Little Rock logo

Little Rock #309

Team Page

10-22
Overall
9-11
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Ohio Valley logo

Team Schedule

Little Rock logo

Away

5-13
West Virginia logo
#59
Marquette logo
#79
Southern Illinois logo
#123
Murray State logo
#129
Central Arkansas logo
#156
Tennessee State logo
#194
Texas State logo
#231
Southeast Missouri State logo
#232
UT Martin logo
#235
SIUE logo
#249
Lindenwood logo
#264
Milwaukee logo
#270
Ball State logo
#279
Morehead State logo
#283
Tennessee Tech logo
#316
Eastern Illinois logo
#326
Southern Indiana logo
#339
Western Illinois logo
#364

Neutral

0-1
Lindenwood logo
#264

Home

5-6
Arkansas State logo
#146
Tennessee State logo
#194
Southeast Missouri State logo
#232
UT Martin logo
#235
SIUE logo
#249
Lindenwood logo
#264
Morehead State logo
#283
Tennessee Tech logo
#316
Eastern Illinois logo
#326
Southern Indiana logo
#339
Western Illinois logo
#364
Arkansas Baptist logo
Non D1
Williams Baptist logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Little Rock logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 4Home
Arkansas Baptist logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 10Away
Milwaukee logo
#27028%94%72-92
Nov 12Away
Marquette logo
#793%53%49-89
Nov 15Away
Ball State logo
#27931%95%68-62
Nov 18Away
Murray State logo
#1297%75%68-89
Nov 21Away
Texas State logo
#23121%91%56-65
Nov 29Away
Southern Illinois logo
#1237%73%65-74
Dec 3Away
Central Arkansas logo
#15610%81%47-85
Dec 6Home
Arkansas State logo
#14620%91%78-90
Dec 9Away
West Virginia logo
#592%46%58-90
Dec 16Away
Morehead State logo
#28332%95%64-78
Dec 18Away
Southern Indiana logo
#33954%98%77-62
Dec 22Home
Williams Baptist logo
Non D1100%100%
Jan 1Home
Tennessee Tech logo
#31666%99%77-58
Jan 3Home
Tennessee State logo
#19430%94%79-84
Jan 8Away
SIUE logo
#24924%92%73-70
Jan 10Away
Lindenwood logo
#26427%94%82-74
Jan 15Home
Eastern Illinois logo
#32670%99%74-63
Jan 17Home
Western Illinois logo
#36489%100%86-79
Jan 22Away
Southeast Missouri State logo
#23221%91%65-70
Jan 29Away
Tennessee State logo
#19414%86%63-70
Jan 31Away
Tennessee Tech logo
#31642%97%77-87
Feb 3Away
UT Martin logo
#23522%92%52-55
Feb 5Home
Lindenwood logo
#26449%97%74-79
Feb 7Home
SIUE logo
#24945%97%61-71
Feb 12Away
Western Illinois logo
#36476%99%77-58
Feb 14Away
Eastern Illinois logo
#32647%97%72-78
Feb 19Home
UT Martin logo
#23542%97%67-65
Feb 21Home
Southeast Missouri State logo
#23241%97%65-70
Feb 26Home
Morehead State logo
#28355%98%70-76
Feb 28Home
Southern Indiana logo
#33976%99%89-70
Mar 4Neutral
Lindenwood logo
#26437%96%62-72

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%West VirginiaMarquetteSouthern IllinoisMurray StateCentral ArkansasTennessee StateArkansas StateTexas StateSoutheast Missouri StateUT MartinSIUELindenwoodMilwaukeeTennessee StateBall StateMorehead StateDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games7-7, 2 left
Record:
10-20
#50 Fcst:
27.1-2.9
Act Win %:
33%
#50 Fcst %:
90%
TWV:
-17.1
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 16 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Little Rock logo
0510Arkansas Baptist Location: Home 11/04 Win Probability: 100%100%H11Williams Baptist Location: Home 12/22 Win Probability: 100%100%H12Western Illinois Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 89%89%H1Southern Indiana Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 76%76%H2Western Illinois Location: Away 02/12 Win Probability: 76%76%A3Eastern Illinois Location: Home 01/15 Win Probability: 70%70%H4Tennessee Tech Location: Home 01/01 Win Probability: 66%66%H5Southern Indiana Location: Away 12/18 Win Probability: 54%54%A6UT Martin Location: Home 02/19 Win Probability: 42%42%H7Ball State Location: Away 11/15 Win Probability: 31%31%A8Lindenwood Location: Away 01/10 Win Probability: 27%27%A9SIUE Location: Away 01/08 Win Probability: 24%24%A1010WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
10100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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