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Mercer logo

Mercer #190

Team Page

16-16
Overall
11-7
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Southern logo

Team Schedule

Mercer logo

Away

5-11
Tennessee logo
#15
Clemson logo
#32
UCF logo
#54
Washington State logo
#136
Winthrop logo
#155
East Tennessee State logo
#167
Furman logo
#179
Samford logo
#211
Western Carolina logo
#216
Wofford logo
#254
Elon logo
#258
Chattanooga logo
#290
UNCG logo
#292
Eastern Kentucky logo
#294
Citadel logo
#344
VMI logo
#359

Neutral

0-1
Western Carolina logo
#216

Home

11-1
East Tennessee State logo
#167
Furman logo
#179
Appalachian State logo
#184
Samford logo
#211
Western Carolina logo
#216
Lipscomb logo
#218
Wofford logo
#254
Chattanooga logo
#290
UNCG logo
#292
Georgia State logo
#315
Citadel logo
#344
VMI logo
#359
Baptist University of Florida logo
Non D1
LaGrange logo
Non D1
Oglethorpe logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Mercer logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
Tennessee logo
#152%18%61-76
Nov 5Home
LaGrange logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 9Home
Lipscomb logo
#21869%96%92-77
Nov 15Away
Winthrop logo
#15529%81%69-105
Nov 22Away
Eastern Kentucky logo
#29468%95%95-83
Nov 26Home
Appalachian State logo
#18461%94%75-67
Nov 29Away
Elon logo
#25857%93%91-84
Dec 2Home
Georgia State logo
#31588%99%78-67
Dec 7Home
Oglethorpe logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 13Away
Clemson logo
#324%29%63-70
Dec 17Away
UCF logo
#547%43%63-81
Dec 20Away
Washington State logo
#13625%77%78-84
Dec 28Home
Baptist University of Florida logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 31Away
Furman logo
#17935%85%72-74
Jan 3Away
East Tennessee State logo
#16732%83%71-77
Jan 7Home
Citadel logo
#34493%99%101-63
Jan 10Home
Wofford logo
#25477%97%109-97
Jan 15Away
VMI logo
#35990%99%77-67
Jan 17Away
UNCG logo
#29267%95%102-92
Jan 21Home
Western Carolina logo
#21669%96%88-76
Jan 24Away
Wofford logo
#25456%93%77-80
Jan 29Home
UNCG logo
#29284%98%95-77
Jan 31Home
VMI logo
#35996%100%95-81
Feb 5Away
Chattanooga logo
#29067%95%75-79
Feb 7Away
Samford logo
#21144%89%49-69
Feb 11Home
Furman logo
#17959%94%69-64
Feb 14Away
Citadel logo
#34484%98%70-54
Feb 19Home
Chattanooga logo
#29084%98%90-94
Feb 21Home
Samford logo
#21167%95%89-86
Feb 25Away
Western Carolina logo
#21645%89%74-78
Feb 28Home
East Tennessee State logo
#16756%93%82-76
Mar 7Neutral
Western Carolina logo
#21658%94%73-77

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%TennesseeClemsonUCFWashington StateWinthropEast Tennessee StateFurmanSamfordWestern CarolinaWoffordEast Tennessee StateElonFurmanWestern CarolinaAppalachian StateDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games12-2, 3 left
Record:
16-13
#50 Fcst:
25.1-3.9
Act Win %:
55%
#50 Fcst %:
87%
TWV:
-9.1
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 15 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Mercer logo
051015LaGrange Location: Home 11/05 Win Probability: 100%100%H17Oglethorpe Location: Home 12/07 Win Probability: 100%100%H18Baptist University of Florida Location: Home 12/28 Win Probability: 100%100%H19VMI Location: Home 01/31 Win Probability: 96%96%H1Citadel Location: Home 01/07 Win Probability: 93%93%H2VMI Location: Away 01/15 Win Probability: 90%90%A3Georgia State Location: Home 12/02 Win Probability: 88%88%H4UNCG Location: Home 01/29 Win Probability: 84%84%H5Citadel Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 84%84%A6Wofford Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 77%77%H7Lipscomb Location: Home 11/09 Win Probability: 69%69%H8Western Carolina Location: Home 01/21 Win Probability: 69%69%H9Eastern Kentucky Location: Away 11/22 Win Probability: 68%68%A10Samford Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 67%67%H11UNCG Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 67%67%A12Appalachian State Location: Home 11/26 Win Probability: 61%61%H13Furman Location: Home 02/11 Win Probability: 59%59%H14Elon Location: Away 11/29 Win Probability: 57%57%A15East Tennessee State Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 56%56%H1616WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
16100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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