JThom Analytics Logo
Longwood logo

Longwood #259

Team Page

13-19
Overall
8-8
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Big South logo

Team Schedule

Longwood logo

Away

4-10
Wake Forest logo
#67
High Point logo
#89
Pittsburgh logo
#100
Winthrop logo
#155
Columbia logo
#197
UNC Asheville logo
#238
Radford logo
#242
American logo
#243
Charleston Southern logo
#244
Presbyterian logo
#271
USC Upstate logo
#305
North Carolina Central logo
#348
Morgan State logo
#351
Gardner-Webb logo
#363

Neutral

1-2
Siena logo
#183
UNC Asheville logo
#238
Maine logo
#347

Home

8-4
High Point logo
#89
Winthrop logo
#155
James Madison logo
#202
UNC Asheville logo
#238
Radford logo
#242
Charleston Southern logo
#244
Presbyterian logo
#271
USC Upstate logo
#305
Maryland Eastern Shore logo
#352
Binghamton logo
#358
Delaware State logo
#361
Gardner-Webb logo
#363
Averett logo
Non D1
Mary Baldwin logo
Non D1
Pfeiffer logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Longwood logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Mary Baldwin logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 7Away
Pittsburgh logo
#1008%65%60-78
Nov 12Home
James Madison logo
#20246%95%82-72
Nov 15Home
Binghamton logo
#35891%100%90-82
Nov 18Home
Maryland Eastern Shore logo
#35288%99%82-83
Nov 23Away
Columbia logo
#19723%87%70-95
Nov 28Neutral
Siena logo
#18328%91%63-70
Nov 29Neutral
Maine logo
#34781%99%65-61
Nov 30Away
American logo
#24334%92%66-92
Dec 3Home
Pfeiffer logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 6Away
Morgan State logo
#35173%98%84-80
Dec 13Home
Delaware State logo
#36192%100%76-81
Dec 17Away
Wake Forest logo
#674%50%68-71
Dec 20Away
North Carolina Central logo
#34872%98%74-72
Dec 28Home
Averett logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 31Home
Winthrop logo
#15533%92%82-70
Jan 3Away
High Point logo
#896%59%67-80
Jan 7Away
UNC Asheville logo
#23833%92%61-72
Jan 10Home
Presbyterian logo
#27165%98%77-70
Jan 17Away
Radford logo
#24234%92%83-85
Jan 21Home
Gardner-Webb logo
#36393%100%91-56
Jan 23Home
Charleston Southern logo
#24458%97%81-79
Jan 29Away
USC Upstate logo
#30552%96%60-65
Jan 31Home
High Point logo
#8915%79%59-71
Feb 4Away
Gardner-Webb logo
#36383%99%86-66
Feb 7Away
Winthrop logo
#15516%81%74-79
Feb 12Home
UNC Asheville logo
#23857%97%74-79
Feb 14Home
USC Upstate logo
#30574%98%82-75
Feb 19Away
Presbyterian logo
#27141%94%65-72
Feb 21Away
Charleston Southern logo
#24434%92%107-96
Feb 28Home
Radford logo
#24258%97%90-74
Mar 6Neutral
UNC Asheville logo
#23845%95%82-85

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%Wake ForestHigh PointPittsburghHigh PointWinthropColumbiaSienaWinthropUNC AshevilleRadfordAmericanCharleston SouthernPresbyterianDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games11-5, 3 left
Record:
13-16
#50 Fcst:
26.3-2.7
Act Win %:
45%
#50 Fcst %:
91%
TWV:
-13.3
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 13 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Longwood logo
051015Mary Baldwin Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H14Pfeiffer Location: Home 12/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H15Averett Location: Home 12/28 Win Probability: 100%100%H16Gardner-Webb Location: Home 01/21 Win Probability: 93%93%H1Binghamton Location: Home 11/15 Win Probability: 91%91%H2Gardner-Webb Location: Away 02/04 Win Probability: 83%83%A3Maine Location: Neutral 11/29 Win Probability: 81%81%N4USC Upstate Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 74%74%H5Morgan State Location: Away 12/06 Win Probability: 73%73%A6North Carolina Central Location: Away 12/20 Win Probability: 72%72%A7Presbyterian Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 65%65%H8Charleston Southern Location: Home 01/23 Win Probability: 58%58%H9Radford Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 58%58%H10James Madison Location: Home 11/12 Win Probability: 46%46%H11Charleston Southern Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 34%34%A12Winthrop Location: Home 12/31 Win Probability: 33%33%H1313WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
13100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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