JThom Analytics Logo
Northern Iowa logo

Northern Iowa #66

Team Page

22-13
Overall
11-9
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
13.0
Avg Seed
Missouri Valley logo

Team Schedule

Northern Iowa logo

Away

6-6
Saint Mary's logo
#24
Belmont logo
#69
Illinois State logo
#101
UC Irvine logo
#105
UIC logo
#106
Bradley logo
#122
Southern Illinois logo
#123
Murray State logo
#129
Valparaiso logo
#165
Indiana State logo
#206
Drake logo
#207
Evansville logo
#313

Neutral

5-1
Tulsa logo
#64
Illinois State logo
#101
UIC logo
#106
Bradley logo
#122
Loyola Chicago logo
#276
Evansville logo
#313

Home

11-5
Belmont logo
#69
Wichita State logo
#82
Illinois State logo
#101
UIC logo
#106
Bradley logo
#122
Southern Illinois logo
#123
Murray State logo
#129
Valparaiso logo
#165
Oakland logo
#177
CSUN logo
#178
Furman logo
#179
Indiana State logo
#206
Drake logo
#207
South Dakota State logo
#215
Evansville logo
#313
Northern Illinois logo
#343
Coe logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Northern Iowa logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 6Home
CSUN logo
#17890%94%86-57
Nov 9Home
South Dakota State logo
#21593%96%65-58
Nov 14Home
Furman logo
#17990%94%70-54
Nov 18Home
Northern Illinois logo
#34399%99%70-57
Nov 22Away
UC Irvine logo
#10556%67%70-69
Nov 25Neutral
Loyola Chicago logo
#27695%97%72-51
Nov 26Neutral
Tulsa logo
#6448%61%60-63
Dec 1Home
Coe logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 6Home
Wichita State logo
#8266%76%69-74
Dec 13Home
Oakland logo
#17790%93%75-63
Dec 17Away
UIC logo
#10656%67%60-54
Dec 22Away
Saint Mary's logo
#2416%23%58-63
Dec 29Home
Valparaiso logo
#16589%93%58-48
Jan 1Home
Indiana State logo
#20692%95%75-66
Jan 4Away
Evansville logo
#31394%96%62-48
Jan 7Home
Belmont logo
#6962%73%65-78
Jan 10Away
Bradley logo
#12263%73%69-75
Jan 13Home
UIC logo
#10677%85%61-69
Jan 17Away
Valparaiso logo
#16575%83%44-54
Jan 21Away
Illinois State logo
#10155%66%54-59
Jan 24Home
Murray State logo
#12983%89%81-76
Jan 28Away
Southern Illinois logo
#12363%73%50-65
Jan 31Home
Evansville logo
#31398%99%71-55
Feb 6Home
Bradley logo
#12282%88%61-49
Feb 9Away
Murray State logo
#12964%75%89-60
Feb 12Away
Belmont logo
#6938%50%86-91
Feb 15Home
Drake logo
#20792%95%86-62
Feb 18Away
Indiana State logo
#20682%88%81-60
Feb 21Home
Southern Illinois logo
#12382%88%57-59
Feb 25Home
Illinois State logo
#10176%84%69-71
Mar 1Away
Drake logo
#20782%88%75-53
Mar 5Neutral
Evansville logo
#31397%98%68-59
Mar 6Neutral
Illinois State logo
#10167%77%74-52
Mar 7Neutral
Bradley logo
#12274%83%73-69
Mar 8Neutral
UIC logo
#10668%78%84-69

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%Saint Mary'sBelmontTulsaIllinois StateUC IrvineUICBelmontBradleySouthern IllinoisMurray StateWichita StateIllinois StateUICValparaisoBradleyIllinois StateUICIndiana StateDrakeBradleySouthern IllinoisMurray StateValparaisoOaklandCSUNFurmanDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games8-0, 1 left
Record:
22-12
#50 Fcst:
27.8-6.2
Act Win %:
65%
#50 Fcst %:
82%
TWV:
-5.8
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 26 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Northern Iowa logo
05101520Coe Location: Home 12/01 Win Probability: 100%100%H23Northern Illinois Location: Home 11/18 Win Probability: 99%99%H1Evansville Location: Home 01/31 Win Probability: 98%98%H2Evansville Location: Neutral 03/05 Win Probability: 97%97%N3Loyola Chicago Location: Neutral 11/25 Win Probability: 95%95%N4Evansville Location: Away 01/04 Win Probability: 94%94%A5South Dakota State Location: Home 11/09 Win Probability: 93%93%H6Drake Location: Home 02/15 Win Probability: 92%92%H7Indiana State Location: Home 01/01 Win Probability: 92%92%H8Furman Location: Home 11/14 Win Probability: 90%90%H9CSUN Location: Home 11/06 Win Probability: 90%90%H10Oakland Location: Home 12/13 Win Probability: 90%90%H11Valparaiso Location: Home 12/29 Win Probability: 89%89%H12Murray State Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 83%83%H13Bradley Location: Home 02/06 Win Probability: 82%82%H14Drake Location: Away 03/01 Win Probability: 82%82%A15Indiana State Location: Away 02/18 Win Probability: 82%82%A16Bradley Location: Neutral 03/07 Win Probability: 74%74%N17UIC Location: Neutral 03/08 Win Probability: 68%68%N18Illinois State Location: Neutral 03/06 Win Probability: 67%67%N19Murray State Location: Away 02/09 Win Probability: 64%64%A20UIC Location: Away 12/17 Win Probability: 56%56%A21UC Irvine Location: Away 11/22 Win Probability: 56%56%A2222WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
13In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
22100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

Loading rank history...

Projected Wins History

Loading historical data...

Projected Standings History

Loading historical data...

First Place Probability History

Loading historical data...

NCAA Tournament Bid History

Loading NCAA bid history...

NCAA Tournament Progression History

Loading NCAA progression history...