JThom Analytics Logo
Harvard logo

Harvard #148

Team Page

16-13
Overall
10-4
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Ivy League logo

Team Schedule

Harvard logo

Away

9-6
St. John's logo
#13
Yale logo
#76
Penn State logo
#140
Boston College logo
#143
Penn logo
#150
Cornell logo
#157
Furman logo
#179
Massachusetts logo
#188
Columbia logo
#197
Marist logo
#198
Colgate logo
#240
Princeton logo
#250
Dartmouth logo
#272
Brown logo
#286
Army logo
#338

Neutral

0-2
Penn logo
#150
Boston logo
#252

Home

7-4
Yale logo
#76
Penn logo
#150
Cornell logo
#157
Columbia logo
#197
Princeton logo
#250
Dartmouth logo
#272
Brown logo
#286
Northeastern logo
#291
Holy Cross logo
#331
New Hampshire logo
#349
Bryant logo
#355
MIT logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Harvard logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 7Home
MIT logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 9Home
New Hampshire logo
#34996%99%86-75
Nov 11Home
Northeastern logo
#29189%98%60-77
Nov 15Away
Army logo
#33887%98%75-52
Nov 16Away
Marist logo
#19851%87%56-54
Nov 19Away
Penn State logo
#14035%78%80-84
Nov 22Neutral
Boston logo
#25276%96%74-75
Nov 26Away
Boston College logo
#14336%79%60-73
Nov 29Home
Bryant logo
#35597%99%56-53
Dec 3Away
Massachusetts logo
#18848%86%71-78
Dec 6Away
Furman logo
#17946%85%69-79
Dec 20Home
Holy Cross logo
#33194%99%81-53
Dec 23Away
St. John's logo
#133%16%59-85
Dec 28Away
Colgate logo
#24063%92%78-69
Jan 5Home
Dartmouth logo
#27286%98%68-76
Jan 10Away
Columbia logo
#19751%87%79-54
Jan 17Home
Princeton logo
#25083%97%87-80
Jan 19Home
Penn logo
#15062%91%64-63
Jan 24Home
Cornell logo
#15764%92%79-86
Jan 30Away
Brown logo
#28674%95%69-59
Jan 31Away
Yale logo
#7615%53%67-65
Feb 7Away
Dartmouth logo
#27271%94%71-58
Feb 13Home
Brown logo
#28688%98%56-53
Feb 14Home
Yale logo
#7632%75%75-76
Feb 21Away
Cornell logo
#15740%81%73-54
Feb 27Away
Princeton logo
#25065%92%58-56
Feb 28Away
Penn logo
#15038%80%61-64
Mar 6Home
Columbia logo
#19774%95%81-71
Mar 14Neutral
Penn logo
#15050%88%60-62

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%St. John'sYaleYalePenn StateBoston CollegePennCornellFurmanMassachusettsColumbiaMaristPennPennColgateCornellPrincetonDartmouthColumbiaBrownDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games6-3, 1 left
Record:
16-12
#50 Fcst:
24.3-3.7
Act Win %:
57%
#50 Fcst %:
87%
TWV:
-8.3
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 19 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Harvard logo
051015MIT Location: Home 11/07 Win Probability: 100%100%H17Bryant Location: Home 11/29 Win Probability: 97%97%H1New Hampshire Location: Home 11/09 Win Probability: 96%96%H2Holy Cross Location: Home 12/20 Win Probability: 94%94%H3Brown Location: Home 02/13 Win Probability: 88%88%H4Army Location: Away 11/15 Win Probability: 87%87%A5Princeton Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 83%83%H6Brown Location: Away 01/30 Win Probability: 74%74%A7Columbia Location: Home 03/06 Win Probability: 74%74%H8Dartmouth Location: Away 02/07 Win Probability: 71%71%A9Princeton Location: Away 02/27 Win Probability: 65%65%A10Colgate Location: Away 12/28 Win Probability: 63%63%A11Penn Location: Home 01/19 Win Probability: 62%62%H12Marist Location: Away 11/16 Win Probability: 51%51%A13Columbia Location: Away 01/10 Win Probability: 51%51%A14Cornell Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 40%40%A15Yale Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 15%15%A1616WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
16100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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