JThom Analytics Logo
Illinois State logo

Illinois State #101

Team Page

19-13
Overall
12-8
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Missouri Valley logo

Team Schedule

Illinois State logo

Away

5-7
Northern Iowa logo
#66
Belmont logo
#69
UIC logo
#106
Bradley logo
#122
Southern Illinois logo
#123
Murray State logo
#129
Valparaiso logo
#165
Indiana State logo
#206
Drake logo
#207
Ohio logo
#223
Long Beach State logo
#251
Evansville logo
#313

Neutral

2-3
Utah State logo
#30
Northern Iowa logo
#66
USC logo
#86
Charlotte logo
#176
Furman logo
#179

Home

12-2
Northern Iowa logo
#66
Belmont logo
#69
UIC logo
#106
Bradley logo
#122
Southern Illinois logo
#123
Murray State logo
#129
Cornell logo
#157
Valparaiso logo
#165
Indiana State logo
#206
Drake logo
#207
Coastal Carolina logo
#241
Eastern Kentucky logo
#294
Evansville logo
#313
Chicago State logo
#345
Rockford logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Illinois State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 6Away
Ohio logo
#22374%90%68-72
Nov 9Home
Cornell logo
#15778%92%76-65
Nov 14Neutral
USC logo
#8640%69%67-87
Nov 16Away
Long Beach State logo
#25179%92%82-80
Nov 20Home
Rockford logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 23Home
Coastal Carolina logo
#24191%97%94-42
Nov 27Neutral
Charlotte logo
#17674%90%79-69
Nov 28Neutral
Furman logo
#17975%91%72-65
Dec 3Home
Eastern Kentucky logo
#29495%98%89-78
Dec 6Home
Chicago State logo
#34598%99%95-53
Dec 13Neutral
Utah State logo
#3016%38%78-83
Dec 18Away
Southern Illinois logo
#12347%73%75-68
Dec 21Home
Indiana State logo
#20686%95%85-65
Dec 29Away
Drake logo
#20770%88%73-56
Jan 1Home
Evansville logo
#31396%99%73-47
Jan 7Away
Valparaiso logo
#16560%83%71-77
Jan 10Home
UIC logo
#10663%85%59-63
Jan 14Away
Indiana State logo
#20670%88%89-94
Jan 17Home
Bradley logo
#12270%88%88-62
Jan 21Home
Northern Iowa logo
#6645%73%59-54
Jan 24Away
Belmont logo
#6924%50%69-80
Jan 28Away
Murray State logo
#12948%75%70-65
Feb 3Home
Southern Illinois logo
#12370%88%50-54
Feb 6Home
Drake logo
#20786%95%86-76
Feb 9Away
Evansville logo
#31389%96%80-88
Feb 12Home
Valparaiso logo
#16580%93%86-64
Feb 15Away
UIC logo
#10639%67%56-83
Feb 18Home
Murray State logo
#12971%89%78-61
Feb 21Away
Bradley logo
#12247%73%60-74
Feb 25Away
Northern Iowa logo
#6624%50%71-69
Mar 1Home
Belmont logo
#6946%73%81-74
Mar 6Neutral
Northern Iowa logo
#6633%62%52-74

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%Utah StateNorthern IowaBelmontNorthern IowaUICUSCNorthern IowaBelmontBradleySouthern IllinoisMurray StateValparaisoUICIndiana StateDrakeBradleySouthern IllinoisMurray StateOhioCharlotteFurmanCornellLong Beach StateValparaisoDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games6-1, 1 left
Record:
19-12
#50 Fcst:
25.4-5.6
Act Win %:
61%
#50 Fcst %:
82%
TWV:
-6.4
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 24 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Illinois State logo
05101520Rockford Location: Home 11/20 Win Probability: 100%100%H20Chicago State Location: Home 12/06 Win Probability: 98%98%H1Evansville Location: Home 01/01 Win Probability: 96%96%H2Eastern Kentucky Location: Home 12/03 Win Probability: 95%95%H3Coastal Carolina Location: Home 11/23 Win Probability: 91%91%H4Drake Location: Home 02/06 Win Probability: 86%86%H5Indiana State Location: Home 12/21 Win Probability: 86%86%H6Valparaiso Location: Home 02/12 Win Probability: 80%80%H7Long Beach State Location: Away 11/16 Win Probability: 79%79%A8Cornell Location: Home 11/09 Win Probability: 78%78%H9Furman Location: Neutral 11/28 Win Probability: 75%75%N10Charlotte Location: Neutral 11/27 Win Probability: 74%74%N11Murray State Location: Home 02/18 Win Probability: 71%71%H12Bradley Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 70%70%H13Drake Location: Away 12/29 Win Probability: 70%70%A14Murray State Location: Away 01/28 Win Probability: 48%48%A15Southern Illinois Location: Away 12/18 Win Probability: 47%47%A16Belmont Location: Home 03/01 Win Probability: 46%46%H17Northern Iowa Location: Home 01/21 Win Probability: 45%45%H18Northern Iowa Location: Away 02/25 Win Probability: 24%24%A1919WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
19100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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