JThom Analytics Logo
American logo

American #243

Team Page

14-18
Overall
9-9
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Patriot League logo

Team Schedule

American logo

Away

5-10
Virginia logo
#14
VCU logo
#46
Wake Forest logo
#67
George Washington logo
#81
Rutgers logo
#118
Navy logo
#141
Colgate logo
#240
Boston logo
#252
Boston logo
#252
Lehigh logo
#282
Loyola Maryland logo
#320
Lafayette logo
#322
Bucknell logo
#327
Holy Cross logo
#331
Army logo
#338

Neutral

0-0
None

Home

9-6
Navy logo
#141
Penn logo
#150
Siena logo
#183
Drexel logo
#212
Colgate logo
#240
Boston logo
#252
Longwood logo
#259
Lehigh logo
#282
Loyola Maryland logo
#320
Lafayette logo
#322
Bucknell logo
#327
Holy Cross logo
#331
Army logo
#338
Maine logo
#347
Maryland Eastern Shore logo
#352
Central Pennsylvania College logo
Non D1
Marywood logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

American logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
Wake Forest logo
#675%50%74-88
Nov 9Home
Penn logo
#15036%91%84-78
Nov 12Away
George Washington logo
#816%54%67-107
Nov 15Home
Central Pennsylvania College logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 18Away
Rutgers logo
#11812%71%71-80
Nov 24Home
Marywood logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 28Home
Maine logo
#34789%99%74-61
Nov 29Home
Siena logo
#18344%94%55-59
Nov 30Home
Longwood logo
#25966%97%92-66
Dec 3Home
Drexel logo
#21252%95%75-73
Dec 6Home
Maryland Eastern Shore logo
#35290%99%78-60
Dec 18Away
VCU logo
#463%36%83-105
Dec 22Away
Virginia logo
#141%17%51-95
Dec 31Home
Loyola Maryland logo
#32081%99%84-69
Jan 3Away
Boston logo
#25239%92%64-62
Jan 7Away
Colgate logo
#24037%92%62-64
Jan 10Home
Holy Cross logo
#33184%99%73-84
Jan 12Home
Navy logo
#14134%91%65-51
Jan 18Away
Army logo
#33870%98%78-67
Jan 21Home
Colgate logo
#24061%97%70-66
Jan 24Away
Holy Cross logo
#33166%97%76-67
Jan 28Away
Loyola Maryland logo
#32061%97%68-77
Jan 31Home
Lafayette logo
#32282%99%65-67
Feb 4Home
Bucknell logo
#32783%99%59-60
Feb 7Away
Navy logo
#14116%78%73-82
Feb 11Away
Lehigh logo
#28249%95%82-90
Feb 14Home
Army logo
#33886%99%75-63
Feb 18Away
Bucknell logo
#32765%97%75-57
Feb 22Away
Lafayette logo
#32262%97%75-61
Feb 25Home
Lehigh logo
#28272%98%73-78
Feb 28Home
Boston logo
#25263%97%65-68
Mar 5Away
Boston logo
#25239%92%73-75

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%VirginiaVCUWake ForestGeorge WashingtonRutgersNavyNavyPennColgateBostonBostonSienaLehighDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games11-6, 2 left
Record:
14-16
#50 Fcst:
26.2-3.8
Act Win %:
47%
#50 Fcst %:
87%
TWV:
-12.2
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 13 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

American logo
051015Central Pennsylvania College Location: Home 11/15 Win Probability: 100%100%H15Marywood Location: Home 11/24 Win Probability: 100%100%H16Maryland Eastern Shore Location: Home 12/06 Win Probability: 90%90%H1Maine Location: Home 11/28 Win Probability: 89%89%H2Army Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 86%86%H3Loyola Maryland Location: Home 12/31 Win Probability: 81%81%H4Army Location: Away 01/18 Win Probability: 70%70%A5Holy Cross Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 66%66%A6Longwood Location: Home 11/30 Win Probability: 66%66%H7Bucknell Location: Away 02/18 Win Probability: 65%65%A8Lafayette Location: Away 02/22 Win Probability: 62%62%A9Colgate Location: Home 01/21 Win Probability: 61%61%H10Drexel Location: Home 12/03 Win Probability: 52%52%H11Boston Location: Away 01/03 Win Probability: 39%39%A12Penn Location: Home 11/09 Win Probability: 36%36%H13Navy Location: Home 01/12 Win Probability: 34%34%H1414WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
14100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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