Morehead State logo

Morehead State #283

Team Page

17-16
Overall
15-5
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Ohio Valley logo

Team Schedule

Morehead State logo

Away

7-10
Georgia logo
#31
Clemson logo
#32
Wake Forest logo
#67
Murray State logo
#129
East Tennessee State logo
#167
Tennessee State logo
#194
Southeast Missouri State logo
#232
UT Martin logo
#235
SIUE logo
#249
Lindenwood logo
#264
Presbyterian logo
#271
Little Rock logo
#309
Tennessee Tech logo
#316
IU Indy logo
#323
Eastern Illinois logo
#326
Southern Indiana logo
#339
Western Illinois logo
#364

Neutral

2-1
Tennessee State logo
#194
Southeast Missouri State logo
#232
Louisiana-Monroe logo
#356

Home

8-2
Tennessee State logo
#194
Southeast Missouri State logo
#232
UT Martin logo
#235
SIUE logo
#249
Lindenwood logo
#264
Little Rock logo
#309
Tennessee Tech logo
#316
Eastern Illinois logo
#326
Southern Indiana logo
#339
Western Illinois logo
#364
Alice Lloyd College logo
Non D1
Kentucky Christian logo
Non D1
Midway logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Morehead State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Midway logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 7Away
Wake Forest logo
#673%50%65-81
Nov 9Away
Georgia logo
#311%28%81-120
Nov 11Away
Clemson logo
#321%29%56-83
Nov 16Home
Kentucky Christian logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 21Away
East Tennessee State logo
#16714%83%62-77
Nov 22Neutral
Louisiana-Monroe logo
#35681%99%83-80
Nov 29Away
IU Indy logo
#32351%97%80-85
Dec 2Away
Murray State logo
#1299%75%52-84
Dec 6Away
Presbyterian logo
#27134%94%72-80
Dec 16Home
Little Rock logo
#30968%98%78-64
Dec 20Away
Southern Indiana logo
#33961%98%64-60
Dec 28Home
Alice Lloyd College logo
Non D1100%100%
Jan 1Away
Lindenwood logo
#26433%94%64-77
Jan 3Away
SIUE logo
#24929%92%73-72
Jan 8Home
UT Martin logo
#23549%97%68-76
Jan 10Home
Southeast Missouri State logo
#23248%97%71-69
Jan 15Away
Tennessee State logo
#19417%86%100-105
Jan 17Away
Tennessee Tech logo
#31649%97%76-70
Jan 22Home
Western Illinois logo
#36492%100%71-66
Jan 24Home
Eastern Illinois logo
#32675%99%73-68
Jan 29Home
SIUE logo
#24952%97%67-65
Jan 31Home
Lindenwood logo
#26456%97%78-79
Feb 5Away
Southeast Missouri State logo
#23226%91%70-82
Feb 7Away
UT Martin logo
#23527%92%61-55
Feb 12Home
Tennessee Tech logo
#31672%99%73-66
Feb 14Home
Tennessee State logo
#19436%94%94-86
Feb 19Away
Eastern Illinois logo
#32654%97%73-70
Feb 21Away
Western Illinois logo
#36481%99%81-59
Feb 24Home
Southern Indiana logo
#33981%99%64-63
Feb 26Away
Little Rock logo
#30945%96%76-70
Mar 6Neutral
Southeast Missouri State logo
#23236%95%66-61
Mar 7Neutral
Tennessee State logo
#19425%92%67-93

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%GeorgiaClemsonWake ForestMurray StateEast Tennessee StateTennessee StateSoutheast Missouri StateUT MartinTennessee StateSIUELindenwoodPresbyterianTennessee StateDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games14-3, 3 left
Record:
17-13
#50 Fcst:
26.6-3.4
Act Win %:
57%
#50 Fcst %:
89%
TWV:
-9.6
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 13 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Morehead State logo
05101520Midway Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H18Kentucky Christian Location: Home 11/16 Win Probability: 100%100%H19Alice Lloyd College Location: Home 12/28 Win Probability: 100%100%H20Western Illinois Location: Home 01/22 Win Probability: 92%92%H1Southern Indiana Location: Home 02/24 Win Probability: 81%81%H2Western Illinois Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 81%81%A3Louisiana-Monroe Location: Neutral 11/22 Win Probability: 81%81%N4Eastern Illinois Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 75%75%H5Tennessee Tech Location: Home 02/12 Win Probability: 72%72%H6Little Rock Location: Home 12/16 Win Probability: 68%68%H7Southern Indiana Location: Away 12/20 Win Probability: 61%61%A8Eastern Illinois Location: Away 02/19 Win Probability: 54%54%A9SIUE Location: Home 01/29 Win Probability: 52%52%H10Tennessee Tech Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 49%49%A11Southeast Missouri State Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 48%48%H12Little Rock Location: Away 02/26 Win Probability: 45%45%A13Southeast Missouri State Location: Neutral 03/06 Win Probability: 36%36%N14Tennessee State Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 36%36%H15SIUE Location: Away 01/03 Win Probability: 29%29%A16UT Martin Location: Away 02/07 Win Probability: 27%27%A1717WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
17100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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