Northern Colorado logo

Northern Colorado #138

Team Page

17-14
Overall
10-8
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Big Sky logo

Team Schedule

Northern Colorado logo

Away

8-7
Texas Tech logo
#22
Colorado logo
#75
Montana State logo
#133
Idaho logo
#145
Portland State logo
#153
Eastern Washington logo
#164
Montana logo
#185
Weber State logo
#209
Portland logo
#225
Omaha logo
#253
Idaho State logo
#268
Pepperdine logo
#273
Sacramento State logo
#274
Northern Arizona logo
#325
Air Force logo
#350

Neutral

1-2
St. Thomas (MN) logo
#108
Montana logo
#185
Cal State Fullerton logo
#189

Home

8-3
Montana State logo
#133
Idaho logo
#145
Portland State logo
#153
Eastern Washington logo
#164
Montana logo
#185
Weber State logo
#209
Denver logo
#245
Idaho State logo
#268
Sacramento State logo
#274
South Dakota logo
#281
Northern Arizona logo
#325
Colorado Christian logo
Non D1
Colorado College logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Northern Colorado logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Colorado College logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 7Home
Colorado Christian logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 15Away
Pepperdine logo
#27373%94%88-81
Nov 21Neutral
St. Thomas (MN) logo
#10837%78%72-73
Nov 22Away
Portland logo
#22563%91%86-80
Nov 23Neutral
Cal State Fullerton logo
#18964%92%97-93
Nov 26Away
Air Force logo
#35091%98%71-53
Dec 3Away
Omaha logo
#25368%93%75-70
Dec 6Home
South Dakota logo
#28189%98%89-87
Dec 16Away
Texas Tech logo
#225%22%90-101
Dec 20Home
Denver logo
#24584%97%79-86
Dec 28Away
Colorado logo
#7516%53%86-81
Jan 1Away
Montana State logo
#13335%76%75-89
Jan 3Away
Montana logo
#18550%85%79-88
Jan 8Home
Idaho State logo
#26887%98%85-72
Jan 10Home
Weber State logo
#20978%95%71-76
Jan 15Away
Portland State logo
#15342%80%73-76
Jan 17Away
Sacramento State logo
#27473%94%89-93
Jan 19Home
Montana State logo
#13359%89%68-73
Jan 24Away
Northern Arizona logo
#32585%97%77-81
Jan 29Home
Idaho logo
#14564%91%91-83
Jan 31Home
Eastern Washington logo
#16469%93%74-71
Feb 5Away
Weber State logo
#20957%88%88-74
Feb 7Away
Idaho State logo
#26872%94%69-61
Feb 12Home
Sacramento State logo
#27488%98%95-79
Feb 14Home
Portland State logo
#15366%92%77-65
Feb 21Home
Northern Arizona logo
#32594%99%78-77
Feb 26Away
Eastern Washington logo
#16445%83%72-82
Feb 28Away
Idaho logo
#14540%79%76-67
Mar 2Home
Montana logo
#18573%94%85-57
Mar 9Neutral
Montana logo
#18563%91%89-95

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%Texas TechColoradoMontana StateSt. Thomas (MN)IdahoPortland StateEastern WashingtonMontanaWeber StateMontana StatePortlandIdahoMontanaCal State FullertonPortland StateOmahaEastern WashingtonIdaho StateMontanaPepperdineSacramento StateDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games5-3, 2 left
Record:
17-12
#50 Fcst:
25.3-3.7
Act Win %:
59%
#50 Fcst %:
87%
TWV:
-8.3
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 21 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Northern Colorado logo
051015Colorado College Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H18Colorado Christian Location: Home 11/07 Win Probability: 100%100%H19Northern Arizona Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 94%94%H1Air Force Location: Away 11/26 Win Probability: 91%91%A2South Dakota Location: Home 12/06 Win Probability: 89%89%H3Sacramento State Location: Home 02/12 Win Probability: 88%88%H4Idaho State Location: Home 01/08 Win Probability: 87%87%H5Pepperdine Location: Away 11/15 Win Probability: 73%73%A6Montana Location: Home 03/02 Win Probability: 73%73%H7Idaho State Location: Away 02/07 Win Probability: 72%72%A8Eastern Washington Location: Home 01/31 Win Probability: 69%69%H9Omaha Location: Away 12/03 Win Probability: 68%68%A10Portland State Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 66%66%H11Cal State Fullerton Location: Neutral 11/23 Win Probability: 64%64%N12Idaho Location: Home 01/29 Win Probability: 64%64%H13Portland Location: Away 11/22 Win Probability: 63%63%A14Weber State Location: Away 02/05 Win Probability: 57%57%A15Idaho Location: Away 02/28 Win Probability: 40%40%A16Colorado Location: Away 12/28 Win Probability: 16%16%A1717WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
17100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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