JThom Analytics Logo
Furman logo

Furman #179

Team Page

19-15
Overall
10-8
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
16.0
Avg Seed
Southern logo

Team Schedule

Furman logo

Away

7-5
Northern Iowa logo
#66
East Tennessee State logo
#167
Mercer logo
#190
Samford logo
#211
Western Carolina logo
#216
Wofford logo
#254
Elon logo
#258
Chattanooga logo
#290
UNCG logo
#292
Manhattan logo
#329
Citadel logo
#344
VMI logo
#359

Neutral

4-2
High Point logo
#89
Illinois State logo
#101
Richmond logo
#160
East Tennessee State logo
#167
Samford logo
#211
UNCG logo
#292

Home

8-5
Troy logo
#134
Harvard logo
#148
East Tennessee State logo
#167
Mercer logo
#190
Queens (NC) logo
#191
Samford logo
#211
Western Carolina logo
#216
Charleston Southern logo
#244
Wofford logo
#254
Chattanooga logo
#290
UNCG logo
#292
Citadel logo
#344
VMI logo
#359
Bob Jones logo
Non D1
Columbia International logo
Non D1
Ohio Christian logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Furman logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Neutral
High Point logo
#8920%71%71-97
Nov 7Home
Troy logo
#13449%90%61-64
Nov 10Home
Columbia International logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 14Away
Northern Iowa logo
#6610%50%54-70
Nov 19Home
Ohio Christian logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 23Home
Queens (NC) logo
#19165%94%90-79
Nov 27Neutral
Richmond logo
#16044%88%73-72
Nov 28Neutral
Illinois State logo
#10125%77%65-72
Dec 3Away
Elon logo
#25860%93%97-88
Dec 6Home
Harvard logo
#14854%91%79-69
Dec 9Home
Bob Jones logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 18Away
Manhattan logo
#32980%97%75-68
Dec 21Home
Charleston Southern logo
#24478%97%84-76
Dec 31Home
Mercer logo
#19065%94%74-72
Jan 3Home
Western Carolina logo
#21671%96%77-80
Jan 7Away
Chattanooga logo
#29069%95%78-67
Jan 10Home
VMI logo
#35996%100%69-48
Jan 14Away
Samford logo
#21147%89%77-73
Jan 17Home
Wofford logo
#25479%97%70-74
Jan 21Away
Citadel logo
#34485%98%75-77
Jan 23Away
UNCG logo
#29269%95%89-66
Jan 29Home
Samford logo
#21170%95%78-73
Feb 1Home
Chattanooga logo
#29086%98%75-70
Feb 4Away
East Tennessee State logo
#16735%83%71-75
Feb 8Home
UNCG logo
#29286%98%64-67
Feb 11Away
Mercer logo
#19041%86%64-69
Feb 14Away
VMI logo
#35991%99%90-72
Feb 18Home
East Tennessee State logo
#16759%93%69-78
Feb 21Away
Wofford logo
#25458%93%76-67
Feb 25Home
Citadel logo
#34494%99%72-51
Feb 28Away
Western Carolina logo
#21648%89%67-86
Mar 7Neutral
Samford logo
#21159%93%86-81
Mar 8Neutral
UNCG logo
#29279%97%81-75
Mar 9Neutral
East Tennessee State logo
#16747%89%76-61

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%Northern IowaHigh PointIllinois StateEast Tennessee StateMercerRichmondSamfordWestern CarolinaEast Tennessee StateTroyHarvardWoffordEast Tennessee StateElonSamfordMercerQueens (NC)Difficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games10-4, 3 left
Record:
19-12
#50 Fcst:
28.2-2.8
Act Win %:
61%
#50 Fcst %:
91%
TWV:
-9.2
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 17 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Furman logo
05101520Columbia International Location: Home 11/10 Win Probability: 100%100%H20Ohio Christian Location: Home 11/19 Win Probability: 100%100%H21Bob Jones Location: Home 12/09 Win Probability: 100%100%H22VMI Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 96%96%H1Citadel Location: Home 02/25 Win Probability: 94%94%H2VMI Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 91%91%A3Chattanooga Location: Home 02/01 Win Probability: 86%86%H4Manhattan Location: Away 12/18 Win Probability: 80%80%A5UNCG Location: Neutral 03/08 Win Probability: 79%79%N6Charleston Southern Location: Home 12/21 Win Probability: 78%78%H7Samford Location: Home 01/29 Win Probability: 70%70%H8UNCG Location: Away 01/23 Win Probability: 69%69%A9Chattanooga Location: Away 01/07 Win Probability: 69%69%A10Queens (NC) Location: Home 11/23 Win Probability: 65%65%H11Mercer Location: Home 12/31 Win Probability: 65%65%H12Elon Location: Away 12/03 Win Probability: 60%60%A13Samford Location: Neutral 03/07 Win Probability: 59%59%N14Wofford Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 58%58%A15Harvard Location: Home 12/06 Win Probability: 54%54%H16East Tennessee State Location: Neutral 03/09 Win Probability: 47%47%N17Samford Location: Away 01/14 Win Probability: 47%47%A18Richmond Location: Neutral 11/27 Win Probability: 44%44%N1919WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
16In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
19100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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