Tarleton State logo

Tarleton State #224

Team Page

10-22
Overall
5-13
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Western Athletic logo

Team Schedule

Tarleton State logo

Away

4-11
Cincinnati logo
#33
SMU logo
#43
Baylor logo
#47
LSU logo
#68
Utah Valley logo
#88
California Baptist logo
#104
California Baptist logo
#104
UT Arlington logo
#175
UT Arlington logo
#175
Utah Tech logo
#203
Rice logo
#222
Abilene Christian logo
#261
Southern Utah logo
#266
Southern Utah logo
#266
Mississippi Valley State logo
#365

Neutral

0-1
Abilene Christian logo
#261

Home

6-6
Utah Valley logo
#88
Utah Valley logo
#88
California Baptist logo
#104
Merrimack College logo
#171
UT Arlington logo
#175
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi logo
#181
Utah Tech logo
#203
Utah Tech logo
#203
Abilene Christian logo
#261
Abilene Christian logo
#261
Southern Utah logo
#266
Florida A&M logo
#307
Angelo State logo
Non D1
Cameron logo
Non D1
Howard Payne logo
Non D1
Midwestern State logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Tarleton State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
SMU logo
#433%33%76-96
Nov 5Away
LSU logo
#686%50%60-96
Nov 8Home
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi logo
#18148%94%85-77
Nov 11Home
Merrimack College logo
#17146%93%76-62
Nov 14Away
Baylor logo
#474%37%81-94
Nov 17Home
Angelo State logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 20Away
Rice logo
#22237%90%90-74
Nov 28Home
Midwestern State logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 1Away
Cincinnati logo
#333%30%58-76
Dec 3Home
Howard Payne logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 7Home
Cameron logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 16Away
Mississippi Valley State logo
#36591%99%88-64
Dec 19Home
Florida A&M logo
#30780%98%78-54
Dec 29Away
UT Arlington logo
#17525%84%69-63
Jan 1Home
Utah Valley logo
#8820%79%85-91
Jan 3Home
California Baptist logo
#10426%85%81-76
Jan 8Home
Abilene Christian logo
#26170%97%80-84
Jan 15Away
Southern Utah logo
#26648%94%105-106
Jan 17Away
Utah Tech logo
#20331%88%71-75
Jan 21Away
UT Arlington logo
#17525%84%64-71
Jan 29Home
Utah Valley logo
#8820%79%55-83
Jan 31Home
Utah Tech logo
#20355%95%59-65
Feb 5Away
California Baptist logo
#10412%67%55-56
Feb 7Away
Southern Utah logo
#26648%94%62-59
Feb 14Away
Abilene Christian logo
#26147%93%59-73
Feb 16Home
Abilene Christian logo
#26170%97%65-62
Feb 19Home
Southern Utah logo
#26671%98%78-74
Feb 21Home
Utah Tech logo
#20355%95%72-80
Feb 26Away
Utah Valley logo
#888%59%72-79
Feb 28Away
California Baptist logo
#10412%67%67-82
Mar 5Home
UT Arlington logo
#17547%93%60-65
Mar 11Neutral
Abilene Christian logo
#26159%96%78-84

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%CincinnatiSMUBaylorLSUUtah ValleyCalifornia BaptistCalifornia BaptistUtah ValleyUtah ValleyUT ArlingtonUT ArlingtonCalifornia BaptistUtah TechRiceMerrimack CollegeAbilene ChristianUT ArlingtonTexas A&M-Corpus ChristiSouthern UtahSouthern UtahDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games4-4, 4 left
Record:
10-18
#50 Fcst:
22.7-5.3
Act Win %:
36%
#50 Fcst %:
81%
TWV:
-12.7
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 20 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Tarleton State logo
0510Angelo State Location: Home 11/17 Win Probability: 100%100%H11Midwestern State Location: Home 11/28 Win Probability: 100%100%H12Howard Payne Location: Home 12/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H13Cameron Location: Home 12/07 Win Probability: 100%100%H14Mississippi Valley State Location: Away 12/16 Win Probability: 91%91%A1Florida A&M Location: Home 12/19 Win Probability: 80%80%H2Southern Utah Location: Home 02/19 Win Probability: 71%71%H3Abilene Christian Location: Home 02/16 Win Probability: 70%70%H4Southern Utah Location: Away 02/07 Win Probability: 48%48%A5Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Location: Home 11/08 Win Probability: 48%48%H6Merrimack College Location: Home 11/11 Win Probability: 46%46%H7Rice Location: Away 11/20 Win Probability: 37%37%A8California Baptist Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 26%26%H9UT Arlington Location: Away 12/29 Win Probability: 25%25%A1010WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
10100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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