JThom Analytics Logo
UC Davis logo

UC Davis #173

Team Page

18-15
Overall
12-8
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Big West logo

Team Schedule

UC Davis logo

Away

6-8
Colorado logo
#75
Nevada logo
#80
Oregon logo
#96
UC Irvine logo
#105
Hawaii logo
#117
California-San Diego logo
#124
UC Santa Barbara logo
#130
CSUN logo
#178
Cal State Fullerton logo
#189
Cal Poly logo
#220
Portland logo
#225
Long Beach State logo
#251
UC Riverside logo
#263
Idaho State logo
#268
Bakersfield logo
#332

Neutral

1-1
UC Santa Barbara logo
#130
Cal State Fullerton logo
#189

Home

10-4
UC Irvine logo
#105
North Dakota State logo
#115
Seattle logo
#116
Hawaii logo
#117
California-San Diego logo
#124
UC Santa Barbara logo
#130
CSUN logo
#178
Cal State Fullerton logo
#189
Cal Poly logo
#220
Long Beach State logo
#251
UC Riverside logo
#263
Sacramento State logo
#274
Louisiana-Lafayette logo
#301
Bakersfield logo
#332
Menlo logo
Non D1
Pacific Union logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

UC Davis logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Menlo logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 5Home
North Dakota State logo
#11543%86%80-68
Nov 9Away
Portland logo
#22554%91%63-67
Nov 14Home
Sacramento State logo
#27484%98%77-73
Nov 18Away
Nevada logo
#8012%54%75-71
Nov 21Away
Colorado logo
#7512%53%79-95
Nov 24Home
Louisiana-Lafayette logo
#30188%98%77-56
Dec 4Away
Hawaii logo
#11722%70%
Dec 13Away
Oregon logo
#9617%63%62-104
Dec 17Home
Seattle logo
#11643%86%78-79
Dec 21Away
Idaho State logo
#26864%94%93-83
Dec 28Home
Pacific Union logo
Non D1100%100%
Jan 1Home
CSUN logo
#17864%94%89-80
Jan 3Home
Bakersfield logo
#33292%99%79-81
Jan 8Away
UC Santa Barbara logo
#13027%75%93-86
Jan 10Away
Cal Poly logo
#22051%90%78-84
Jan 15Home
Cal State Fullerton logo
#18966%94%74-69
Jan 17Home
UC Irvine logo
#10540%85%75-72
Jan 22Home
California-San Diego logo
#12447%88%74-80
Jan 24Home
UC Riverside logo
#26382%97%74-66
Jan 29Away
CSUN logo
#17840%84%78-94
Jan 31Away
Bakersfield logo
#33282%97%80-72
Feb 5Home
UC Santa Barbara logo
#13050%89%85-75
Feb 7Home
Cal Poly logo
#22073%96%67-58
Feb 12Away
California-San Diego logo
#12425%74%51-68
Feb 14Home
Long Beach State logo
#25180%97%71-54
Feb 19Away
Cal State Fullerton logo
#18942%86%92-93
Feb 21Away
UC Riverside logo
#26363%93%78-73
Feb 26Home
Hawaii logo
#11743%86%73-77
Mar 5Away
Long Beach State logo
#25160%92%76-70
Mar 7Away
UC Irvine logo
#10520%67%69-79
Mar 11Neutral
UC Santa Barbara logo
#13037%84%79-73
Mar 12Neutral
Cal State Fullerton logo
#18955%92%70-82

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%ColoradoNevadaOregonUC IrvineHawaiiCalifornia-San DiegoUC Santa BarbaraUC Santa BarbaraCSUNUC IrvineCal State FullertonNorth Dakota StateSeattleHawaiiCalifornia-San DiegoUC Santa BarbaraCal PolyPortlandCal State FullertonLong Beach StateUC RiversideCSUNIdaho StateCal State FullertonDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games6-1, 2 left
Record:
17-13
#50 Fcst:
25.8-4.2
Act Win %:
57%
#50 Fcst %:
86%
TWV:
-8.8
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 24 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

UC Davis logo
05101520Menlo Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H18Pacific Union Location: Home 12/28 Win Probability: 100%100%H19Hawaii Location: Away 12/04 Win Probability: 22%22%A20Louisiana-Lafayette Location: Home 11/24 Win Probability: 88%88%H1Sacramento State Location: Home 11/14 Win Probability: 84%84%H2UC Riverside Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 82%82%H3Bakersfield Location: Away 01/31 Win Probability: 82%82%A4Long Beach State Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 80%80%H5Cal Poly Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 73%73%H6Cal State Fullerton Location: Home 01/15 Win Probability: 66%66%H7Idaho State Location: Away 12/21 Win Probability: 64%64%A8CSUN Location: Home 01/01 Win Probability: 64%64%H9UC Riverside Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 63%63%A10Long Beach State Location: Away 03/05 Win Probability: 60%60%A11UC Santa Barbara Location: Home 02/05 Win Probability: 50%50%H12North Dakota State Location: Home 11/05 Win Probability: 43%43%H13UC Irvine Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 40%40%H14UC Santa Barbara Location: Neutral 03/11 Win Probability: 37%37%N15UC Santa Barbara Location: Away 01/08 Win Probability: 27%27%A16Nevada Location: Away 11/18 Win Probability: 12%12%A1717WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
18100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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