JThom Analytics Logo
Wright State logo

Wright State #135

Team Page

21-13
Overall
15-5
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
15.0
Avg Seed
Horizon League logo

Team Schedule

Wright State logo

Away

9-5
California logo
#74
Butler logo
#87
Robert Morris logo
#149
Oakland logo
#177
Northern Kentucky logo
#182
Marshall logo
#200
Youngstown State logo
#208
Green Bay logo
#210
Detroit logo
#213
Purdue Fort Wayne logo
#260
Milwaukee logo
#270
Stetson logo
#310
IU Indy logo
#323
Cleveland State logo
#324

Neutral

3-1
Kent State logo
#152
Northern Kentucky logo
#182
Detroit logo
#213
Radford logo
#242

Home

9-5
Miami (OH) logo
#90
Toledo logo
#132
Robert Morris logo
#149
Oakland logo
#177
Northern Kentucky logo
#182
Youngstown State logo
#208
Green Bay logo
#210
Detroit logo
#213
Eastern Michigan logo
#255
Purdue Fort Wayne logo
#260
Milwaukee logo
#270
IU Indy logo
#323
Cleveland State logo
#324
Cleveland State logo
#324
Franklin logo
Non D1
Ohio Wesleyan logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Wright State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Franklin logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 6Away
California logo
#7416%52%67-77
Nov 11Home
Toledo logo
#13260%89%71-81
Nov 15Neutral
Radford logo
#24278%95%92-59
Nov 16Neutral
Kent State logo
#15255%88%72-76
Nov 20Home
Ohio Wesleyan logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 25Away
Stetson logo
#31082%96%79-62
Nov 28Away
Butler logo
#8720%57%69-94
Dec 3Away
Youngstown State logo
#20857%88%68-69
Dec 7Home
Green Bay logo
#21079%95%86-58
Dec 13Away
Marshall logo
#20056%87%74-76
Dec 16Home
Miami (OH) logo
#9041%80%76-83
Dec 22Home
Eastern Michigan logo
#25586%97%70-64
Dec 29Home
Oakland logo
#17772%93%88-73
Jan 1Home
Milwaukee logo
#27088%98%76-70
Jan 4Away
IU Indy logo
#32385%97%81-77
Jan 9Away
Detroit logo
#21359%89%84-82
Jan 11Away
Oakland logo
#17749%84%94-84
Jan 15Home
Youngstown State logo
#20878%95%93-83
Jan 21Home
Cleveland State logo
#32494%99%79-85
Jan 24Home
Northern Kentucky logo
#18273%94%88-80
Jan 30Away
Milwaukee logo
#27074%94%76-69
Feb 1Away
Green Bay logo
#21058%88%83-75
Feb 4Away
Robert Morris logo
#14942%80%66-72
Feb 7Home
Purdue Fort Wayne logo
#26087%97%73-68
Feb 12Home
Detroit logo
#21379%95%74-77
Feb 15Away
Cleveland State logo
#32485%97%102-90
Feb 19Home
IU Indy logo
#32394%99%85-73
Feb 22Home
Robert Morris logo
#14966%91%68-81
Feb 25Away
Purdue Fort Wayne logo
#26071%93%74-70
Feb 28Away
Northern Kentucky logo
#18250%85%92-91
Mar 4Home
Cleveland State logo
#32494%99%90-61
Mar 9Neutral
Northern Kentucky logo
#18263%91%103-90
Mar 10Neutral
Detroit logo
#21371%93%66-63

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%CaliforniaButlerMiami (OH)Robert MorrisOaklandNorthern KentuckyMarshallKent StateYoungstown StateGreen BayDetroitToledoNorthern KentuckyRobert MorrisPurdue Fort WayneOaklandDetroitNorthern KentuckyMilwaukeeDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games11-2, 2 left
Record:
21-11
#50 Fcst:
28.8-3.2
Act Win %:
66%
#50 Fcst %:
90%
TWV:
-7.8
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 19 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Wright State logo
05101520Franklin Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H22Ohio Wesleyan Location: Home 11/20 Win Probability: 100%100%H23Cleveland State Location: Home 03/04 Win Probability: 94%94%H1IU Indy Location: Home 02/19 Win Probability: 94%94%H2Milwaukee Location: Home 01/01 Win Probability: 88%88%H3Purdue Fort Wayne Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 87%87%H4Eastern Michigan Location: Home 12/22 Win Probability: 86%86%H5Cleveland State Location: Away 02/15 Win Probability: 85%85%A6IU Indy Location: Away 01/04 Win Probability: 85%85%A7Stetson Location: Away 11/25 Win Probability: 82%82%A8Green Bay Location: Home 12/07 Win Probability: 79%79%H9Youngstown State Location: Home 01/15 Win Probability: 78%78%H10Radford Location: Neutral 11/15 Win Probability: 78%78%N11Milwaukee Location: Away 01/30 Win Probability: 74%74%A12Northern Kentucky Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 73%73%H13Oakland Location: Home 12/29 Win Probability: 72%72%H14Purdue Fort Wayne Location: Away 02/25 Win Probability: 71%71%A15Detroit Location: Neutral 03/10 Win Probability: 71%71%N16Northern Kentucky Location: Neutral 03/09 Win Probability: 63%63%N17Detroit Location: Away 01/09 Win Probability: 59%59%A18Green Bay Location: Away 02/01 Win Probability: 58%58%A19Northern Kentucky Location: Away 02/28 Win Probability: 50%50%A20Oakland Location: Away 01/11 Win Probability: 49%49%A2121WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
15In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
21100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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