JThom Analytics Logo
Wofford logo

Wofford #254

Team Page

17-15
Overall
11-7
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Southern logo

Team Schedule

Wofford logo

Away

9-7
Auburn logo
#39
Wichita State logo
#82
George Mason logo
#102
East Tennessee State logo
#167
Furman logo
#179
Northern Kentucky logo
#182
Mercer logo
#190
Samford logo
#211
Western Carolina logo
#216
Bellarmine logo
#284
Chattanooga logo
#290
UNCG logo
#292
Eastern Kentucky logo
#294
Citadel logo
#344
VMI logo
#359
Gardner-Webb logo
#363

Neutral

0-1
UNCG logo
#292

Home

8-5
East Tennessee State logo
#167
Furman logo
#179
Mercer logo
#190
Samford logo
#211
Western Carolina logo
#216
Elon logo
#258
Milwaukee logo
#270
Presbyterian logo
#271
Chattanooga logo
#290
UNCG logo
#292
North Florida logo
#334
Citadel logo
#344
VMI logo
#359
Erskine logo
Non D1
Union University logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Wofford logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
George Mason logo
#1029%66%46-70
Nov 8Home
Milwaukee logo
#27067%98%86-76
Nov 11Away
Auburn logo
#392%31%62-93
Nov 15Away
Bellarmine logo
#28448%95%94-86
Nov 19Home
North Florida logo
#33485%99%86-78
Nov 21Home
Erskine logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 26Away
Northern Kentucky logo
#18222%85%83-93
Nov 29Away
Eastern Kentucky logo
#29451%95%83-77
Dec 3Home
Presbyterian logo
#27167%98%63-56
Dec 6Home
Elon logo
#25863%97%52-73
Dec 15Away
Gardner-Webb logo
#36384%99%83-57
Dec 17Away
Wichita State logo
#825%54%73-84
Dec 28Home
Union University logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 31Away
Western Carolina logo
#21629%89%79-74
Jan 3Away
Citadel logo
#34471%98%95-86
Jan 7Home
UNCG logo
#29272%98%97-85
Jan 10Away
Mercer logo
#19023%86%97-109
Jan 14Home
Chattanooga logo
#29072%98%67-76
Jan 17Away
Furman logo
#17921%85%74-70
Jan 21Home
Samford logo
#21150%95%88-78
Jan 24Home
Mercer logo
#19044%94%80-77
Jan 29Away
Chattanooga logo
#29049%95%81-55
Feb 1Home
East Tennessee State logo
#16739%93%72-86
Feb 4Away
VMI logo
#35981%99%81-67
Feb 7Home
Western Carolina logo
#21652%96%77-66
Feb 11Away
Samford logo
#21128%89%80-97
Feb 14Away
UNCG logo
#29250%95%89-99
Feb 18Home
VMI logo
#35992%100%82-76
Feb 21Home
Furman logo
#17942%94%67-76
Feb 25Away
East Tennessee State logo
#16719%83%72-69
Feb 28Home
Citadel logo
#34487%99%90-93
Mar 7Neutral
UNCG logo
#29262%97%72-75

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%AuburnWichita StateGeorge MasonEast Tennessee StateFurmanNorthern KentuckyMercerSamfordWestern CarolinaEast Tennessee StateFurmanMercerBellarmineDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games12-5, 2 left
Record:
17-13
#50 Fcst:
27.0-3.0
Act Win %:
57%
#50 Fcst %:
90%
TWV:
-10.0
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 13 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Wofford logo
051015Erskine Location: Home 11/21 Win Probability: 100%100%H18Union University Location: Home 12/28 Win Probability: 100%100%H19VMI Location: Home 02/18 Win Probability: 92%92%H1North Florida Location: Home 11/19 Win Probability: 85%85%H2Gardner-Webb Location: Away 12/15 Win Probability: 84%84%A3VMI Location: Away 02/04 Win Probability: 81%81%A4UNCG Location: Home 01/07 Win Probability: 72%72%H5Citadel Location: Away 01/03 Win Probability: 71%71%A6Presbyterian Location: Home 12/03 Win Probability: 67%67%H7Milwaukee Location: Home 11/08 Win Probability: 67%67%H8Western Carolina Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 52%52%H9Eastern Kentucky Location: Away 11/29 Win Probability: 51%51%A10Samford Location: Home 01/21 Win Probability: 50%50%H11Chattanooga Location: Away 01/29 Win Probability: 49%49%A12Bellarmine Location: Away 11/15 Win Probability: 48%48%A13Mercer Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 44%44%H14Western Carolina Location: Away 12/31 Win Probability: 29%29%A15Furman Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 21%21%A16East Tennessee State Location: Away 02/25 Win Probability: 19%19%A1717WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
17100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

Loading rank history...

Projected Wins History

Loading historical data...

Projected Standings History

Loading historical data...

First Place Probability History

Loading historical data...

NCAA Tournament Bid History

Loading NCAA bid history...

NCAA Tournament Progression History

Loading NCAA progression history...