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UNCG #292

Team Page

13-21
Overall
9-9
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Southern logo

Team Schedule

UNCG logo

Away

4-9
North Carolina State logo
#36
Kansas State logo
#95
East Tennessee State logo
#167
Furman logo
#179
Mercer logo
#190
Queens (NC) logo
#191
Samford logo
#211
Western Carolina logo
#216
Wofford logo
#254
East Carolina logo
#256
Chattanooga logo
#290
Citadel logo
#344
VMI logo
#359

Neutral

3-4
Miami (OH) logo
#90
Furman logo
#179
Youngstown State logo
#208
UNC Asheville logo
#238
Wofford logo
#254
Delaware logo
#304
VMI logo
#359

Home

6-6
Austin Peay logo
#166
East Tennessee State logo
#167
Furman logo
#179
Mercer logo
#190
Samford logo
#211
Western Carolina logo
#216
Wofford logo
#254
Elon logo
#258
Chattanooga logo
#290
North Carolina A&T logo
#299
Citadel logo
#344
VMI logo
#359
VU of Lynchburg logo
Non D1
William Peace logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

UNCG logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 4Away
Kansas State logo
#955%63%64-93
Nov 8Home
Elon logo
#25852%97%90-92
Nov 12Away
North Carolina State logo
#361%31%64-110
Nov 15Home
Austin Peay logo
#16628%93%63-69
Nov 20Away
Queens (NC) logo
#19116%86%94-101
Nov 23Neutral
Youngstown State logo
#20826%93%68-62
Nov 25Neutral
Delaware logo
#30454%98%60-73
Nov 26Neutral
Miami (OH) logo
#906%71%71-82
Dec 2Neutral
UNC Asheville logo
#23835%95%77-82
Dec 6Away
East Carolina logo
#25628%93%82-78
Dec 12Home
William Peace logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 16Home
North Carolina A&T logo
#29964%98%65-71
Dec 21Home
VU of Lynchburg logo
Non D1100%100%
Jan 1Home
Chattanooga logo
#29062%98%77-72
Jan 3Home
Samford logo
#21139%95%89-82
Jan 7Away
Wofford logo
#25428%93%85-97
Jan 10Away
East Tennessee State logo
#16713%83%60-86
Jan 15Home
Citadel logo
#34481%99%69-66
Jan 17Home
Mercer logo
#19033%94%92-102
Jan 21Away
VMI logo
#35973%99%85-78
Jan 23Home
Furman logo
#17931%94%66-89
Jan 29Away
Mercer logo
#19016%86%77-95
Jan 31Away
Citadel logo
#34461%98%66-71
Feb 4Home
Western Carolina logo
#21640%96%81-78
Feb 8Away
Furman logo
#17914%85%67-64
Feb 11Home
VMI logo
#35988%100%92-71
Feb 14Home
Wofford logo
#25450%97%99-89
Feb 18Away
Western Carolina logo
#21620%89%77-91
Feb 21Home
East Tennessee State logo
#16728%93%75-87
Feb 26Away
Chattanooga logo
#29038%95%85-80
Feb 28Away
Samford logo
#21119%89%78-87
Mar 6Neutral
VMI logo
#35982%99%84-70
Mar 7Neutral
Wofford logo
#25438%96%75-72
Mar 8Neutral
Furman logo
#17921%91%75-81

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%North Carolina StateKansas StateMiami (OH)East Tennessee StateFurmanMercerQueens (NC)SamfordWestern CarolinaFurmanWoffordEast CarolinaAustin PeayEast Tennessee StateYoungstown StateFurmanMercerDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games10-5, 2 left
Record:
13-19
#50 Fcst:
28.8-3.2
Act Win %:
41%
#50 Fcst %:
90%
TWV:
-15.8
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 17 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

UNCG logo
051015William Peace Location: Home 12/12 Win Probability: 100%100%H14VU of Lynchburg Location: Home 12/21 Win Probability: 100%100%H15VMI Location: Home 02/11 Win Probability: 88%88%H1VMI Location: Neutral 03/06 Win Probability: 82%82%N2Citadel Location: Home 01/15 Win Probability: 81%81%H3VMI Location: Away 01/21 Win Probability: 73%73%A4Chattanooga Location: Home 01/01 Win Probability: 62%62%H5Wofford Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 50%50%H6Western Carolina Location: Home 02/04 Win Probability: 40%40%H7Samford Location: Home 01/03 Win Probability: 39%39%H8Wofford Location: Neutral 03/07 Win Probability: 38%38%N9Chattanooga Location: Away 02/26 Win Probability: 38%38%A10East Carolina Location: Away 12/06 Win Probability: 28%28%A11Youngstown State Location: Neutral 11/23 Win Probability: 26%26%N12Furman Location: Away 02/08 Win Probability: 14%14%A1313WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
13100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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