JThom Analytics Logo
VCU logo

VCU #46

Team Page

27-7
Overall
15-3
Conference
100%
NCAA Bid
10.0
Avg Seed
Atlantic 10 logo

Team Schedule

VCU logo

Away

7-3
North Carolina State logo
#36
Saint Louis logo
#38
Dayton logo
#73
George Mason logo
#102
Davidson logo
#111
Duquesne logo
#125
Rhode Island logo
#144
Richmond logo
#160
Fordham logo
#168
La Salle logo
#233

Neutral

5-2
Vanderbilt logo
#12
Utah State logo
#30
South Florida logo
#49
Virginia Tech logo
#55
Dayton logo
#73
Saint Joseph's logo
#107
Duquesne logo
#125

Home

15-2
Saint Louis logo
#38
New Mexico logo
#52
Dayton logo
#73
George Washington logo
#81
George Mason logo
#102
Saint Joseph's logo
#107
St. Bonaventure logo
#142
Richmond logo
#160
Fordham logo
#168
Samford logo
#211
Saint Peter's logo
#237
American logo
#243
Loyola Chicago logo
#276
Wagner logo
#312
Niagara logo
#335
Rider logo
#357
Coppin State logo
#360

Schedule Chart

VCU logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Wagner logo
#31299%99%103-74
Nov 7Neutral
Utah State logo
#3041%38%77-80
Nov 12Home
Saint Peter's logo
#23797%97%78-61
Nov 17Away
North Carolina State logo
#3633%31%79-85
Nov 22Home
Coppin State logo
#360100%100%101-58
Nov 26Neutral
South Florida logo
#4952%50%78-66
Nov 27Neutral
Vanderbilt logo
#1224%22%74-89
Nov 28Neutral
Virginia Tech logo
#5558%56%86-68
Dec 5Home
Samford logo
#21196%95%83-57
Dec 10Home
New Mexico logo
#5268%65%78-81
Dec 15Home
Niagara logo
#33599%99%84-58
Dec 18Home
American logo
#24397%97%105-83
Dec 22Home
Rider logo
#357100%100%100-79
Dec 31Home
St. Bonaventure logo
#14291%91%89-82
Jan 3Away
Duquesne logo
#12576%74%93-80
Jan 7Home
Saint Louis logo
#3857%55%62-71
Jan 10Away
George Mason logo
#10268%66%80-86
Jan 14Away
Rhode Island logo
#14481%79%84-75
Jan 19Home
Saint Joseph's logo
#10786%85%79-72
Jan 24Away
Davidson logo
#11171%69%75-69
Jan 27Home
Richmond logo
#16093%92%77-69
Jan 30Home
Loyola Chicago logo
#27698%98%89-75
Feb 3Away
Fordham logo
#16884%83%63-59
Feb 6Home
Dayton logo
#7376%74%99-73
Feb 11Away
La Salle logo
#23392%91%77-68
Feb 14Away
Richmond logo
#16083%81%78-67
Feb 17Home
George Washington logo
#8178%76%89-75
Feb 20Away
Saint Louis logo
#3834%31%75-88
Feb 28Home
Fordham logo
#16893%93%82-63
Mar 3Home
George Mason logo
#10285%84%70-65
Mar 6Away
Dayton logo
#7354%52%68-62
Mar 13Neutral
Duquesne logo
#12584%83%71-66
Mar 14Neutral
Saint Joseph's logo
#10780%78%77-64
Mar 15Neutral
Dayton logo
#7366%64%70-62

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%VanderbiltNorth Carolina StateSaint LouisUtah StateSouth FloridaDaytonSaint LouisVirginia TechDaytonNew MexicoGeorge MasonDavidsonDuquesneDaytonGeorge WashingtonSaint Joseph'sRhode IslandRichmondFordhamDuquesneGeorge MasonSaint Joseph'sSt. BonaventureLa SalleRichmondFordhamDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games8-0, 0 left
Record:
27-7
#50 Fcst:
25.5-8.5
Act Win %:
79%
#50 Fcst %:
75%
TWV:
+1.5
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 26 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

VCU logo
0510152025Coppin State Location: Home 11/22 Win Probability: 100%100%H1Rider Location: Home 12/22 Win Probability: 100%100%H2Niagara Location: Home 12/15 Win Probability: 99%99%H3Wagner Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 99%99%H4Loyola Chicago Location: Home 01/30 Win Probability: 98%98%H5American Location: Home 12/18 Win Probability: 97%97%H6Saint Peter's Location: Home 11/12 Win Probability: 97%97%H7Samford Location: Home 12/05 Win Probability: 96%96%H8Fordham Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 93%93%H9Richmond Location: Home 01/27 Win Probability: 93%93%H10La Salle Location: Away 02/11 Win Probability: 92%92%A11St. Bonaventure Location: Home 12/31 Win Probability: 91%91%H12Saint Joseph's Location: Home 01/19 Win Probability: 86%86%H13George Mason Location: Home 03/03 Win Probability: 85%85%H14Duquesne Location: Neutral 03/13 Win Probability: 84%84%N15Fordham Location: Away 02/03 Win Probability: 84%84%A16Richmond Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 83%83%A17Rhode Island Location: Away 01/14 Win Probability: 81%81%A18Saint Joseph's Location: Neutral 03/14 Win Probability: 80%80%N19George Washington Location: Home 02/17 Win Probability: 78%78%H20Dayton Location: Home 02/06 Win Probability: 76%76%H21Duquesne Location: Away 01/03 Win Probability: 76%76%A22Davidson Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 71%71%A23Dayton Location: Neutral 03/15 Win Probability: 66%66%N24Virginia Tech Location: Neutral 11/28 Win Probability: 58%58%N25Dayton Location: Away 03/06 Win Probability: 54%54%A26South Florida Location: Neutral 11/26 Win Probability: 52%52%N2727WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsSeedNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
10In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
27100%100%100%100%
Total100%100%100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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