Abilene Christian logo

Abilene Christian #261

Team Page

11-22
Overall
5-13
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Western Athletic logo

Team Schedule

Abilene Christian logo

Away

3-12
Arizona logo
#3
BYU logo
#29
Utah Valley logo
#88
Utah Valley logo
#88
Stephen F. Austin logo
#92
California Baptist logo
#104
California Baptist logo
#104
UT Arlington logo
#175
Utah Tech logo
#203
Tarleton State logo
#224
Tarleton State logo
#224
Texas State logo
#231
Southern Utah logo
#266
Pepperdine logo
#273
Texas Southern logo
#303

Neutral

2-2
William & Mary logo
#161
Utah Tech logo
#203
Tarleton State logo
#224
UTSA logo
#340

Home

6-5
Utah Valley logo
#88
California Baptist logo
#104
UT Arlington logo
#175
UT Arlington logo
#175
New Mexico State logo
#187
Utah Tech logo
#203
Utah Tech logo
#203
Tarleton State logo
#224
Omaha logo
#253
Southern Utah logo
#266
Southern Utah logo
#266
Jarvis Christian logo
Non D1
McMurry logo
Non D1
Southwestern Adventist logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Abilene Christian logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
McMurry logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 6Home
Omaha logo
#25360%97%73-71
Nov 11Home
Southwestern Adventist logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 14Away
Stephen F. Austin logo
#926%61%66-76
Nov 18Away
Texas State logo
#23131%91%49-63
Nov 24Neutral
UTSA logo
#34079%99%61-50
Nov 25Neutral
William & Mary logo
#16123%88%58-92
Nov 28Home
Jarvis Christian logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 2Away
Pepperdine logo
#27341%94%71-63
Dec 6Home
New Mexico State logo
#18741%94%77-69
Dec 16Away
Arizona logo
#30%8%62-96
Dec 19Away
BYU logo
#292%27%67-85
Dec 22Away
Texas Southern logo
#30351%96%75-68
Jan 1Home
Utah Tech logo
#20346%95%64-79
Jan 3Home
Utah Valley logo
#8815%79%85-68
Jan 8Away
Tarleton State logo
#22430%91%84-80
Jan 10Away
UT Arlington logo
#17519%84%72-82
Jan 15Home
California Baptist logo
#10420%85%58-74
Jan 17Away
Southern Utah logo
#26640%94%52-74
Jan 29Home
Utah Tech logo
#20346%95%70-76
Jan 31Home
Southern Utah logo
#26664%98%76-79
Feb 5Away
Utah Valley logo
#886%59%55-68
Feb 7Away
California Baptist logo
#1048%67%63-65
Feb 12Home
UT Arlington logo
#17539%93%67-63
Feb 14Home
Tarleton State logo
#22453%96%73-59
Feb 16Away
Tarleton State logo
#22430%91%62-65
Feb 21Home
Southern Utah logo
#26664%98%87-83
Feb 26Away
Utah Tech logo
#20324%88%81-85
Feb 28Away
Utah Valley logo
#886%59%67-74
Mar 5Away
California Baptist logo
#1048%67%48-87
Mar 7Home
UT Arlington logo
#17539%93%57-64
Mar 11Neutral
Tarleton State logo
#22441%95%84-78
Mar 12Neutral
Utah Tech logo
#20334%93%74-80

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%ArizonaBYUUtah ValleyUtah ValleyStephen F. AustinCalifornia BaptistCalifornia BaptistUtah ValleyUT ArlingtonCalifornia BaptistUtah TechWilliam & MaryTarleton StateTarleton StateTexas StateUtah TechUT ArlingtonUT ArlingtonSouthern UtahPepperdineNew Mexico StateTarleton StateDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games5-3, 3 left
Record:
11-19
#50 Fcst:
24.7-5.3
Act Win %:
37%
#50 Fcst %:
82%
TWV:
-13.7
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 22 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Abilene Christian logo
0510McMurry Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H12Southwestern Adventist Location: Home 11/11 Win Probability: 100%100%H13Jarvis Christian Location: Home 11/28 Win Probability: 100%100%H14UTSA Location: Neutral 11/24 Win Probability: 79%79%N1Southern Utah Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 64%64%H2Omaha Location: Home 11/06 Win Probability: 60%60%H3Tarleton State Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 53%53%H4Texas Southern Location: Away 12/22 Win Probability: 51%51%A5New Mexico State Location: Home 12/06 Win Probability: 41%41%H6Pepperdine Location: Away 12/02 Win Probability: 41%41%A7Tarleton State Location: Neutral 03/11 Win Probability: 41%41%N8UT Arlington Location: Home 02/12 Win Probability: 39%39%H9Tarleton State Location: Away 01/08 Win Probability: 30%30%A10Utah Valley Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 15%15%H1111WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
11100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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