JThom Analytics Logo
Radford logo

Radford #242

Team Page

13-19
Overall
9-7
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Big South logo

Team Schedule

Radford logo

Away

4-8
North Carolina logo
#35
SMU logo
#43
High Point logo
#89
South Carolina logo
#98
Winthrop logo
#155
William & Mary logo
#161
UNC Asheville logo
#238
Charleston Southern logo
#244
Longwood logo
#259
Presbyterian logo
#271
USC Upstate logo
#305
Gardner-Webb logo
#363

Neutral

0-3
Wright State logo
#135
Presbyterian logo
#271
Cleveland State logo
#324

Home

9-5
High Point logo
#89
UNCW logo
#114
Winthrop logo
#155
Southern Miss logo
#219
UNC Asheville logo
#238
Charleston Southern logo
#244
Longwood logo
#259
Presbyterian logo
#271
USC Upstate logo
#305
Saint Francis U logo
#354
VMI logo
#359
Coppin State logo
#360
Gardner-Webb logo
#363
Western Illinois logo
#364
Notre Dame of Maryland logo
Non D1
Shenandoah logo
Non D1
WV Wesleyan logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Radford logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Western Illinois logo
#36495%100%80-75
Nov 7Home
WV Wesleyan logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 11Away
North Carolina logo
#352%30%74-89
Nov 15Neutral
Wright State logo
#13522%85%59-92
Nov 16Neutral
Cleveland State logo
#32474%98%82-87
Nov 18Away
South Carolina logo
#989%64%58-87
Nov 21Home
UNCW logo
#11425%86%73-81
Nov 24Away
SMU logo
#433%33%72-89
Nov 29Home
Notre Dame of Maryland logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 3Home
Southern Miss logo
#21955%96%75-82
Dec 7Home
Saint Francis U logo
#35491%99%89-56
Dec 14Home
Coppin State logo
#36093%100%107-77
Dec 18Away
William & Mary logo
#16119%81%83-96
Dec 21Home
VMI logo
#35993%100%97-90
Dec 28Home
Shenandoah logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 31Away
USC Upstate logo
#30556%96%76-69
Jan 7Home
Presbyterian logo
#27169%98%80-61
Jan 10Home
UNC Asheville logo
#23862%97%72-91
Jan 14Away
Gardner-Webb logo
#36385%99%89-80
Jan 17Home
Longwood logo
#25966%97%85-83
Jan 21Away
Winthrop logo
#15518%81%75-76
Jan 23Home
High Point logo
#8917%79%83-93
Jan 29Away
Charleston Southern logo
#24438%92%84-75
Jan 31Away
Presbyterian logo
#27146%94%93-84
Feb 4Home
Winthrop logo
#15537%92%78-80
Feb 7Away
High Point logo
#897%59%77-86
Feb 14Home
Charleston Southern logo
#24462%97%90-80
Feb 19Home
Gardner-Webb logo
#36394%100%82-70
Feb 21Away
UNC Asheville logo
#23838%92%73-74
Feb 26Home
USC Upstate logo
#30577%98%71-59
Feb 28Away
Longwood logo
#25942%93%74-90
Mar 6Neutral
Presbyterian logo
#27158%97%85-91

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%North CarolinaSMUHigh PointSouth CarolinaHigh PointWinthropWilliam & MaryWright StateUNCWWinthropUNC AshevilleCharleston SouthernLongwoodPresbyterianDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games11-4, 3 left
Record:
13-16
#50 Fcst:
25.3-3.7
Act Win %:
45%
#50 Fcst %:
87%
TWV:
-12.3
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 14 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Radford logo
051015WV Wesleyan Location: Home 11/07 Win Probability: 100%100%H14Notre Dame of Maryland Location: Home 11/29 Win Probability: 100%100%H15Shenandoah Location: Home 12/28 Win Probability: 100%100%H16Western Illinois Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 95%95%H1Gardner-Webb Location: Home 02/19 Win Probability: 94%94%H2Coppin State Location: Home 12/14 Win Probability: 93%93%H3VMI Location: Home 12/21 Win Probability: 93%93%H4Saint Francis U Location: Home 12/07 Win Probability: 91%91%H5Gardner-Webb Location: Away 01/14 Win Probability: 85%85%A6USC Upstate Location: Home 02/26 Win Probability: 77%77%H7Presbyterian Location: Home 01/07 Win Probability: 69%69%H8Longwood Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 66%66%H9Charleston Southern Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 62%62%H10USC Upstate Location: Away 12/31 Win Probability: 56%56%A11Presbyterian Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 46%46%A12Charleston Southern Location: Away 01/29 Win Probability: 38%38%A1313WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
13100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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