JThom Analytics Logo
Southeast Missouri State logo

Southeast Missouri State #232

Team Page

17-16
Overall
14-6
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Ohio Valley logo

Team Schedule

Southeast Missouri State logo

Away

8-7
Iowa logo
#25
Saint Louis logo
#38
Missouri logo
#50
Tennessee State logo
#194
UT Martin logo
#235
SIUE logo
#249
Lindenwood logo
#264
Morehead State logo
#283
Chattanooga logo
#290
Little Rock logo
#309
Tennessee Tech logo
#316
Northern Arizona logo
#325
Eastern Illinois logo
#326
Southern Indiana logo
#339
Western Illinois logo
#364

Neutral

2-1
Cal Poly logo
#220
Lindenwood logo
#264
Morehead State logo
#283

Home

7-5
St. Thomas (MN) logo
#108
Tennessee State logo
#194
Lipscomb logo
#218
UT Martin logo
#235
SIUE logo
#249
Lindenwood logo
#264
Morehead State logo
#283
Little Rock logo
#309
Tennessee Tech logo
#316
Eastern Illinois logo
#326
Southern Indiana logo
#339
Western Illinois logo
#364
Saint Xavier logo
Non D1
St. Mary of the Woods logo
Non D1
Webster logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Southeast Missouri State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
Saint Louis logo
#383%31%67-92
Nov 7Away
Missouri logo
#503%38%84-89
Nov 12Home
Webster logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 15Home
St. Thomas (MN) logo
#10825%85%72-84
Nov 18Away
Iowa logo
#252%24%70-99
Nov 25Neutral
Cal Poly logo
#22045%94%84-68
Nov 26Away
Northern Arizona logo
#32566%97%72-79
Nov 29Home
Lipscomb logo
#21857%96%77-88
Dec 2Home
St. Mary of the Woods logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 6Away
Chattanooga logo
#29054%95%74-70
Dec 14Home
Saint Xavier logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 18Away
Tennessee Tech logo
#31662%97%74-85
Dec 20Away
Tennessee State logo
#19427%86%91-82
Jan 1Home
Eastern Illinois logo
#32684%99%68-59
Jan 3Home
Western Illinois logo
#36495%100%73-50
Jan 8Away
Southern Indiana logo
#33973%98%84-76
Jan 10Away
Morehead State logo
#28352%95%69-71
Jan 15Home
Lindenwood logo
#26469%97%76-88
Jan 17Home
SIUE logo
#24965%97%55-68
Jan 20Home
UT Martin logo
#23563%97%66-50
Jan 22Home
Little Rock logo
#30979%98%70-65
Jan 29Away
Western Illinois logo
#36488%99%78-74
Jan 31Away
Eastern Illinois logo
#32667%97%77-59
Feb 5Home
Morehead State logo
#28374%98%82-70
Feb 7Home
Southern Indiana logo
#33988%99%90-65
Feb 12Away
SIUE logo
#24942%92%56-74
Feb 14Away
Lindenwood logo
#26446%94%73-61
Feb 17Away
UT Martin logo
#23539%92%56-53
Feb 21Away
Little Rock logo
#30959%96%70-65
Feb 26Home
Tennessee State logo
#19449%94%71-79
Feb 28Home
Tennessee Tech logo
#31681%99%89-73
Mar 5Neutral
Lindenwood logo
#26458%96%68-66
Mar 6Neutral
Morehead State logo
#28364%97%61-66

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%IowaSaint LouisMissouriSt. Thomas (MN)Tennessee StateUT MartinSIUELindenwoodCal PolyTennessee StateMorehead StateDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games13-6, 3 left
Record:
17-13
#50 Fcst:
26.8-3.2
Act Win %:
57%
#50 Fcst %:
89%
TWV:
-9.8
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 11 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Southeast Missouri State logo
05101520Webster Location: Home 11/12 Win Probability: 100%100%H18St. Mary of the Woods Location: Home 12/02 Win Probability: 100%100%H19Saint Xavier Location: Home 12/14 Win Probability: 100%100%H20Western Illinois Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 95%95%H1Southern Indiana Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 88%88%H2Western Illinois Location: Away 01/29 Win Probability: 88%88%A3Eastern Illinois Location: Home 01/01 Win Probability: 84%84%H4Tennessee Tech Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 81%81%H5Little Rock Location: Home 01/22 Win Probability: 79%79%H6Morehead State Location: Home 02/05 Win Probability: 74%74%H7Southern Indiana Location: Away 01/08 Win Probability: 73%73%A8Eastern Illinois Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 67%67%A9UT Martin Location: Home 01/20 Win Probability: 63%63%H10Little Rock Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 59%59%A11Lindenwood Location: Neutral 03/05 Win Probability: 58%58%N12Chattanooga Location: Away 12/06 Win Probability: 54%54%A13Lindenwood Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 46%46%A14Cal Poly Location: Neutral 11/25 Win Probability: 45%45%N15UT Martin Location: Away 02/17 Win Probability: 39%39%A16Tennessee State Location: Away 12/20 Win Probability: 27%27%A1717WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
17100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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