortland StateEastern WashingtonUC DavisCSUNMontanaIdahoWeber StateUC Santa BarbaraMontana StateNorthern ColoradoIdahoPortland StateEastern WashingtonIdaho StateMontanaDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games5-1, 2 left
Record:
8-21
#50 Fcst:
23.9-5.1
Act Win %:
28%
#50 Fcst %:
83%
TWV:
-15.9
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 23 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Sacramento State logo
0510William Jessup Location: Home 11/07 Win Probability: 100%100%H9San Francisco State Location: Home 11/25 Win Probability: 100%100%H10Dominican (CA) Location: Home 11/04 Win Probability: 100%100%H1Northern Arizona Location: Home 01/15 Win Probability: 77%77%H2Presbyterian Location: Home 11/16 Win Probability: 62%62%H3Idaho State Location: Home 03/02 Win Probability: 60%60%H4Weber State Location: Home 02/02 Win Probability: 44%44%H5Montana Location: Home 01/31 Win Probability: 38%38%H6Northern Colorado Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 27%27%H7Montana State Location: Home 01/29 Win Probability: 24%24%H88WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
8100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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