North Dakota logo

North Dakota #277

Team Page

16-19
Overall
10-6
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Summit logo

Team Schedule

North Dakota logo

Away

7-7
Alabama logo
#17
Nebraska logo
#18
Creighton logo
#77
St. Thomas (MN) logo
#108
North Dakota State logo
#115
Hawaii logo
#117
Idaho logo
#145
South Dakota State logo
#215
Denver logo
#245
Omaha logo
#253
UC Riverside logo
#263
South Dakota logo
#281
Oral Roberts logo
#311
Kansas City logo
#362
Western Illinois logo
#364

Neutral

2-2
St. Thomas (MN) logo
#108
North Dakota State logo
#115
Coastal Carolina logo
#241
Denver logo
#245

Home

6-7
St. Thomas (MN) logo
#108
North Dakota State logo
#115
Winthrop logo
#155
CSUN logo
#178
Montana logo
#185
South Dakota State logo
#215
Denver logo
#245
Omaha logo
#253
UC Riverside logo
#263
South Dakota logo
#281
Oral Roberts logo
#311
Kansas City logo
#362
Western Illinois logo
#364
Crown College logo
Non D1
Dakota State logo
Non D1
Mayville State logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

North Dakota logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
Alabama logo
#171%19%62-91
Nov 6Home
UC Riverside logo
#26358%97%70-74
Nov 9Home
CSUN logo
#17835%94%85-93
Nov 11Home
Mayville State logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 15Away
UC Riverside logo
#26334%93%76-74
Nov 19Away
Creighton logo
#774%53%60-75
Nov 22Neutral
Coastal Carolina logo
#24140%95%58-75
Nov 23Away
Western Illinois logo
#36482%99%78-69
Nov 28Away
Hawaii logo
#1178%70%
Dec 3Away
Idaho logo
#14512%79%58-90
Dec 6Home
Montana logo
#18536%94%75-79
Dec 10Home
Crown College logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 13Home
Western Illinois logo
#36492%100%66-69
Dec 18Home
Winthrop logo
#15529%92%90-88
Dec 21Away
Nebraska logo
#181%19%55-78
Dec 28Home
Dakota State logo
Non D1100%100%
Jan 1Home
Oral Roberts logo
#31171%99%72-61
Jan 3Home
South Dakota State logo
#21544%96%90-87
Jan 8Away
Omaha logo
#25331%93%79-90
Jan 10Away
Kansas City logo
#36279%99%81-79
Jan 15Home
St. Thomas (MN) logo
#10817%85%80-91
Jan 17Home
South Dakota logo
#28163%98%96-80
Jan 22Away
Oral Roberts logo
#31148%96%79-62
Jan 24Away
Denver logo
#24530%92%93-86
Jan 29Away
St. Thomas (MN) logo
#1087%68%81-80
Feb 5Home
Omaha logo
#25355%97%76-73
Feb 7Home
Denver logo
#24553%97%79-98
Feb 11Away
South Dakota logo
#28139%95%72-71
Feb 14Home
North Dakota State logo
#11518%86%66-83
Feb 19Home
Kansas City logo
#36291%100%85-70
Feb 21Away
South Dakota State logo
#21523%89%83-91
Feb 28Away
North Dakota State logo
#1158%70%63-96
Mar 6Neutral
Denver logo
#24540%96%83-67
Mar 7Neutral
St. Thomas (MN) logo
#10810%78%67-66
Mar 8Neutral
North Dakota State logo
#11511%80%62-70

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%AlabamaNebraskaCreightonSt. Thomas (MN)North Dakota StateHawaiiSt. Thomas (MN)IdahoNorth Dakota StateSt. Thomas (MN)North Dakota StateSouth Dakota StateWinthropDenverOmahaUC RiversideCSUNMontanaSouth DakotaDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games9-4, 3 left
Record:
15-16
#50 Fcst:
26.5-4.5
Act Win %:
48%
#50 Fcst %:
85%
TWV:
-11.5
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 19 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

North Dakota logo
051015Mayville State Location: Home 11/11 Win Probability: 100%100%H16Crown College Location: Home 12/10 Win Probability: 100%100%H17Dakota State Location: Home 12/28 Win Probability: 100%100%H18Hawaii Location: Away 11/28 Win Probability: 8%8%A19Kansas City Location: Home 02/19 Win Probability: 91%91%H1Western Illinois Location: Away 11/23 Win Probability: 82%82%A2Kansas City Location: Away 01/10 Win Probability: 79%79%A3Oral Roberts Location: Home 01/01 Win Probability: 71%71%H4South Dakota Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 63%63%H5Omaha Location: Home 02/05 Win Probability: 55%55%H6Oral Roberts Location: Away 01/22 Win Probability: 48%48%A7South Dakota State Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 44%44%H8Denver Location: Neutral 03/06 Win Probability: 40%40%N9South Dakota Location: Away 02/11 Win Probability: 39%39%A10UC Riverside Location: Away 11/15 Win Probability: 34%34%A11Denver Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 30%30%A12Winthrop Location: Home 12/18 Win Probability: 29%29%H13St. Thomas (MN) Location: Neutral 03/07 Win Probability: 10%10%N14St. Thomas (MN) Location: Away 01/29 Win Probability: 7%7%A1515WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
16100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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