Mercyhurst logo

Mercyhurst #285

Team Page

14-20
Overall
9-7
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Northeast logo

Team Schedule

Mercyhurst logo

Away

4-14
West Virginia logo
#59
Northwestern logo
#60
Syracuse logo
#83
Miami (OH) logo
#90
Davidson logo
#111
Marshall logo
#200
LIU logo
#221
LIU logo
#221
Loyola Chicago logo
#276
Le Moyne logo
#300
Central Connecticut State logo
#306
Wagner logo
#312
Lafayette logo
#322
New Haven logo
#330
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Fairleigh Dickinson logo
#336
Canisius logo
#342
Chicago State logo
#345
Saint Francis U logo
#354

Neutral

0-0
None

Home

9-2
LIU logo
#221
Le Moyne logo
#300
Central Connecticut State logo
#306
Wagner logo
#312
New Haven logo
#330
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Fairleigh Dickinson logo
#336
Fairleigh Dickinson logo
#336
Chicago State logo
#345
Morgan State logo
#351
Saint Francis U logo
#354
Binghamton logo
#358
Bethany (WV) logo
Non D1
Penn State-New Kensington logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Mercyhurst logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
Northwestern logo
#603%47%47-70
Nov 6Away
Loyola Chicago logo
#27636%94%73-65
Nov 8Home
Penn State-New Kensington logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 12Away
Canisius logo
#34262%98%55-58
Nov 15Home
Morgan State logo
#35184%99%86-72
Nov 20Away
Miami (OH) logo
#905%59%71-76
Nov 23Away
Marshall logo
#20019%87%60-69
Nov 30Away
West Virginia logo
#593%46%38-70
Dec 5Away
Lafayette logo
#32251%97%71-79
Dec 7Home
Bethany (WV) logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 13Away
Davidson logo
#1117%69%47-80
Dec 17Away
Syracuse logo
#834%55%62-76
Dec 20Home
Binghamton logo
#35888%100%82-61
Jan 2Home
Fairleigh Dickinson logo
#33679%99%67-74
Jan 4Home
Le Moyne logo
#30067%98%74-60
Jan 8Away
LIU logo
#22123%90%58-60
Jan 10Away
Wagner logo
#31246%96%70-69
Jan 17Home
Stonehill logo
#33377%99%
Jan 17Home
Stonehill logo
#33377%99%
Jan 19Home
Central Connecticut State logo
#30668%98%79-61
Jan 23Away
New Haven logo
#33055%97%61-57
Jan 25Home
Chicago State logo
#34582%99%61-59
Jan 29Home
New Haven logo
#33076%99%70-51
Jan 31Away
Chicago State logo
#34564%98%74-78
Feb 5Home
Saint Francis U logo
#35486%99%98-89
Feb 7Away
Fairleigh Dickinson logo
#33659%98%52-55
Feb 12Away
Le Moyne logo
#30043%96%57-58
Feb 14Away
Saint Francis U logo
#35469%99%94-79
Feb 19Home
Wagner logo
#31269%99%80-83
Feb 21Home
LIU logo
#22144%96%91-83
Feb 26Away
Central Connecticut State logo
#30644%96%78-80
Feb 28Away
Stonehill logo
#33356%98%
Feb 28Away
Stonehill logo
#33356%98%
Feb 28Away
Stonehill logo
#33356%98%
Feb 28Away
Stonehill logo
#33356%98%
Mar 4Home
Fairleigh Dickinson logo
#33679%99%70-61
Mar 7Home
Stonehill logo
#33377%99%
Mar 7Home
Stonehill logo
#33377%99%
Mar 10Away
LIU logo
#22123%90%70-79

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%West VirginiaNorthwesternSyracuseMiami (OH)DavidsonMarshallLIULIULoyola ChicagoDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games12-8, 10 left
Record:
13-16
#50 Fcst:
26.0-3.0
Act Win %:
45%
#50 Fcst %:
90%
TWV:
-13.0
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 9 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Mercyhurst logo
05101520Penn State-New Kensington Location: Home 11/08 Win Probability: 100%100%H14Bethany (WV) Location: Home 12/07 Win Probability: 100%100%H15Stonehill Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 77%77%H16Stonehill Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 77%77%H17Stonehill Location: Home 03/07 Win Probability: 77%77%H18Stonehill Location: Home 03/07 Win Probability: 77%77%H19Stonehill Location: Away 02/28 Win Probability: 56%56%A20Stonehill Location: Away 02/28 Win Probability: 56%56%A21Stonehill Location: Away 02/28 Win Probability: 56%56%A22Stonehill Location: Away 02/28 Win Probability: 56%56%A23Binghamton Location: Home 12/20 Win Probability: 88%88%H1Saint Francis U Location: Home 02/05 Win Probability: 86%86%H2Morgan State Location: Home 11/15 Win Probability: 84%84%H3Chicago State Location: Home 01/25 Win Probability: 82%82%H4Fairleigh Dickinson Location: Home 03/04 Win Probability: 79%79%H5New Haven Location: Home 01/29 Win Probability: 76%76%H6Saint Francis U Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 69%69%A7Central Connecticut State Location: Home 01/19 Win Probability: 68%68%H8Le Moyne Location: Home 01/04 Win Probability: 67%67%H9New Haven Location: Away 01/23 Win Probability: 55%55%A10Wagner Location: Away 01/10 Win Probability: 46%46%A11LIU Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 44%44%H12Loyola Chicago Location: Away 11/06 Win Probability: 36%36%A1313WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
15100%70%
14100%30%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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