Lafayette logo

Lafayette #322

Team Page

11-21
Overall
8-10
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Patriot League logo

Team Schedule

Lafayette logo

Away

5-10
Texas logo
#42
West Virginia logo
#59
Saint Joseph's logo
#107
Navy logo
#141
Penn logo
#150
Georgia Tech logo
#158
Charlotte logo
#176
Colgate logo
#240
American logo
#243
Boston logo
#252
Lehigh logo
#282
Loyola Maryland logo
#320
Bucknell logo
#327
Holy Cross logo
#331
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Stonehill logo
#333
Army logo
#338

Neutral

0-0
None

Home

5-10
Navy logo
#141
Cornell logo
#157
Monmouth logo
#172
Colgate logo
#240
American logo
#243
Boston logo
#252
Ball State logo
#279
Lehigh logo
#282
Mercyhurst logo
#285
Le Moyne logo
#300
Loyola Maryland logo
#320
Bucknell logo
#327
Holy Cross logo
#331
Holy Cross logo
#331
Army logo
#338
Dickinson (PA) logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Lafayette logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
Saint Joseph's logo
#1074%68%76-85
Nov 5Home
Dickinson (PA) logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 8Away
Texas logo
#421%32%60-97
Nov 13Home
Cornell logo
#15718%92%78-97
Nov 17Away
West Virginia logo
#592%46%59-81
Nov 21Away
Stonehill logo
#33343%98%
Nov 21Away
Stonehill logo
#33343%98%
Nov 21Away
Stonehill logo
#33343%98%
Nov 21Away
Stonehill logo
#33343%98%
Nov 28Home
Le Moyne logo
#30054%98%63-76
Nov 29Home
Ball State logo
#27947%98%55-37
Nov 30Home
Monmouth logo
#17221%93%74-88
Dec 5Home
Mercyhurst logo
#28549%98%79-71
Dec 8Away
Penn logo
#1507%80%72-74
Dec 18Away
Charlotte logo
#1769%84%67-81
Dec 20Away
Georgia Tech logo
#1588%81%81-95
Dec 31Home
Colgate logo
#24037%97%77-85
Jan 3Away
Loyola Maryland logo
#32036%97%79-64
Jan 7Home
Boston logo
#25239%97%67-83
Jan 10Away
Navy logo
#1417%78%50-76
Jan 14Away
Bucknell logo
#32741%97%69-76
Jan 17Home
Holy Cross logo
#33166%99%74-55
Jan 21Away
Boston logo
#25219%92%73-77
Jan 24Away
Lehigh logo
#28226%95%59-64
Jan 28Home
Bucknell logo
#32765%99%81-79
Jan 31Away
American logo
#24318%92%67-65
Feb 4Home
Navy logo
#14116%91%50-65
Feb 7Away
Army logo
#33846%98%63-60
Feb 11Home
Loyola Maryland logo
#32060%99%54-68
Feb 14Home
Lehigh logo
#28248%98%69-78
Feb 18Away
Holy Cross logo
#33142%97%86-83
Feb 22Home
American logo
#24338%97%61-75
Feb 25Away
Colgate logo
#24018%92%70-69
Feb 28Home
Army logo
#33870%99%83-77
Mar 3Home
Holy Cross logo
#33166%99%77-82

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%TexasWest VirginiaSaint Joseph'sNavyPennGeorgia TechCharlotteNavyColgateCornellAmericanBostonMonmouthLehighDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games8-8, 5 left
Record:
10-20
#50 Fcst:
26.8-3.2
Act Win %:
33%
#50 Fcst %:
89%
TWV:
-16.8
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 14 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Lafayette logo
051015Dickinson (PA) Location: Home 11/05 Win Probability: 100%100%H11Stonehill Location: Away 11/21 Win Probability: 43%43%A12Stonehill Location: Away 11/21 Win Probability: 43%43%A13Stonehill Location: Away 11/21 Win Probability: 43%43%A14Stonehill Location: Away 11/21 Win Probability: 43%43%A15Army Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 70%70%H1Holy Cross Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 66%66%H2Bucknell Location: Home 01/28 Win Probability: 65%65%H3Mercyhurst Location: Home 12/05 Win Probability: 49%49%H4Ball State Location: Home 11/29 Win Probability: 47%47%H5Army Location: Away 02/07 Win Probability: 46%46%A6Holy Cross Location: Away 02/18 Win Probability: 42%42%A7Loyola Maryland Location: Away 01/03 Win Probability: 36%36%A8American Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 18%18%A9Colgate Location: Away 02/25 Win Probability: 18%18%A1010WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
11100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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