JThom Analytics Logo
Coastal Carolina logo

Coastal Carolina #241

Team Page

18-14
Overall
11-7
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Sun Belt logo

Team Schedule

Coastal Carolina logo

Away

10-7
Grand Canyon logo
#56
Illinois State logo
#101
Saint Joseph's logo
#107
Winthrop logo
#155
Appalachian State logo
#184
South Alabama logo
#195
Marshall logo
#200
James Madison logo
#202
Jacksonville State logo
#204
Georgia Southern logo
#228
Old Dominion logo
#234
Western Michigan logo
#280
Louisiana-Lafayette logo
#301
USC Upstate logo
#305
Georgia State logo
#315
Louisiana-Monroe logo
#356
Western Illinois logo
#364

Neutral

1-1
Georgia Southern logo
#228
North Dakota logo
#277

Home

7-5
Arkansas State logo
#146
Winthrop logo
#155
Appalachian State logo
#184
Massachusetts logo
#188
Marshall logo
#200
James Madison logo
#202
Southern Miss logo
#219
Georgia Southern logo
#228
Texas State logo
#231
Old Dominion logo
#234
Alabama A&M logo
#308
Georgia State logo
#315
VU of Lynchburg logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Coastal Carolina logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
Western Michigan logo
#28048%95%71-76
Nov 7Home
VU of Lynchburg logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 11Home
Winthrop logo
#15537%92%72-66
Nov 14Away
Jacksonville State logo
#20428%88%67-74
Nov 21Away
Western Illinois logo
#36487%99%84-64
Nov 22Neutral
North Dakota logo
#27760%97%75-58
Nov 23Away
Illinois State logo
#1019%66%42-94
Nov 30Home
Alabama A&M logo
#30878%98%67-60
Dec 3Away
USC Upstate logo
#30556%96%78-85
Dec 6Away
Winthrop logo
#15518%81%88-84
Dec 13Away
Grand Canyon logo
#564%45%61-82
Dec 18Away
Appalachian State logo
#18424%85%49-67
Dec 20Away
Old Dominion logo
#23437%92%76-74
Dec 22Away
Saint Joseph's logo
#10710%68%68-62
Jan 1Home
Georgia Southern logo
#22859%96%81-82
Jan 3Home
Georgia State logo
#31579%99%71-89
Jan 8Home
Old Dominion logo
#23461%97%66-70
Jan 10Home
Appalachian State logo
#18445%94%67-62
Jan 14Away
Marshall logo
#20027%87%85-83
Jan 17Away
Georgia Southern logo
#22835%91%79-75
Jan 22Home
Texas State logo
#23160%96%72-70
Jan 24Home
Southern Miss logo
#21955%96%85-67
Jan 29Away
South Alabama logo
#19526%87%48-53
Feb 1Away
Louisiana-Monroe logo
#35679%99%83-79
Feb 4Home
Arkansas State logo
#14635%91%66-70
Feb 7Home
Massachusetts logo
#18846%94%94-91
Feb 12Away
Louisiana-Lafayette logo
#30155%96%69-65
Feb 18Home
James Madison logo
#20251%95%65-67
Feb 21Home
Marshall logo
#20050%95%79-75
Feb 24Away
Georgia State logo
#31559%96%76-71
Feb 27Away
James Madison logo
#20228%88%69-68
Mar 7Neutral
Georgia Southern logo
#22847%95%72-96

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%Grand CanyonIllinois StateSaint Joseph'sWinthropAppalachian StateSouth AlabamaMarshallJames MadisonJacksonville StateGeorgia SouthernArkansas StateOld DominionWinthropAppalachian StateMassachusettsWestern MichiganGeorgia SouthernMarshallDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games8-5, 1 left
Record:
18-13
#50 Fcst:
27.9-3.1
Act Win %:
58%
#50 Fcst %:
90%
TWV:
-9.9
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 18 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Coastal Carolina logo
051015VU of Lynchburg Location: Home 11/07 Win Probability: 100%100%H19Western Illinois Location: Away 11/21 Win Probability: 87%87%A1Louisiana-Monroe Location: Away 02/01 Win Probability: 79%79%A2Alabama A&M Location: Home 11/30 Win Probability: 78%78%H3North Dakota Location: Neutral 11/22 Win Probability: 60%60%N4Texas State Location: Home 01/22 Win Probability: 60%60%H5Georgia State Location: Away 02/24 Win Probability: 59%59%A6Louisiana-Lafayette Location: Away 02/12 Win Probability: 55%55%A7Southern Miss Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 55%55%H8Marshall Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 50%50%H9Massachusetts Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 46%46%H10Appalachian State Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 45%45%H11Winthrop Location: Home 11/11 Win Probability: 37%37%H12Old Dominion Location: Away 12/20 Win Probability: 37%37%A13Georgia Southern Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 35%35%A14James Madison Location: Away 02/27 Win Probability: 28%28%A15Marshall Location: Away 01/14 Win Probability: 27%27%A16Winthrop Location: Away 12/06 Win Probability: 18%18%A17Saint Joseph's Location: Away 12/22 Win Probability: 10%10%A1818WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
18100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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