JThom Analytics Logo
Youngstown State logo

Youngstown State #208

Team Page

12-20
Overall
8-12
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Horizon League logo

Team Schedule

Youngstown State logo

Away

4-11
Grand Canyon logo
#56
Pittsburgh logo
#100
Toledo logo
#132
Wright State logo
#135
St. Bonaventure logo
#142
Robert Morris logo
#149
Robert Morris logo
#149
Oakland logo
#177
Northern Kentucky logo
#182
Green Bay logo
#210
Detroit logo
#213
Purdue Fort Wayne logo
#260
Milwaukee logo
#270
IU Indy logo
#323
Cleveland State logo
#324

Neutral

1-1
Georgia Southern logo
#228
UNCG logo
#292

Home

7-5
Wright State logo
#135
Robert Morris logo
#149
Oakland logo
#177
Northern Kentucky logo
#182
Green Bay logo
#210
Detroit logo
#213
Purdue Fort Wayne logo
#260
Milwaukee logo
#270
USC Upstate logo
#305
IU Indy logo
#323
Cleveland State logo
#324
Chicago State logo
#345
Bryant & Stratton logo
Non D1
Penn State-Shenango logo
Non D1
Thiel College logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Youngstown State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
Pittsburgh logo
#10013%65%59-74
Nov 7Away
Grand Canyon logo
#566%45%90-81
Nov 10Home
Penn State-Shenango logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 15Away
St. Bonaventure logo
#14223%78%80-84
Nov 19Away
Toledo logo
#13221%76%75-92
Nov 23Neutral
UNCG logo
#29274%97%62-68
Nov 24Neutral
Georgia Southern logo
#22858%95%67-61
Nov 28Home
Chicago State logo
#34592%99%87-64
Dec 3Home
Wright State logo
#13543%90%69-68
Dec 6Away
IU Indy logo
#32372%97%78-55
Dec 14Home
Thiel College logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 17Away
Robert Morris logo
#14925%80%77-80
Dec 20Home
USC Upstate logo
#30584%98%74-65
Dec 29Home
Detroit logo
#21363%95%68-73
Jan 1Home
Oakland logo
#17754%93%83-85
Jan 4Away
Northern Kentucky logo
#18232%85%79-94
Jan 7Home
Purdue Fort Wayne logo
#26075%97%69-71
Jan 9Home
Bryant & Stratton logo
Non D1100%100%
Jan 15Away
Wright State logo
#13522%77%83-93
Jan 17Away
Cleveland State logo
#32472%97%78-80
Jan 22Home
Green Bay logo
#21063%95%88-81
Jan 24Home
Milwaukee logo
#27077%98%64-65
Jan 30Home
IU Indy logo
#32387%99%85-76
Feb 4Away
Purdue Fort Wayne logo
#26053%93%90-61
Feb 7Home
Robert Morris logo
#14947%91%66-72
Feb 12Away
Oakland logo
#17731%84%86-82
Feb 15Away
Detroit logo
#21340%89%70-76
Feb 18Home
Cleveland State logo
#32487%99%106-82
Feb 22Home
Northern Kentucky logo
#18255%94%64-58
Feb 25Away
Milwaukee logo
#27056%94%65-78
Feb 28Away
Green Bay logo
#21039%88%63-85
Mar 4Away
Robert Morris logo
#14925%80%53-68

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%Grand CanyonPittsburghToledoWright StateSt. BonaventureRobert MorrisRobert MorrisOaklandNorthern KentuckyGreen BayDetroitWright StateRobert MorrisPurdue Fort WayneOaklandNorthern KentuckyMilwaukeeGeorgia SouthernDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games6-5, 3 left
Record:
12-17
#50 Fcst:
25.7-3.3
Act Win %:
41%
#50 Fcst %:
89%
TWV:
-13.7
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 18 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Youngstown State logo
051015Penn State-Shenango Location: Home 11/10 Win Probability: 100%100%H13Thiel College Location: Home 12/14 Win Probability: 100%100%H14Bryant & Stratton Location: Home 01/09 Win Probability: 100%100%H15Chicago State Location: Home 11/28 Win Probability: 92%92%H1Cleveland State Location: Home 02/18 Win Probability: 87%87%H2IU Indy Location: Home 01/30 Win Probability: 87%87%H3USC Upstate Location: Home 12/20 Win Probability: 84%84%H4IU Indy Location: Away 12/06 Win Probability: 72%72%A5Green Bay Location: Home 01/22 Win Probability: 63%63%H6Georgia Southern Location: Neutral 11/24 Win Probability: 58%58%N7Northern Kentucky Location: Home 02/22 Win Probability: 55%55%H8Purdue Fort Wayne Location: Away 02/04 Win Probability: 53%53%A9Wright State Location: Home 12/03 Win Probability: 43%43%H10Oakland Location: Away 02/12 Win Probability: 31%31%A11Grand Canyon Location: Away 11/07 Win Probability: 6%6%A1212WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
12100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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