JThom Analytics Logo
Portland State logo

Portland State #153

Team Page

17-14
Overall
13-5
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Big Sky logo

Team Schedule

Portland State logo

Away

8-7
Stanford logo
#62
Colorado logo
#75
San Francisco logo
#120
Montana State logo
#133
Northern Colorado logo
#138
Idaho logo
#145
Eastern Washington logo
#164
Montana logo
#185
Tulane logo
#201
Utah Tech logo
#203
Weber State logo
#209
Idaho State logo
#268
Sacramento State logo
#274
South Dakota logo
#281
Northern Arizona logo
#325

Neutral

1-1
Montana logo
#185
Idaho State logo
#268

Home

8-3
Montana State logo
#133
Northern Colorado logo
#138
Idaho logo
#145
Eastern Washington logo
#164
Montana logo
#185
Weber State logo
#209
Omaha logo
#253
Idaho State logo
#268
Sacramento State logo
#274
Northern Arizona logo
#325
Bakersfield logo
#332
Evergreen State logo
Non D1
George Fox logo
Non D1
Northwest Indian logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Portland State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 4Away
Stanford logo
#6212%47%79-89
Nov 7Home
Northwest Indian logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 12Away
San Francisco logo
#12028%73%70-80
Nov 17Home
Bakersfield logo
#33294%99%93-80
Nov 19Home
Evergreen State logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 25Away
Utah Tech logo
#20352%88%68-63
Dec 3Away
South Dakota logo
#28173%95%77-71
Dec 6Home
Omaha logo
#25383%97%55-60
Dec 13Home
George Fox logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 17Away
Colorado logo
#7514%53%73-84
Dec 20Away
Tulane logo
#20151%87%61-63
Jan 1Away
Weber State logo
#20953%88%95-90
Jan 3Away
Idaho State logo
#26869%94%93-87
Jan 10Home
Sacramento State logo
#27486%98%96-69
Jan 15Home
Northern Colorado logo
#13858%90%76-73
Jan 17Home
Northern Arizona logo
#32593%99%63-52
Jan 22Away
Eastern Washington logo
#16441%83%65-61
Jan 24Away
Idaho logo
#14536%79%69-66
Jan 29Home
Montana logo
#18570%94%60-64
Jan 31Home
Montana State logo
#13355%89%63-54
Feb 2Home
Idaho State logo
#26885%98%88-65
Feb 7Away
Sacramento State logo
#27470%94%74-73
Feb 12Away
Northern Arizona logo
#32583%97%77-68
Feb 14Away
Northern Colorado logo
#13834%78%65-77
Feb 19Home
Idaho logo
#14560%91%77-67
Feb 21Home
Eastern Washington logo
#16465%93%55-67
Feb 26Away
Montana State logo
#13332%76%69-84
Feb 28Away
Montana logo
#18546%85%68-74
Mar 2Home
Weber State logo
#20975%95%84-60
Mar 8Neutral
Idaho State logo
#26879%96%85-78
Mar 10Neutral
Montana logo
#18559%91%72-75

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%StanfordColoradoSan FranciscoMontana StateNorthern ColoradoIdahoEastern WashingtonMontanaTulaneUtah TechWeber StateMontana StateNorthern ColoradoIdahoMontanaEastern WashingtonIdaho StateMontanaSacramento StateSouth DakotaDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games7-1, 3 left
Record:
17-11
#50 Fcst:
24.5-3.5
Act Win %:
61%
#50 Fcst %:
87%
TWV:
-7.5
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 20 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Portland State logo
05101520Northwest Indian Location: Home 11/07 Win Probability: 100%100%H18Evergreen State Location: Home 11/19 Win Probability: 100%100%H19George Fox Location: Home 12/13 Win Probability: 100%100%H20Bakersfield Location: Home 11/17 Win Probability: 94%94%H1Northern Arizona Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 93%93%H2Sacramento State Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 86%86%H3Idaho State Location: Home 02/02 Win Probability: 85%85%H4Northern Arizona Location: Away 02/12 Win Probability: 83%83%A5Idaho State Location: Neutral 03/08 Win Probability: 79%79%N6Weber State Location: Home 03/02 Win Probability: 75%75%H7South Dakota Location: Away 12/03 Win Probability: 73%73%A8Sacramento State Location: Away 02/07 Win Probability: 70%70%A9Idaho State Location: Away 01/03 Win Probability: 69%69%A10Idaho Location: Home 02/19 Win Probability: 60%60%H11Northern Colorado Location: Home 01/15 Win Probability: 58%58%H12Montana State Location: Home 01/31 Win Probability: 55%55%H13Weber State Location: Away 01/01 Win Probability: 53%53%A14Utah Tech Location: Away 11/25 Win Probability: 52%52%A15Eastern Washington Location: Away 01/22 Win Probability: 41%41%A16Idaho Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 36%36%A1717WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
17100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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