JThom Analytics Logo
Tennessee State logo

Tennessee State #194

Team Page

20-12
Overall
15-5
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
15.0
Avg Seed
Ohio Valley logo

Team Schedule

Tennessee State logo

Away

9-7
Tennessee logo
#15
Belmont logo
#69
Western Kentucky logo
#163
Southeast Missouri State logo
#232
UT Martin logo
#235
UNC Asheville logo
#238
SIUE logo
#249
Lindenwood logo
#264
Morehead State logo
#283
Chattanooga logo
#290
Alabama A&M logo
#308
Little Rock logo
#309
Tennessee Tech logo
#316
Eastern Illinois logo
#326
Southern Indiana logo
#339
Western Illinois logo
#364

Neutral

2-0
UT Martin logo
#235
Morehead State logo
#283
Tennessee Wesleyan logo
Non D1

Home

9-2
UNLV logo
#110
Southeast Missouri State logo
#232
UT Martin logo
#235
SIUE logo
#249
Lindenwood logo
#264
Morehead State logo
#283
Little Rock logo
#309
Tennessee Tech logo
#316
Eastern Illinois logo
#326
Southern Indiana logo
#339
Western Illinois logo
#364
Fisk logo
Non D1
Oakwood logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Tennessee State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Fisk logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 8Away
Belmont logo
#699%50%79-87
Nov 11Home
Oakwood logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 16Away
Western Kentucky logo
#16332%82%82-95
Nov 20Away
Tennessee logo
#152%18%60-89
Nov 25Away
UNC Asheville logo
#23853%92%75-73
Nov 29Neutral
Tennessee Wesleyan logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 30Away
Chattanooga logo
#29066%95%70-64
Dec 3Away
Alabama A&M logo
#30870%96%53-80
Dec 13Home
UNLV logo
#11037%85%63-60
Dec 18Home
UT Martin logo
#23574%97%78-71
Dec 20Home
Southeast Missouri State logo
#23273%97%82-91
Dec 30Away
Tennessee Tech logo
#31674%97%88-76
Jan 3Away
Little Rock logo
#30970%96%84-79
Jan 8Away
Western Illinois logo
#36493%99%90-68
Jan 10Away
Eastern Illinois logo
#32677%97%70-74
Jan 15Home
Morehead State logo
#28383%98%105-100
Jan 17Home
Southern Indiana logo
#33993%99%73-67
Jan 22Away
SIUE logo
#24955%92%66-74
Jan 24Away
Lindenwood logo
#26459%94%96-86
Jan 29Home
Little Rock logo
#30986%98%70-63
Feb 2Home
Tennessee Tech logo
#31688%99%85-90
Feb 5Home
Eastern Illinois logo
#32690%99%77-68
Feb 7Home
Western Illinois logo
#36497%100%83-56
Feb 12Away
Southern Indiana logo
#33982%98%73-71
Feb 14Away
Morehead State logo
#28364%95%86-94
Feb 19Home
Lindenwood logo
#26479%97%89-80
Feb 21Home
SIUE logo
#24976%97%80-53
Feb 26Away
Southeast Missouri State logo
#23251%91%79-71
Feb 28Away
UT Martin logo
#23552%92%67-42
Mar 6Neutral
UT Martin logo
#23564%95%68-55
Mar 7Neutral
Morehead State logo
#28375%97%93-67

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%TennesseeBelmontWestern KentuckyUNLVSoutheast Missouri StateUT MartinUNC AshevilleSIUELindenwoodMorehead StateDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games15-4, 3 left
Record:
20-9
#50 Fcst:
26.4-2.6
Act Win %:
69%
#50 Fcst %:
91%
TWV:
-6.4
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 10 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Tennessee State logo
05101520Fisk Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H21Oakwood Location: Home 11/11 Win Probability: 100%100%H22Tennessee Wesleyan Location: Neutral 11/29 Win Probability: 100%100%N23Western Illinois Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 97%97%H1Southern Indiana Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 93%93%H2Western Illinois Location: Away 01/08 Win Probability: 93%93%A3Eastern Illinois Location: Home 02/05 Win Probability: 90%90%H4Little Rock Location: Home 01/29 Win Probability: 86%86%H5Morehead State Location: Home 01/15 Win Probability: 83%83%H6Southern Indiana Location: Away 02/12 Win Probability: 82%82%A7Lindenwood Location: Home 02/19 Win Probability: 79%79%H8SIUE Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 76%76%H9Morehead State Location: Neutral 03/07 Win Probability: 75%75%N10UT Martin Location: Home 12/18 Win Probability: 74%74%H11Tennessee Tech Location: Away 12/30 Win Probability: 74%74%A12Little Rock Location: Away 01/03 Win Probability: 70%70%A13Chattanooga Location: Away 11/30 Win Probability: 66%66%A14UT Martin Location: Neutral 03/06 Win Probability: 64%64%N15Lindenwood Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 59%59%A16UNC Asheville Location: Away 11/25 Win Probability: 53%53%A17UT Martin Location: Away 02/28 Win Probability: 52%52%A18Southeast Missouri State Location: Away 02/26 Win Probability: 51%51%A19UNLV Location: Home 12/13 Win Probability: 37%37%H2020WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
15In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
20100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

Loading rank history...

Projected Wins History

Loading historical data...

Projected Standings History

Loading historical data...

First Place Probability History

Loading historical data...

NCAA Tournament Bid History

Loading NCAA bid history...

NCAA Tournament Progression History

Loading NCAA progression history...