Cal Poly logo

Cal Poly #220

Team Page

12-21
Overall
10-10
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Big West logo

Team Schedule

Cal Poly logo

Away

5-11
UCLA logo
#26
USC logo
#86
Colorado State logo
#91
UC Irvine logo
#105
Seattle logo
#116
Hawaii logo
#117
California-San Diego logo
#124
Utah logo
#126
UC Santa Barbara logo
#130
UC Davis logo
#173
CSUN logo
#178
Montana logo
#185
Cal State Fullerton logo
#189
Long Beach State logo
#251
UC Riverside logo
#263
Northern Arizona logo
#325
Bakersfield logo
#332

Neutral

0-2
California-San Diego logo
#124
Southeast Missouri State logo
#232

Home

6-6
UC Irvine logo
#105
Hawaii logo
#117
California-San Diego logo
#124
UC Santa Barbara logo
#130
Montana State logo
#133
Idaho logo
#145
UC Davis logo
#173
CSUN logo
#178
Cal State Fullerton logo
#189
Long Beach State logo
#251
UC Riverside logo
#263
Bakersfield logo
#332
Pacific Lutheran logo
Non D1
Redlands logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Cal Poly logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
USC logo
#869%57%64-94
Nov 5Home
Pacific Lutheran logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 8Away
Seattle logo
#11614%70%73-71
Nov 12Away
Colorado State logo
#9110%60%79-93
Nov 14Away
Montana logo
#18530%85%82-90
Nov 20Away
Utah logo
#12617%74%92-85
Nov 24Away
Northern Arizona logo
#32570%97%87-93
Nov 25Neutral
Southeast Missouri State logo
#23255%95%68-84
Nov 29Home
Redlands logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 4Away
Cal State Fullerton logo
#18930%86%94-91
Dec 6Home
UC Riverside logo
#26373%97%84-88
Dec 16Home
Montana State logo
#13337%89%80-83
Dec 19Away
UCLA logo
#262%24%87-108
Dec 21Home
Idaho logo
#14542%91%80-83
Jan 1Home
California-San Diego logo
#12435%88%67-65
Jan 3Away
Long Beach State logo
#25147%92%66-74
Jan 8Away
CSUN logo
#17828%84%90-95
Jan 10Home
UC Davis logo
#17349%93%84-78
Jan 15Home
Hawaii logo
#11731%86%66-86
Jan 22Away
UC Santa Barbara logo
#13018%75%67-107
Jan 24Home
Cal State Fullerton logo
#18954%94%78-93
Jan 29Away
Bakersfield logo
#33273%97%104-79
Jan 31Away
UC Riverside logo
#26351%93%94-87
Feb 5Home
CSUN logo
#17851%94%96-97
Feb 7Away
UC Davis logo
#17327%84%58-67
Feb 12Home
UC Irvine logo
#10528%85%79-73
Feb 14Home
UC Santa Barbara logo
#13037%89%89-79
Feb 19Away
Hawaii logo
#11714%70%
Feb 26Home
Long Beach State logo
#25170%97%102-92
Feb 28Away
California-San Diego logo
#12417%74%64-80
Mar 5Away
UC Irvine logo
#10513%67%85-107
Mar 7Home
Bakersfield logo
#33288%99%108-76
Mar 11Neutral
California-San Diego logo
#12424%83%69-72

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%UCLAUSCColorado StateUC IrvineSeattleHawaiiCalifornia-San DiegoUtahUC Santa BarbaraCalifornia-San DiegoUC DavisCSUNUC IrvineMontanaCal State FullertonHawaiiCalifornia-San DiegoUC Santa BarbaraMontana StateIdahoLong Beach StateUC DavisUC RiversideCSUNCal State FullertonDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games3-3, 2 left
Record:
11-19
#50 Fcst:
25.0-5.0
Act Win %:
37%
#50 Fcst %:
83%
TWV:
-14.0
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 25 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Cal Poly logo
0510Pacific Lutheran Location: Home 11/05 Win Probability: 100%100%H12Redlands Location: Home 11/29 Win Probability: 100%100%H13Hawaii Location: Away 02/19 Win Probability: 14%14%A14Bakersfield Location: Home 03/07 Win Probability: 88%88%H1Bakersfield Location: Away 01/29 Win Probability: 73%73%A2Long Beach State Location: Home 02/26 Win Probability: 70%70%H3UC Riverside Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 51%51%A4UC Davis Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 49%49%H5UC Santa Barbara Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 37%37%H6California-San Diego Location: Home 01/01 Win Probability: 35%35%H7Cal State Fullerton Location: Away 12/04 Win Probability: 30%30%A8UC Irvine Location: Home 02/12 Win Probability: 28%28%H9Utah Location: Away 11/20 Win Probability: 17%17%A10Seattle Location: Away 11/08 Win Probability: 14%14%A1111WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
12100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

Loading rank history...

Projected Wins History

Loading historical data...

Projected Standings History

Loading historical data...

First Place Probability History

Loading historical data...

NCAA Tournament Bid History

Loading NCAA bid history...

NCAA Tournament Progression History

Loading NCAA progression history...