JThom Analytics Logo
Florida Gulf Coast logo

Florida Gulf Coast #239

Team Page

14-20
Overall
8-10
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Atlantic Sun logo

Team Schedule

Florida Gulf Coast logo

Away

3-11
Illinois logo
#6
New Mexico logo
#52
UCF logo
#54
Central Arkansas logo
#156
Austin Peay logo
#166
FIU logo
#186
Samford logo
#211
Lipscomb logo
#218
Bellarmine logo
#284
Jacksonville logo
#289
Eastern Kentucky logo
#294
Stetson logo
#310
North Florida logo
#334
North Alabama logo
#341

Neutral

2-1
Central Arkansas logo
#156
Lipscomb logo
#218
North Alabama logo
#341

Home

9-6
Florida Atlantic logo
#127
Kennesaw State logo
#151
Central Arkansas logo
#156
Austin Peay logo
#166
Queens (NC) logo
#191
Lipscomb logo
#218
Rice logo
#222
Georgia Southern logo
#228
Jacksonville logo
#289
Chattanooga logo
#290
West Georgia logo
#297
Stetson logo
#310
Oral Roberts logo
#311
North Florida logo
#334
North Alabama logo
#341
Fort Lauderdale logo
Non D1
New College of Florida logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Florida Gulf Coast logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
New College of Florida logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 7Away
Illinois logo
#61%11%70-113
Nov 11Home
Georgia Southern logo
#22859%96%94-95
Nov 15Home
Chattanooga logo
#29074%98%91-73
Nov 19Away
Samford logo
#21130%89%77-62
Nov 24Home
Oral Roberts logo
#31179%99%93-88
Nov 25Home
Rice logo
#22257%96%78-63
Nov 26Home
Kennesaw State logo
#15137%91%100-102
Dec 3Away
FIU logo
#18624%85%83-89
Dec 7Home
Florida Atlantic logo
#12729%88%76-81
Dec 14Away
New Mexico logo
#524%42%59-75
Dec 20Away
UCF logo
#544%43%80-102
Dec 28Home
Fort Lauderdale logo
Non D1100%100%
Jan 1Away
Central Arkansas logo
#15619%81%83-85
Jan 3Away
North Alabama logo
#34172%98%72-55
Jan 8Home
Austin Peay logo
#16641%93%71-82
Jan 10Home
Lipscomb logo
#21855%96%77-84
Jan 15Home
Queens (NC) logo
#19147%94%74-85
Jan 17Home
West Georgia logo
#29776%98%90-72
Jan 22Away
Austin Peay logo
#16621%83%62-83
Jan 23Away
Lipscomb logo
#21831%89%71-86
Jan 29Home
North Alabama logo
#34187%99%72-64
Jan 31Away
Jacksonville logo
#28952%95%68-49
Feb 5Away
Eastern Kentucky logo
#29453%95%74-76
Feb 7Away
Bellarmine logo
#28450%95%65-81
Feb 11Home
North Florida logo
#33486%99%90-81
Feb 14Home
Stetson logo
#31078%99%78-76
Feb 18Home
Jacksonville logo
#28974%98%86-84
Feb 21Home
Central Arkansas logo
#15638%92%75-71
Feb 26Away
North Florida logo
#33470%98%70-76
Feb 28Away
Stetson logo
#31057%96%63-78
Mar 4Neutral
North Alabama logo
#34182%99%69-58
Mar 6Neutral
Lipscomb logo
#21842%94%77-53
Mar 7Neutral
Central Arkansas logo
#15626%88%63-73

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%IllinoisNew MexicoUCFCentral ArkansasAustin PeayFIUCentral ArkansasFlorida AtlanticSamfordLipscombKennesaw StateCentral ArkansasAustin PeayLipscombQueens (NC)BellarmineDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games11-5, 2 left
Record:
14-18
#50 Fcst:
28.2-3.8
Act Win %:
44%
#50 Fcst %:
88%
TWV:
-14.2
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 16 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Florida Gulf Coast logo
051015New College of Florida Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H15Fort Lauderdale Location: Home 12/28 Win Probability: 100%100%H16North Alabama Location: Home 01/29 Win Probability: 87%87%H1North Florida Location: Home 02/11 Win Probability: 86%86%H2North Alabama Location: Neutral 03/04 Win Probability: 82%82%N3Oral Roberts Location: Home 11/24 Win Probability: 79%79%H4Stetson Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 78%78%H5West Georgia Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 76%76%H6Chattanooga Location: Home 11/15 Win Probability: 74%74%H7Jacksonville Location: Home 02/18 Win Probability: 74%74%H8North Alabama Location: Away 01/03 Win Probability: 72%72%A9Rice Location: Home 11/25 Win Probability: 57%57%H10Jacksonville Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 52%52%A11Lipscomb Location: Neutral 03/06 Win Probability: 42%42%N12Central Arkansas Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 38%38%H13Samford Location: Away 11/19 Win Probability: 30%30%A1414WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
14100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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