JThom Analytics Logo
Idaho logo

Idaho #145

Team Page

18-17
Overall
9-9
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
16.0
Avg Seed
Big Sky logo

Team Schedule

Idaho logo

Away

7-9
Notre Dame logo
#93
California-San Diego logo
#124
Montana State logo
#133
Washington State logo
#136
Northern Colorado logo
#138
Portland State logo
#153
Eastern Washington logo
#164
Montana logo
#185
Weber State logo
#209
South Dakota State logo
#215
Cal Poly logo
#220
San Diego logo
#226
Idaho State logo
#268
Sacramento State logo
#274
Northern Arizona logo
#325
Bakersfield logo
#332

Neutral

5-1
Sam Houston logo
#109
Montana State logo
#133
Eastern Washington logo
#164
CSUN logo
#178
Montana logo
#185
Sacramento State logo
#274

Home

6-4
Montana State logo
#133
Northern Colorado logo
#138
Portland State logo
#153
Eastern Washington logo
#164
Montana logo
#185
Weber State logo
#209
Idaho State logo
#268
Sacramento State logo
#274
North Dakota logo
#277
Northern Arizona logo
#325
Eastern Oregon logo
Non D1
Evergreen State logo
Non D1
Whitman logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Idaho logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
Washington State logo
#13635%77%83-81
Nov 7Home
Whitman logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 12Away
San Diego logo
#22661%91%74-78
Nov 15Away
California-San Diego logo
#12431%74%67-75
Nov 22Home
Eastern Oregon logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 26Neutral
CSUN logo
#17859%91%78-64
Nov 28Neutral
Sam Houston logo
#10936%79%68-94
Dec 3Home
North Dakota logo
#27788%98%90-58
Dec 6Away
South Dakota State logo
#21557%89%84-81
Dec 10Away
Notre Dame logo
#9321%62%65-80
Dec 14Home
Evergreen State logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 21Away
Cal Poly logo
#22058%90%83-80
Dec 23Away
Bakersfield logo
#33286%97%63-64
Jan 3Home
Eastern Washington logo
#16467%93%84-81
Jan 8Home
Montana logo
#18572%94%73-79
Jan 10Home
Montana State logo
#13358%89%92-89
Jan 15Away
Idaho State logo
#26871%94%68-76
Jan 17Away
Weber State logo
#20955%88%75-67
Jan 22Home
Sacramento State logo
#27487%98%86-76
Jan 24Home
Portland State logo
#15364%92%66-69
Jan 29Away
Northern Colorado logo
#13836%78%83-91
Jan 31Away
Northern Arizona logo
#32584%97%79-62
Feb 5Away
Montana State logo
#13334%76%66-73
Feb 7Away
Montana logo
#18549%85%68-73
Feb 12Home
Weber State logo
#20976%95%72-83
Feb 14Home
Idaho State logo
#26886%98%99-69
Feb 19Away
Portland State logo
#15340%80%67-77
Feb 21Away
Sacramento State logo
#27472%94%86-80
Feb 26Home
Northern Arizona logo
#32593%99%78-58
Feb 28Home
Northern Colorado logo
#13860%90%67-76
Mar 2Away
Eastern Washington logo
#16443%83%85-81
Mar 7Neutral
Sacramento State logo
#27482%97%68-45
Mar 8Neutral
Montana State logo
#13345%85%78-74
Mar 10Neutral
Eastern Washington logo
#16456%89%81-68
Mar 11Neutral
Montana logo
#18561%91%77-66

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%Notre DameCalifornia-San DiegoMontana StateWashington StateNorthern ColoradoSam HoustonPortland StateEastern WashingtonMontana StateMontanaWeber StateSouth Dakota StateMontana StateEastern WashingtonCal PolyNorthern ColoradoSan DiegoCSUNMontanaPortland StateEastern WashingtonIdaho StateMontanaSacramento StateDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games6-2, 3 left
Record:
18-14
#50 Fcst:
28.3-3.7
Act Win %:
56%
#50 Fcst %:
88%
TWV:
-10.3
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 24 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Idaho logo
05101520Whitman Location: Home 11/07 Win Probability: 100%100%H19Eastern Oregon Location: Home 11/22 Win Probability: 100%100%H20Evergreen State Location: Home 12/14 Win Probability: 100%100%H21Northern Arizona Location: Home 02/26 Win Probability: 93%93%H1North Dakota Location: Home 12/03 Win Probability: 88%88%H2Sacramento State Location: Home 01/22 Win Probability: 87%87%H3Idaho State Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 86%86%H4Northern Arizona Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 84%84%A5Sacramento State Location: Neutral 03/07 Win Probability: 82%82%N6Sacramento State Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 72%72%A7Eastern Washington Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 67%67%H8Montana Location: Neutral 03/11 Win Probability: 61%61%N9CSUN Location: Neutral 11/26 Win Probability: 59%59%N10Cal Poly Location: Away 12/21 Win Probability: 58%58%A11Montana State Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 58%58%H12South Dakota State Location: Away 12/06 Win Probability: 57%57%A13Eastern Washington Location: Neutral 03/10 Win Probability: 56%56%N14Weber State Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 55%55%A15Montana State Location: Neutral 03/08 Win Probability: 45%45%N16Eastern Washington Location: Away 03/02 Win Probability: 43%43%A17Washington State Location: Away 11/03 Win Probability: 35%35%A1818WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
16In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
18100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

Loading rank history...

Projected Wins History

Loading historical data...

Projected Standings History

Loading historical data...

First Place Probability History

Loading historical data...

NCAA Tournament Bid History

Loading NCAA bid history...

NCAA Tournament Progression History

Loading NCAA progression history...