JThom Analytics Logo
Ohio logo

Ohio #223

Team Page

13-19
Overall
9-9
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Mid-American logo

Team Schedule

Ohio logo

Away

4-8
Louisville logo
#19
Saint Mary's logo
#24
Miami (OH) logo
#90
Toledo logo
#132
Kent State logo
#152
Massachusetts logo
#188
Buffalo logo
#217
Old Dominion logo
#234
Eastern Michigan logo
#255
Central Michigan logo
#262
Ball State logo
#279
Northern Illinois logo
#343

Neutral

1-3
George Mason logo
#102
St. Bonaventure logo
#142
Kent State logo
#152
Loyola Marymount logo
#162

Home

8-6
Akron logo
#63
Miami (OH) logo
#90
Illinois State logo
#101
Toledo logo
#132
Arkansas State logo
#146
Bowling Green logo
#154
Massachusetts logo
#188
Marshall logo
#200
Buffalo logo
#217
Bethune-Cookman logo
#229
Ball State logo
#279
Western Michigan logo
#280
Northern Illinois logo
#343
Maine logo
#347
Miami-Hamilton logo
Non D1
Ohio Wesleyan logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Ohio logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Arkansas State logo
#14641%91%85-89
Nov 6Home
Illinois State logo
#10126%84%72-68
Nov 11Away
Saint Mary's logo
#242%23%60-90
Nov 15Away
Louisville logo
#192%19%81-106
Nov 19Home
Bethune-Cookman logo
#22965%96%73-76
Nov 24Neutral
George Mason logo
#10217%77%69-92
Nov 25Neutral
Loyola Marymount logo
#16232%88%58-70
Dec 3Home
Maine logo
#34791%99%79-57
Dec 6Home
Marshall logo
#20055%95%88-81
Dec 13Neutral
St. Bonaventure logo
#14228%86%88-83
Dec 16Home
Ohio Wesleyan logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 20Home
Bowling Green logo
#15443%92%58-68
Dec 22Home
Miami-Hamilton logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 30Away
Central Michigan logo
#26249%93%80-64
Jan 3Away
Eastern Michigan logo
#25546%93%68-67
Jan 6Home
Massachusetts logo
#18852%94%86-83
Jan 10Home
Buffalo logo
#21760%96%91-80
Jan 13Away
Toledo logo
#13217%76%85-101
Jan 16Away
Ball State logo
#27954%95%71-76
Jan 20Home
Northern Illinois logo
#34390%99%80-77
Jan 23Home
Akron logo
#6314%71%65-86
Jan 27Away
Kent State logo
#15221%80%57-72
Jan 31Away
Buffalo logo
#21736%89%95-83
Feb 3Home
Western Michigan logo
#28076%98%91-71
Feb 7Away
Old Dominion logo
#23442%92%72-78
Feb 13Away
Miami (OH) logo
#909%59%74-90
Feb 17Home
Ball State logo
#27976%98%69-57
Feb 21Away
Northern Illinois logo
#34377%98%74-66
Feb 28Home
Toledo logo
#13236%89%67-79
Mar 3Away
Massachusetts logo
#18829%86%82-94
Mar 6Home
Miami (OH) logo
#9021%80%108-110
Mar 12Neutral
Kent State logo
#15230%88%75-86

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%LouisvilleSaint Mary'sMiami (OH)AkronToledoGeorge MasonMiami (OH)Kent StateIllinois StateMassachusettsSt. BonaventureKent StateLoyola MarymountBuffaloToledoArkansas StateOld DominionBowling GreenEastern MichiganCentral MichiganMassachusettsBall StateMarshallDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games6-1, 2 left
Record:
13-17
#50 Fcst:
25.2-4.8
Act Win %:
43%
#50 Fcst %:
84%
TWV:
-12.2
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 23 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Ohio logo
051015Ohio Wesleyan Location: Home 12/16 Win Probability: 100%100%H14Miami-Hamilton Location: Home 12/22 Win Probability: 100%100%H15Maine Location: Home 12/03 Win Probability: 91%91%H1Northern Illinois Location: Home 01/20 Win Probability: 90%90%H2Northern Illinois Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 77%77%A3Western Michigan Location: Home 02/03 Win Probability: 76%76%H4Ball State Location: Home 02/17 Win Probability: 76%76%H5Buffalo Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 60%60%H6Marshall Location: Home 12/06 Win Probability: 55%55%H7Massachusetts Location: Home 01/06 Win Probability: 52%52%H8Central Michigan Location: Away 12/30 Win Probability: 49%49%A9Eastern Michigan Location: Away 01/03 Win Probability: 46%46%A10Buffalo Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 36%36%A11St. Bonaventure Location: Neutral 12/13 Win Probability: 28%28%N12Illinois State Location: Home 11/06 Win Probability: 26%26%H1313WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
13100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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