Cal State Fullerton logo

Cal State Fullerton #189

Team Page

17-17
Overall
13-7
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Big West logo

Team Schedule

Cal State Fullerton logo

Away

6-9
SMU logo
#43
California logo
#74
Oklahoma State logo
#78
Wyoming logo
#103
UC Irvine logo
#105
Hawaii logo
#117
California-San Diego logo
#124
UC Santa Barbara logo
#130
UC Davis logo
#173
CSUN logo
#178
Cal Poly logo
#220
Portland logo
#225
Denver logo
#245
Long Beach State logo
#251
UC Riverside logo
#263
Bakersfield logo
#332

Neutral

2-2
St. Thomas (MN) logo
#108
Hawaii logo
#117
Northern Colorado logo
#138
UC Davis logo
#173

Home

8-4
UC Irvine logo
#105
Pacific logo
#113
Hawaii logo
#117
California-San Diego logo
#124
UC Santa Barbara logo
#130
UC Davis logo
#173
CSUN logo
#178
Cal Poly logo
#220
Long Beach State logo
#251
UC Riverside logo
#263
Pepperdine logo
#273
Bakersfield logo
#332
Bethesda logo
Non D1
Cal Tech logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Cal State Fullerton logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Cal Tech logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 8Away
Wyoming logo
#10317%67%82-92
Nov 10Away
California logo
#7410%52%65-93
Nov 15Home
Pacific logo
#11338%86%73-85
Nov 21Away
Portland logo
#22549%91%85-103
Nov 22Neutral
St. Thomas (MN) logo
#10825%78%88-80
Nov 23Neutral
Northern Colorado logo
#13836%86%93-97
Nov 29Home
Pepperdine logo
#27381%98%83-69
Dec 4Home
Cal Poly logo
#22070%96%91-94
Dec 6Away
Hawaii logo
#11719%70%
Dec 10Home
Bethesda logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 13Away
Denver logo
#24554%92%105-86
Dec 21Away
Oklahoma State logo
#7810%53%89-94
Dec 28Away
SMU logo
#435%33%63-110
Jan 1Home
UC Santa Barbara logo
#13045%89%95-84
Jan 3Home
UC Irvine logo
#10536%85%64-86
Jan 8Away
California-San Diego logo
#12422%74%88-71
Jan 10Home
CSUN logo
#17859%94%86-79
Jan 15Away
UC Davis logo
#17334%84%69-74
Jan 17Away
UC Riverside logo
#26359%93%72-81
Jan 22Home
Long Beach State logo
#25177%97%71-61
Jan 24Away
Cal Poly logo
#22046%90%93-78
Jan 31Away
UC Santa Barbara logo
#13024%75%69-83
Feb 5Home
UC Riverside logo
#26379%97%78-72
Feb 7Home
Bakersfield logo
#33291%99%82-66
Feb 12Away
Long Beach State logo
#25155%92%86-82
Feb 14Away
UC Irvine logo
#10517%67%65-86
Feb 19Home
UC Davis logo
#17358%93%93-92
Feb 21Away
Bakersfield logo
#33279%97%88-80
Feb 28Home
Hawaii logo
#11739%86%85-87
Mar 5Home
California-San Diego logo
#12443%88%75-71
Mar 7Away
CSUN logo
#17835%84%90-77
Mar 12Neutral
UC Davis logo
#17345%90%82-70
Mar 13Neutral
Hawaii logo
#11727%80%63-78

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%SMUCaliforniaOklahoma StateWyomingUC IrvineHawaiiCalifornia-San DiegoUC Santa BarbaraSt. Thomas (MN)HawaiiUC DavisCSUNUC IrvineNorthern ColoradoPacificHawaiiCalifornia-San DiegoUC Santa BarbaraCal PolyUC DavisPortlandDenverLong Beach StateUC DavisUC RiversideCSUNDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games5-1, 2 left
Record:
16-15
#50 Fcst:
25.9-5.1
Act Win %:
52%
#50 Fcst %:
83%
TWV:
-9.9
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 26 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Cal State Fullerton logo
051015Cal Tech Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H17Bethesda Location: Home 12/10 Win Probability: 100%100%H18Hawaii Location: Away 12/06 Win Probability: 19%19%A19Bakersfield Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 91%91%H1Pepperdine Location: Home 11/29 Win Probability: 81%81%H2UC Riverside Location: Home 02/05 Win Probability: 79%79%H3Bakersfield Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 79%79%A4Long Beach State Location: Home 01/22 Win Probability: 77%77%H5CSUN Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 59%59%H6UC Davis Location: Home 02/19 Win Probability: 58%58%H7Long Beach State Location: Away 02/12 Win Probability: 55%55%A8Denver Location: Away 12/13 Win Probability: 54%54%A9Cal Poly Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 46%46%A10UC Davis Location: Neutral 03/12 Win Probability: 45%45%N11UC Santa Barbara Location: Home 01/01 Win Probability: 45%45%H12California-San Diego Location: Home 03/05 Win Probability: 43%43%H13CSUN Location: Away 03/07 Win Probability: 35%35%A14St. Thomas (MN) Location: Neutral 11/22 Win Probability: 25%25%N15California-San Diego Location: Away 01/08 Win Probability: 22%22%A1616WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
17100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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