JThom Analytics Logo
Saint Louis logo

Saint Louis #38

Team Page

27-6
Overall
15-3
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
11.0
Avg Seed
Atlantic 10 logo

Team Schedule

Saint Louis logo

Away

7-3
VCU logo
#46
Dayton logo
#73
George Mason logo
#102
Davidson logo
#111
Duquesne logo
#125
St. Bonaventure logo
#142
Rhode Island logo
#144
Loyola Marymount logo
#162
La Salle logo
#233
Loyola Chicago logo
#276

Neutral

2-2
Santa Clara logo
#34
Stanford logo
#62
Dayton logo
#73
George Washington logo
#81

Home

18-0
VCU logo
#46
Grand Canyon logo
#56
Dayton logo
#73
George Washington logo
#81
Saint Joseph's logo
#107
San Francisco logo
#120
Duquesne logo
#125
Richmond logo
#160
Fordham logo
#168
Bethune-Cookman logo
#229
Southeast Missouri State logo
#232
La Salle logo
#233
Purdue Fort Wayne logo
#260
Central Michigan logo
#262
Lindenwood logo
#264
Loyola Chicago logo
#276
Chicago State logo
#345
New Hampshire logo
#349
Principia logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Saint Louis logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Southeast Missouri State logo
#23297%97%92-67
Nov 6Home
Chicago State logo
#34599%99%108-86
Nov 10Home
Lindenwood logo
#26498%97%109-66
Nov 15Home
Grand Canyon logo
#5674%68%78-64
Nov 21Home
Purdue Fort Wayne logo
#26098%97%91-60
Nov 27Neutral
Santa Clara logo
#3448%40%71-70
Nov 28Neutral
Stanford logo
#6267%60%77-78
Dec 2Away
Loyola Marymount logo
#16285%81%91-70
Dec 7Home
Central Michigan logo
#26298%97%107-65
Dec 13Home
San Francisco logo
#12090%88%85-75
Dec 17Home
Bethune-Cookman logo
#22997%96%112-53
Dec 21Home
New Hampshire logo
#349100%99%93-79
Dec 28Home
Principia logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 31Home
Saint Joseph's logo
#10788%85%102-79
Jan 7Away
VCU logo
#4643%36%71-62
Jan 10Away
La Salle logo
#23393%91%84-72
Jan 14Home
Fordham logo
#16894%93%78-56
Jan 17Home
Richmond logo
#16094%92%88-63
Jan 20Away
Duquesne logo
#12579%74%81-77
Jan 23Away
St. Bonaventure logo
#14283%78%97-62
Jan 27Home
George Washington logo
#8181%76%79-76
Jan 30Home
Dayton logo
#7379%74%102-71
Feb 3Away
Davidson logo
#11175%69%91-82
Feb 7Home
La Salle logo
#23397%97%82-58
Feb 13Away
Loyola Chicago logo
#27696%94%86-59
Feb 17Away
Rhode Island logo
#14483%79%76-81
Feb 20Home
VCU logo
#4666%60%88-75
Feb 24Away
Dayton logo
#7359%52%62-77
Feb 28Home
Duquesne logo
#12591%88%91-76
Mar 4Home
Loyola Chicago logo
#27698%98%79-65
Mar 7Away
George Mason logo
#10272%66%57-86
Mar 13Neutral
George Washington logo
#8173%66%88-81
Mar 14Neutral
Dayton logo
#7371%64%69-70

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%VCUSanta ClaraDaytonVCUStanfordDaytonGeorge MasonGeorge WashingtonGrand CanyonDavidsonDuquesneDaytonGeorge WashingtonSt. BonaventureRhode IslandLoyola MarymountSaint Joseph'sSan FranciscoDuquesneLa SalleRichmondFordhamLoyola ChicagoDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games9-0, 1 left
Record:
27-5
#50 Fcst:
25.5-6.5
Act Win %:
84%
#50 Fcst %:
80%
TWV:
+1.5
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 23 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Saint Louis logo
0510152025Principia Location: Home 12/28 Win Probability: 100%100%H28New Hampshire Location: Home 12/21 Win Probability: 100%100%H1Chicago State Location: Home 11/06 Win Probability: 99%99%H2Loyola Chicago Location: Home 03/04 Win Probability: 98%98%H3Lindenwood Location: Home 11/10 Win Probability: 98%98%H4Central Michigan Location: Home 12/07 Win Probability: 98%98%H5Purdue Fort Wayne Location: Home 11/21 Win Probability: 98%98%H6La Salle Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 97%97%H7Southeast Missouri State Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 97%97%H8Bethune-Cookman Location: Home 12/17 Win Probability: 97%97%H9Loyola Chicago Location: Away 02/13 Win Probability: 96%96%A10Fordham Location: Home 01/14 Win Probability: 94%94%H11Richmond Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 94%94%H12La Salle Location: Away 01/10 Win Probability: 93%93%A13Duquesne Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 91%91%H14San Francisco Location: Home 12/13 Win Probability: 90%90%H15Saint Joseph's Location: Home 12/31 Win Probability: 88%88%H16Loyola Marymount Location: Away 12/02 Win Probability: 85%85%A17St. Bonaventure Location: Away 01/23 Win Probability: 83%83%A18George Washington Location: Home 01/27 Win Probability: 81%81%H19Dayton Location: Home 01/30 Win Probability: 79%79%H20Duquesne Location: Away 01/20 Win Probability: 79%79%A21Davidson Location: Away 02/03 Win Probability: 75%75%A22Grand Canyon Location: Home 11/15 Win Probability: 74%74%H23George Washington Location: Neutral 03/13 Win Probability: 73%73%N24VCU Location: Home 02/20 Win Probability: 66%66%H25Santa Clara Location: Neutral 11/27 Win Probability: 48%48%N26VCU Location: Away 01/07 Win Probability: 43%43%A2727WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
11In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
27100%100%100%
Total100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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