JThom Analytics Logo
Austin Peay logo

Austin Peay #166

Team Page

20-11
Overall
15-3
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Atlantic Sun logo

Team Schedule

Austin Peay logo

Away

9-7
Ole Miss logo
#61
Tulsa logo
#64
Wyoming logo
#103
Texas-Rio Grande Valley logo
#121
Kent State logo
#152
Queens (NC) logo
#191
Lipscomb logo
#218
Florida Gulf Coast logo
#239
Bellarmine logo
#284
Jacksonville logo
#289
UNCG logo
#292
Eastern Kentucky logo
#294
West Georgia logo
#297
Stetson logo
#310
North Florida logo
#334
Air Force logo
#350

Neutral

1-1
Queens (NC) logo
#191
Stetson logo
#310

Home

10-1
Central Arkansas logo
#156
East Tennessee State logo
#167
Lipscomb logo
#218
Florida Gulf Coast logo
#239
Bellarmine logo
#284
Jacksonville logo
#289
Eastern Kentucky logo
#294
Stetson logo
#310
North Florida logo
#334
North Alabama logo
#341
Northern Illinois logo
#343
Bryan College logo
Non D1
Fisk logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Austin Peay logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Bryan College logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 8Away
Air Force logo
#35088%98%74-54
Nov 11Away
Wyoming logo
#10320%67%65-79
Nov 15Away
UNCG logo
#29272%95%69-63
Nov 18Away
Ole Miss logo
#6110%47%65-72
Nov 21Away
Tulsa logo
#6411%48%75-84
Nov 25Home
Northern Illinois logo
#34395%99%77-59
Dec 3Away
Kent State logo
#15234%80%84-96
Dec 7Away
Texas-Rio Grande Valley logo
#12126%73%50-63
Dec 12Home
East Tennessee State logo
#16762%93%76-75
Dec 28Home
Fisk logo
Non D1100%100%
Jan 1Home
North Florida logo
#33494%99%102-83
Jan 3Home
Jacksonville logo
#28987%98%71-68
Jan 8Away
Florida Gulf Coast logo
#23959%92%82-71
Jan 10Away
Stetson logo
#31076%96%81-69
Jan 15Home
Eastern Kentucky logo
#29488%98%74-72
Jan 17Away
Lipscomb logo
#21852%89%78-82
Jan 22Home
Florida Gulf Coast logo
#23979%97%83-62
Jan 23Home
Stetson logo
#31089%99%73-65
Jan 28Away
Eastern Kentucky logo
#29473%95%90-82
Jan 31Away
West Georgia logo
#29773%96%81-78
Feb 4Home
Lipscomb logo
#21874%96%87-76
Feb 7Home
North Alabama logo
#34194%99%91-62
Feb 11Away
Queens (NC) logo
#19144%86%95-87
Feb 14Home
Bellarmine logo
#28486%98%90-70
Feb 19Away
North Florida logo
#33484%98%77-76
Feb 21Away
Jacksonville logo
#28972%95%65-61
Feb 25Home
Central Arkansas logo
#15659%92%88-93
Feb 28Away
Bellarmine logo
#28471%95%97-111
Mar 6Neutral
Stetson logo
#31085%98%69-60
Mar 7Neutral
Queens (NC) logo
#19157%92%83-90

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%Ole MissTulsaWyomingTexas-Rio Grande ValleyKent StateQueens (NC)LipscombQueens (NC)Central ArkansasFlorida Gulf CoastEast Tennessee StateBellarmineDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games17-0, 2 left
Record:
20-9
#50 Fcst:
26.1-2.9
Act Win %:
69%
#50 Fcst %:
90%
TWV:
-6.1
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 12 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Austin Peay logo
05101520Bryan College Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H21Fisk Location: Home 12/28 Win Probability: 100%100%H22Northern Illinois Location: Home 11/25 Win Probability: 95%95%H1North Alabama Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 94%94%H2North Florida Location: Home 01/01 Win Probability: 94%94%H3Stetson Location: Home 01/23 Win Probability: 89%89%H4Air Force Location: Away 11/08 Win Probability: 88%88%A5Eastern Kentucky Location: Home 01/15 Win Probability: 88%88%H6Jacksonville Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 87%87%H7Bellarmine Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 86%86%H8Stetson Location: Neutral 03/06 Win Probability: 85%85%N9North Florida Location: Away 02/19 Win Probability: 84%84%A10Florida Gulf Coast Location: Home 01/22 Win Probability: 79%79%H11Stetson Location: Away 01/10 Win Probability: 76%76%A12Lipscomb Location: Home 02/04 Win Probability: 74%74%H13West Georgia Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 73%73%A14Eastern Kentucky Location: Away 01/28 Win Probability: 73%73%A15UNCG Location: Away 11/15 Win Probability: 72%72%A16Jacksonville Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 72%72%A17East Tennessee State Location: Home 12/12 Win Probability: 62%62%H18Florida Gulf Coast Location: Away 01/08 Win Probability: 59%59%A19Queens (NC) Location: Away 02/11 Win Probability: 44%44%A2020WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
20100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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