Bellarmine logo

Bellarmine #284

Team Page

11-21
Overall
7-11
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Atlantic Sun logo

Team Schedule

Bellarmine logo

Away

2-13
Kentucky logo
#27
Georgia logo
#31
Notre Dame logo
#93
Kansas State logo
#95
Murray State logo
#129
Central Arkansas logo
#156
Austin Peay logo
#166
Queens (NC) logo
#191
Lipscomb logo
#218
Jacksonville logo
#289
Eastern Kentucky logo
#294
West Georgia logo
#297
North Florida logo
#334
North Alabama logo
#341
Citadel logo
#344

Neutral

1-1
Central Arkansas logo
#156
Jacksonville logo
#289

Home

8-5
Central Arkansas logo
#156
Austin Peay logo
#166
Northern Kentucky logo
#182
Queens (NC) logo
#191
Lipscomb logo
#218
Florida Gulf Coast logo
#239
Wofford logo
#254
Chattanooga logo
#290
Eastern Kentucky logo
#294
West Georgia logo
#297
Houston Christian logo
#298
Stetson logo
#310
North Alabama logo
#341
Hanover logo
Non D1
Midway logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Bellarmine logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
Georgia logo
#311%28%59-104
Nov 8Away
Kansas State logo
#955%63%71-98
Nov 12Home
Hanover logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 15Home
Wofford logo
#25452%97%86-94
Nov 19Away
Notre Dame logo
#935%62%79-86
Nov 24Away
Citadel logo
#34463%98%70-58
Nov 25Home
Houston Christian logo
#29866%98%74-69
Dec 3Home
Midway logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 6Away
Murray State logo
#1299%75%68-81
Dec 13Home
Northern Kentucky logo
#18233%94%76-80
Dec 17Home
Chattanooga logo
#29064%98%79-64
Dec 23Away
Kentucky logo
#271%25%85-99
Jan 1Away
West Georgia logo
#29742%96%85-87
Jan 3Away
Queens (NC) logo
#19117%86%76-98
Jan 8Home
Central Arkansas logo
#15627%92%84-78
Jan 10Home
North Alabama logo
#34181%99%73-82
Jan 15Away
Lipscomb logo
#21822%89%71-81
Jan 17Away
Eastern Kentucky logo
#29441%95%69-89
Jan 22Away
Jacksonville logo
#28939%95%77-70
Jan 24Away
North Florida logo
#33458%98%114-117
Jan 28Home
West Georgia logo
#29765%98%77-74
Jan 31Home
Queens (NC) logo
#19135%94%78-75
Feb 5Home
Stetson logo
#31068%99%92-71
Feb 7Home
Florida Gulf Coast logo
#23950%97%81-65
Feb 11Away
Central Arkansas logo
#15612%81%76-84
Feb 14Away
Austin Peay logo
#16614%83%70-90
Feb 18Home
Lipscomb logo
#21842%96%72-75
Feb 21Home
Eastern Kentucky logo
#29465%98%92-95
Feb 25Away
North Alabama logo
#34161%98%68-73
Feb 28Home
Austin Peay logo
#16629%93%111-97
Mar 4Neutral
Jacksonville logo
#28951%97%82-79
Mar 6Neutral
Central Arkansas logo
#15618%88%73-86

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%KentuckyGeorgiaNotre DameKansas StateMurray StateCentral ArkansasAustin PeayQueens (NC)Central ArkansasLipscombCentral ArkansasAustin PeayNorthern KentuckyQueens (NC)Difficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games8-8, 2 left
Record:
11-19
#50 Fcst:
26.1-3.9
Act Win %:
37%
#50 Fcst %:
87%
TWV:
-15.1
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 14 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Bellarmine logo
0510Hanover Location: Home 11/12 Win Probability: 100%100%H12Midway Location: Home 12/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H13Stetson Location: Home 02/05 Win Probability: 68%68%H1Houston Christian Location: Home 11/25 Win Probability: 66%66%H2West Georgia Location: Home 01/28 Win Probability: 65%65%H3Chattanooga Location: Home 12/17 Win Probability: 64%64%H4Citadel Location: Away 11/24 Win Probability: 63%63%A5Jacksonville Location: Neutral 03/04 Win Probability: 51%51%N6Florida Gulf Coast Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 50%50%H7Jacksonville Location: Away 01/22 Win Probability: 39%39%A8Queens (NC) Location: Home 01/31 Win Probability: 35%35%H9Austin Peay Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 29%29%H10Central Arkansas Location: Home 01/08 Win Probability: 27%27%H1111WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
11100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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