JThom Analytics Logo
East Tennessee State logo

East Tennessee State #167

Team Page

21-13
Overall
13-5
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Southern logo

Team Schedule

East Tennessee State logo

Away

8-6
North Carolina logo
#35
Dayton logo
#73
Austin Peay logo
#166
Furman logo
#179
Mercer logo
#190
Samford logo
#211
Western Carolina logo
#216
Wofford logo
#254
Presbyterian logo
#271
Chattanooga logo
#290
UNCG logo
#292
North Alabama logo
#341
Citadel logo
#344
VMI logo
#359

Neutral

2-1
Furman logo
#179
Western Carolina logo
#216
Citadel logo
#344

Home

11-4
Central Arkansas logo
#156
Furman logo
#179
Northern Kentucky logo
#182
Mercer logo
#190
South Alabama logo
#195
Jacksonville State logo
#204
Samford logo
#211
Western Carolina logo
#216
Wofford logo
#254
Morehead State logo
#283
Chattanooga logo
#290
UNCG logo
#292
Citadel logo
#344
Louisiana-Monroe logo
#356
VMI logo
#359
Converse College logo
Non D1
Tusculum logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

East Tennessee State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 4Home
Converse College logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 8Away
Presbyterian logo
#27167%94%64-68
Nov 12Home
Northern Kentucky logo
#18266%94%75-63
Nov 15Away
North Alabama logo
#34186%98%78-74
Nov 21Home
Morehead State logo
#28386%98%77-62
Nov 23Home
Louisiana-Monroe logo
#35696%99%97-55
Nov 29Home
Central Arkansas logo
#15659%92%80-57
Dec 2Away
Dayton logo
#7312%52%71-88
Dec 5Home
South Alabama logo
#19569%95%91-65
Dec 7Home
Tusculum logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 12Away
Austin Peay logo
#16638%83%75-76
Dec 16Away
North Carolina logo
#355%30%58-77
Dec 20Home
Jacksonville State logo
#20471%95%75-81
Dec 30Away
Citadel logo
#34487%98%74-49
Jan 3Home
Mercer logo
#19068%94%77-71
Jan 7Home
VMI logo
#35997%100%81-67
Jan 10Home
UNCG logo
#29287%98%86-60
Jan 14Away
Western Carolina logo
#21651%89%68-72
Jan 17Away
Samford logo
#21150%89%76-75
Jan 21Away
Chattanooga logo
#29072%95%67-66
Jan 23Home
Citadel logo
#34495%99%84-55
Jan 29Home
Western Carolina logo
#21674%96%88-90
Feb 1Away
Wofford logo
#25461%93%86-72
Feb 4Home
Furman logo
#17965%94%75-71
Feb 7Away
VMI logo
#35992%99%87-70
Feb 11Home
Chattanooga logo
#29087%98%73-61
Feb 14Home
Samford logo
#21173%95%72-82
Feb 18Away
Furman logo
#17941%85%78-69
Feb 21Away
UNCG logo
#29272%95%87-75
Feb 25Home
Wofford logo
#25481%97%69-72
Feb 28Away
Mercer logo
#19044%86%76-82
Mar 7Neutral
Citadel logo
#34492%99%83-76
Mar 8Neutral
Western Carolina logo
#21664%94%69-67
Mar 9Neutral
Furman logo
#17953%91%61-76

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%North CarolinaDaytonAustin PeayFurmanMercerSamfordWestern CarolinaFurmanCentral ArkansasWoffordFurmanNorthern KentuckyWestern CarolinaPresbyterianMercerSouth AlabamaDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games12-4, 2 left
Record:
21-11
#50 Fcst:
29.1-2.9
Act Win %:
66%
#50 Fcst %:
91%
TWV:
-8.1
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 16 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

East Tennessee State logo
05101520Converse College Location: Home 11/04 Win Probability: 100%100%H22Tusculum Location: Home 12/07 Win Probability: 100%100%H23VMI Location: Home 01/07 Win Probability: 97%97%H1Louisiana-Monroe Location: Home 11/23 Win Probability: 96%96%H2Citadel Location: Home 01/23 Win Probability: 95%95%H3Citadel Location: Neutral 03/07 Win Probability: 92%92%N4VMI Location: Away 02/07 Win Probability: 92%92%A5UNCG Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 87%87%H6Chattanooga Location: Home 02/11 Win Probability: 87%87%H7Citadel Location: Away 12/30 Win Probability: 87%87%A8Morehead State Location: Home 11/21 Win Probability: 86%86%H9North Alabama Location: Away 11/15 Win Probability: 86%86%A10UNCG Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 72%72%A11Chattanooga Location: Away 01/21 Win Probability: 72%72%A12South Alabama Location: Home 12/05 Win Probability: 69%69%H13Mercer Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 68%68%H14Northern Kentucky Location: Home 11/12 Win Probability: 66%66%H15Furman Location: Home 02/04 Win Probability: 65%65%H16Western Carolina Location: Neutral 03/08 Win Probability: 64%64%N17Wofford Location: Away 02/01 Win Probability: 61%61%A18Central Arkansas Location: Home 11/29 Win Probability: 59%59%H19Samford Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 50%50%A20Furman Location: Away 02/18 Win Probability: 41%41%A2121WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
21100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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