JThom Analytics Logo
Belmont logo

Belmont #69

Team Page

25-7
Overall
16-4
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Missouri Valley logo

Team Schedule

Belmont logo

Away

11-3
Northern Iowa logo
#66
Illinois State logo
#101
UC Irvine logo
#105
UIC logo
#106
Bradley logo
#122
Southern Illinois logo
#123
Murray State logo
#129
Valparaiso logo
#165
Middle Tennessee logo
#169
Charleston logo
#174
Indiana State logo
#206
Drake logo
#207
Oral Roberts logo
#311
Evansville logo
#313

Neutral

2-1
Toledo logo
#132
Drake logo
#207
Saint Francis U logo
#354

Home

12-2
Northern Iowa logo
#66
Illinois State logo
#101
UIC logo
#106
Bradley logo
#122
Southern Illinois logo
#123
Murray State logo
#129
Richmond logo
#160
Valparaiso logo
#165
Tennessee State logo
#194
Indiana State logo
#206
Drake logo
#207
Lipscomb logo
#218
Evansville logo
#313
Air Force logo
#350
Fisk logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Belmont logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Air Force logo
#35099%99%79-63
Nov 8Home
Tennessee State logo
#19491%94%87-79
Nov 15Away
Oral Roberts logo
#31194%96%83-60
Nov 19Home
Lipscomb logo
#21893%96%75-68
Nov 21Home
Fisk logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 24Neutral
Saint Francis U logo
#35499%99%94-57
Nov 26Neutral
Toledo logo
#13276%84%87-72
Nov 30Away
Charleston logo
#17476%84%96-73
Dec 3Home
Richmond logo
#16087%92%76-84
Dec 7Away
Middle Tennessee logo
#16975%83%83-62
Dec 13Home
UIC logo
#10677%85%87-84
Dec 16Away
Evansville logo
#31394%96%83-78
Dec 19Away
UC Irvine logo
#10556%67%84-58
Dec 29Away
Indiana State logo
#20682%88%80-81
Jan 1Home
Bradley logo
#12282%88%88-78
Jan 4Home
Southern Illinois logo
#12382%88%67-68
Jan 7Away
Northern Iowa logo
#6638%50%78-65
Jan 10Away
Drake logo
#20782%88%78-76
Jan 13Home
Valparaiso logo
#16588%93%78-74
Jan 17Away
Southern Illinois logo
#12363%73%73-68
Jan 24Home
Illinois State logo
#10176%84%80-69
Jan 28Away
Valparaiso logo
#16574%83%78-77
Jan 31Home
Murray State logo
#12983%89%103-86
Feb 3Home
Drake logo
#20792%95%103-90
Feb 6Away
UIC logo
#10656%67%68-62
Feb 9Away
Bradley logo
#12263%73%84-95
Feb 12Home
Northern Iowa logo
#6662%73%91-86
Feb 15Away
Murray State logo
#12964%75%87-70
Feb 21Home
Indiana State logo
#20692%95%87-70
Feb 25Home
Evansville logo
#31398%99%98-64
Mar 1Away
Illinois State logo
#10154%66%74-81
Mar 6Neutral
Drake logo
#20789%93%81-100

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%Northern IowaIllinois StateUC IrvineUICNorthern IowaBradleySouthern IllinoisMurray StateValparaisoMiddle TennesseeCharlestonIllinois StateToledoUICIndiana StateDrakeBradleySouthern IllinoisMurray StateRichmondValparaisoDrakeTennessee StateDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games8-0, 1 left
Record:
25-6
#50 Fcst:
26.3-4.7
Act Win %:
81%
#50 Fcst %:
85%
TWV:
-1.3
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 23 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Belmont logo
0510152025Fisk Location: Home 11/21 Win Probability: 100%100%H26Air Force Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 99%99%H1Saint Francis U Location: Neutral 11/24 Win Probability: 99%99%N2Evansville Location: Home 02/25 Win Probability: 98%98%H3Evansville Location: Away 12/16 Win Probability: 94%94%A4Oral Roberts Location: Away 11/15 Win Probability: 94%94%A5Lipscomb Location: Home 11/19 Win Probability: 93%93%H6Drake Location: Home 02/03 Win Probability: 92%92%H7Indiana State Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 92%92%H8Tennessee State Location: Home 11/08 Win Probability: 91%91%H9Valparaiso Location: Home 01/13 Win Probability: 88%88%H10Murray State Location: Home 01/31 Win Probability: 83%83%H11Bradley Location: Home 01/01 Win Probability: 82%82%H12Drake Location: Away 01/10 Win Probability: 82%82%A13UIC Location: Home 12/13 Win Probability: 77%77%H14Toledo Location: Neutral 11/26 Win Probability: 76%76%N15Illinois State Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 76%76%H16Charleston Location: Away 11/30 Win Probability: 76%76%A17Middle Tennessee Location: Away 12/07 Win Probability: 75%75%A18Valparaiso Location: Away 01/28 Win Probability: 74%74%A19Murray State Location: Away 02/15 Win Probability: 64%64%A20Southern Illinois Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 63%63%A21Northern Iowa Location: Home 02/12 Win Probability: 62%62%H22UIC Location: Away 02/06 Win Probability: 56%56%A23UC Irvine Location: Away 12/19 Win Probability: 56%56%A24Northern Iowa Location: Away 01/07 Win Probability: 38%38%A2525WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
25100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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