JThom Analytics Logo
Yale logo

Yale #76

Team Page

23-7
Overall
11-3
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Ivy League logo

Team Schedule

Yale logo

Away

9-3
Alabama logo
#17
Navy logo
#141
Harvard logo
#148
Penn logo
#150
Cornell logo
#157
Howard logo
#196
Columbia logo
#197
Quinnipiac logo
#214
Vermont logo
#236
Princeton logo
#250
Dartmouth logo
#272
Brown logo
#286

Neutral

5-1
Akron logo
#63
Penn logo
#150
Cornell logo
#157
Charleston logo
#174
Green Bay logo
#210
Albany logo
#319

Home

9-2
UIC logo
#106
Rhode Island logo
#144
Harvard logo
#148
Penn logo
#150
Cornell logo
#157
Columbia logo
#197
Stony Brook logo
#230
Princeton logo
#250
Dartmouth logo
#272
Brown logo
#286
Brandeis logo
Non D1
SUNY-Maritime logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Yale logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 7Away
Navy logo
#14166%78%97-68
Nov 11Away
Quinnipiac logo
#21481%89%97-60
Nov 15Home
Stony Brook logo
#23094%96%86-79
Nov 18Home
Rhode Island logo
#14484%91%77-86
Nov 21Neutral
Green Bay logo
#21088%93%73-67
Nov 23Neutral
Charleston logo
#17483%90%74-63
Nov 24Neutral
Akron logo
#6345%61%97-94
Nov 30Away
Vermont logo
#23686%92%77-74
Dec 2Home
SUNY-Maritime logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 3Home
Brandeis logo
Non D1100%100%W
Dec 7Home
UIC logo
#10675%85%80-66
Dec 10Neutral
Albany logo
#31997%98%93-82
Dec 29Away
Alabama logo
#1711%19%78-102
Jan 5Away
Brown logo
#28691%95%70-53
Jan 10Away
Princeton logo
#25087%92%60-76
Jan 17Home
Cornell logo
#15786%92%102-68
Jan 19Home
Columbia logo
#19791%95%91-74
Jan 24Away
Penn logo
#15069%80%77-60
Jan 30Home
Dartmouth logo
#27296%98%83-68
Jan 31Home
Harvard logo
#14885%91%65-67
Feb 6Home
Brown logo
#28696%98%81-69
Feb 9Away
Howard logo
#19678%87%87-81
Feb 13Away
Dartmouth logo
#27289%94%83-70
Feb 14Away
Harvard logo
#14868%80%76-75
Feb 21Home
Penn logo
#15085%91%74-70
Feb 27Away
Cornell logo
#15770%81%69-72
Feb 28Away
Columbia logo
#19779%87%60-54
Mar 7Home
Princeton logo
#25095%97%78-53
Mar 14Neutral
Cornell logo
#15780%88%88-76
Mar 15Neutral
Penn logo
#15079%88%84-88

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%AlabamaAkronNavyHarvardPennCornellUICHowardColumbiaPennCornellQuinnipiacCharlestonRhode IslandHarvardPennVermontCornellPrincetonGreen BayDartmouthColumbiaBrownDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games6-0, 1 left
Record:
23-6
#50 Fcst:
25.3-3.7
Act Win %:
79%
#50 Fcst %:
87%
TWV:
-2.3
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 23 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Yale logo
05101520SUNY-Maritime Location: Home 12/02 Win Probability: 100%100%H24Brandeis Location: Home 12/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H1Albany Location: Neutral 12/10 Win Probability: 97%97%N2Brown Location: Home 02/06 Win Probability: 96%96%H3Dartmouth Location: Home 01/30 Win Probability: 96%96%H4Princeton Location: Home 03/07 Win Probability: 95%95%H5Stony Brook Location: Home 11/15 Win Probability: 94%94%H6Brown Location: Away 01/05 Win Probability: 91%91%A7Columbia Location: Home 01/19 Win Probability: 91%91%H8Dartmouth Location: Away 02/13 Win Probability: 89%89%A9Green Bay Location: Neutral 11/21 Win Probability: 88%88%N10Cornell Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 86%86%H11Vermont Location: Away 11/30 Win Probability: 86%86%A12Penn Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 85%85%H13Charleston Location: Neutral 11/23 Win Probability: 83%83%N14Quinnipiac Location: Away 11/11 Win Probability: 81%81%A15Cornell Location: Neutral 03/14 Win Probability: 80%80%N16Columbia Location: Away 02/28 Win Probability: 79%79%A17Howard Location: Away 02/09 Win Probability: 78%78%A18UIC Location: Home 12/07 Win Probability: 75%75%H19Penn Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 69%69%A20Harvard Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 68%68%A21Navy Location: Away 11/07 Win Probability: 66%66%A22Akron Location: Neutral 11/24 Win Probability: 45%45%N2323WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
23100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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