JThom Analytics Logo
Murray State logo

Murray State #129

Team Page

20-12
Overall
12-8
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Missouri Valley logo

Team Schedule

Murray State logo

Away

5-6
SMU logo
#43
Northern Iowa logo
#66
Belmont logo
#69
Illinois State logo
#101
UIC logo
#106
Bradley logo
#122
Southern Illinois logo
#123
Valparaiso logo
#165
Indiana State logo
#206
Drake logo
#207
Evansville logo
#313

Neutral

3-3
Akron logo
#63
McNeese State logo
#65
George Washington logo
#81
UIC logo
#106
Middle Tennessee logo
#169
Omaha logo
#253

Home

12-3
Northern Iowa logo
#66
Belmont logo
#69
Illinois State logo
#101
UIC logo
#106
Bradley logo
#122
Southern Illinois logo
#123
Valparaiso logo
#165
Indiana State logo
#206
Drake logo
#207
Nicholls logo
#247
Morehead State logo
#283
Bellarmine logo
#284
Little Rock logo
#309
Evansville logo
#313
Mississippi Valley State logo
#365

Schedule Chart

Murray State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Neutral
Omaha logo
#25382%96%85-77
Nov 7Home
Mississippi Valley State logo
#36599%100%108-60
Nov 11Away
SMU logo
#439%33%91-102
Nov 15Home
Nicholls logo
#24787%97%99-79
Nov 18Home
Little Rock logo
#30993%98%89-68
Nov 23Neutral
Middle Tennessee logo
#16963%90%87-90
Nov 24Neutral
McNeese State logo
#6524%62%60-73
Nov 25Neutral
George Washington logo
#8128%66%96-95
Dec 2Home
Morehead State logo
#28391%98%84-52
Dec 6Home
Bellarmine logo
#28491%98%81-68
Dec 13Neutral
Akron logo
#6323%61%115-100
Dec 18Home
Drake logo
#20780%95%81-72
Dec 21Away
Valparaiso logo
#16550%83%85-79
Dec 29Home
Southern Illinois logo
#12361%88%84-81
Jan 1Away
UIC logo
#10630%67%81-77
Jan 4Home
Bradley logo
#12261%88%86-66
Jan 7Away
Evansville logo
#31384%96%79-69
Jan 10Home
Valparaiso logo
#16573%93%92-79
Jan 17Home
Indiana State logo
#20680%95%85-81
Jan 21Away
Drake logo
#20761%88%90-101
Jan 24Away
Northern Iowa logo
#6617%50%76-81
Jan 28Home
Illinois State logo
#10152%84%65-70
Jan 31Away
Belmont logo
#6917%50%86-103
Feb 3Home
UIC logo
#10654%85%81-74
Feb 6Away
Southern Illinois logo
#12337%73%91-81
Feb 9Home
Northern Iowa logo
#6636%73%60-89
Feb 12Away
Indiana State logo
#20660%88%74-72
Feb 15Home
Belmont logo
#6936%73%70-87
Feb 18Away
Illinois State logo
#10129%66%61-78
Feb 21Home
Evansville logo
#31393%99%88-75
Mar 1Away
Bradley logo
#12237%73%78-87
Mar 6Neutral
UIC logo
#10641%78%79-92

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%SMUNorthern IowaBelmontAkronMcNeese StateIllinois StateGeorge WashingtonUICNorthern IowaBelmontBradleySouthern IllinoisUICValparaisoIllinois StateUICIndiana StateDrakeBradleySouthern IllinoisMiddle TennesseeValparaisoDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games10-0, 0 left
Record:
20-12
#50 Fcst:
25.8-6.2
Act Win %:
63%
#50 Fcst %:
81%
TWV:
-5.8
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 22 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Murray State logo
05101520Mississippi Valley State Location: Home 11/07 Win Probability: 99%99%H1Evansville Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 93%93%H2Little Rock Location: Home 11/18 Win Probability: 93%93%H3Bellarmine Location: Home 12/06 Win Probability: 91%91%H4Morehead State Location: Home 12/02 Win Probability: 91%91%H5Nicholls Location: Home 11/15 Win Probability: 87%87%H6Evansville Location: Away 01/07 Win Probability: 84%84%A7Omaha Location: Neutral 11/03 Win Probability: 82%82%N8Drake Location: Home 12/18 Win Probability: 80%80%H9Indiana State Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 80%80%H10Valparaiso Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 73%73%H11Southern Illinois Location: Home 12/29 Win Probability: 61%61%H12Bradley Location: Home 01/04 Win Probability: 61%61%H13Indiana State Location: Away 02/12 Win Probability: 60%60%A14UIC Location: Home 02/03 Win Probability: 54%54%H15Valparaiso Location: Away 12/21 Win Probability: 50%50%A16Southern Illinois Location: Away 02/06 Win Probability: 37%37%A17UIC Location: Away 01/01 Win Probability: 30%30%A18George Washington Location: Neutral 11/25 Win Probability: 28%28%N19Akron Location: Neutral 12/13 Win Probability: 23%23%N2020WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
20100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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