JThom Analytics Logo
Northern Kentucky logo

Northern Kentucky #182

Team Page

17-17
Overall
10-10
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Horizon League logo

Team Schedule

Northern Kentucky logo

Away

7-8
Tennessee logo
#15
Wright State logo
#135
Robert Morris logo
#149
East Tennessee State logo
#167
Oakland logo
#177
Oakland logo
#177
Youngstown State logo
#208
Green Bay logo
#210
Detroit logo
#213
Purdue Fort Wayne logo
#260
Central Michigan logo
#262
Milwaukee logo
#270
Bellarmine logo
#284
IU Indy logo
#323
Cleveland State logo
#324

Neutral

1-1
Wright State logo
#135
Green Bay logo
#210

Home

9-5
Wright State logo
#135
Robert Morris logo
#149
Charleston logo
#174
Oakland logo
#177
Youngstown State logo
#208
Green Bay logo
#210
Detroit logo
#213
Boston logo
#252
Wofford logo
#254
Purdue Fort Wayne logo
#260
Milwaukee logo
#270
Eastern Kentucky logo
#294
IU Indy logo
#323
Cleveland State logo
#324
Brescia logo
Non D1
Cincinnati Clermont logo
Non D1
Cumberland (KY) logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Northern Kentucky logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Cincinnati Clermont logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 8Away
Tennessee logo
#152%18%56-95
Nov 12Away
East Tennessee State logo
#16734%83%63-75
Nov 16Home
Cumberland (KY) logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 20Away
Central Michigan logo
#26261%93%90-66
Nov 24Home
Eastern Kentucky logo
#29486%98%82-71
Nov 26Home
Wofford logo
#25478%97%93-83
Nov 29Home
Boston logo
#25278%97%74-65
Dec 3Home
Cleveland State logo
#32490%99%95-80
Dec 6Away
Purdue Fort Wayne logo
#26060%93%77-79
Dec 9Home
Brescia logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 13Away
Bellarmine logo
#28467%95%80-76
Dec 17Home
Oakland logo
#17761%93%77-82
Dec 21Home
Charleston logo
#17460%93%74-85
Dec 29Away
Robert Morris logo
#14931%80%79-77
Jan 1Home
IU Indy logo
#32390%99%81-72
Jan 4Home
Youngstown State logo
#20868%95%94-79
Jan 9Away
Milwaukee logo
#27063%94%85-67
Jan 11Away
Green Bay logo
#21046%88%78-80
Jan 15Home
Detroit logo
#21370%95%96-71
Jan 17Home
Robert Morris logo
#14954%91%89-92
Jan 24Away
Wright State logo
#13527%77%80-88
Jan 30Away
Detroit logo
#21346%89%77-90
Feb 1Away
Oakland logo
#17737%84%65-76
Feb 4Home
Green Bay logo
#21069%95%84-87
Feb 7Home
Milwaukee logo
#27082%98%67-62
Feb 12Away
IU Indy logo
#32378%97%84-81
Feb 18Home
Purdue Fort Wayne logo
#26080%97%87-71
Feb 22Away
Youngstown State logo
#20845%88%58-64
Feb 25Away
Cleveland State logo
#32478%97%81-70
Feb 28Home
Wright State logo
#13550%90%91-92
Mar 4Away
Oakland logo
#17737%84%85-84
Mar 8Neutral
Green Bay logo
#21058%93%96-76
Mar 9Neutral
Wright State logo
#13537%85%90-103

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%TennesseeWright StateRobert MorrisEast Tennessee StateOaklandOaklandWright StateYoungstown StateGreen BayDetroitWright StateRobert MorrisPurdue Fort WayneGreen BayCharlestonCentral MichiganOaklandMilwaukeeBellarmineDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games11-1, 3 left
Record:
17-14
#50 Fcst:
27.8-3.2
Act Win %:
55%
#50 Fcst %:
90%
TWV:
-10.8
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 19 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Northern Kentucky logo
05101520Cincinnati Clermont Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H18Cumberland (KY) Location: Home 11/16 Win Probability: 100%100%H19Brescia Location: Home 12/09 Win Probability: 100%100%H20Cleveland State Location: Home 12/03 Win Probability: 90%90%H1IU Indy Location: Home 01/01 Win Probability: 90%90%H2Eastern Kentucky Location: Home 11/24 Win Probability: 86%86%H3Milwaukee Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 82%82%H4Purdue Fort Wayne Location: Home 02/18 Win Probability: 80%80%H5Wofford Location: Home 11/26 Win Probability: 78%78%H6Boston Location: Home 11/29 Win Probability: 78%78%H7Cleveland State Location: Away 02/25 Win Probability: 78%78%A8IU Indy Location: Away 02/12 Win Probability: 78%78%A9Detroit Location: Home 01/15 Win Probability: 70%70%H10Youngstown State Location: Home 01/04 Win Probability: 68%68%H11Bellarmine Location: Away 12/13 Win Probability: 67%67%A12Milwaukee Location: Away 01/09 Win Probability: 63%63%A13Central Michigan Location: Away 11/20 Win Probability: 61%61%A14Green Bay Location: Neutral 03/08 Win Probability: 58%58%N15Oakland Location: Away 03/04 Win Probability: 37%37%A16Robert Morris Location: Away 12/29 Win Probability: 31%31%A1717WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
17100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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