JThom Analytics Logo
Navy logo

Navy #141

Team Page

24-9
Overall
17-1
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Patriot League logo

Team Schedule

Navy logo

Away

10-4
North Carolina logo
#35
UNCW logo
#114
Penn State logo
#140
Colgate logo
#240
American logo
#243
Boston logo
#252
Presbyterian logo
#271
Lehigh logo
#282
Loyola Maryland logo
#320
Lafayette logo
#322
Bucknell logo
#327
Holy Cross logo
#331
Army logo
#338
Delaware State logo
#361

Neutral

1-1
Southeastern Louisiana logo
#293
Gardner-Webb logo
#363

Home

13-2
Yale logo
#76
Colgate logo
#240
American logo
#243
Boston logo
#252
Boston logo
#252
Lehigh logo
#282
Loyola Maryland logo
#320
Lafayette logo
#322
Bucknell logo
#327
Bucknell logo
#327
NJIT logo
#328
Holy Cross logo
#331
Army logo
#338
Air Force logo
#350
Coppin State logo
#360
Rosemont College logo
Non D1
Washington College logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Navy logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Away
Presbyterian logo
#27173%94%76-55
Nov 7Home
Yale logo
#7634%75%68-97
Nov 11Away
Penn State logo
#14038%78%71-80
Nov 14Home
Washington College logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 18Away
North Carolina logo
#357%30%61-73
Nov 22Home
NJIT logo
#32894%99%86-70
Nov 26Neutral
Gardner-Webb logo
#36397%100%84-51
Nov 28Away
UNCW logo
#11428%70%57-87
Nov 29Neutral
Southeastern Louisiana logo
#29386%97%65-69
Dec 3Away
Delaware State logo
#36194%99%66-59
Dec 7Home
Air Force logo
#35096%99%61-56
Dec 19Home
Coppin State logo
#36098%100%88-55
Dec 21Home
Rosemont College logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 31Home
Boston logo
#25285%97%82-77
Jan 3Away
Holy Cross logo
#33186%97%65-58
Jan 7Home
Bucknell logo
#32794%99%76-55
Jan 10Home
Lafayette logo
#32293%99%76-50
Jan 12Away
American logo
#24366%92%51-65
Jan 17Away
Lehigh logo
#28275%95%82-79
Jan 21Home
Holy Cross logo
#33194%99%85-68
Jan 24Home
Army logo
#33895%99%84-56
Jan 28Away
Boston logo
#25268%92%58-50
Jan 31Home
Loyola Maryland logo
#32093%99%87-71
Feb 4Away
Lafayette logo
#32284%97%65-50
Feb 7Home
American logo
#24384%97%82-73
Feb 9Away
Bucknell logo
#32786%97%76-60
Feb 14Away
Colgate logo
#24066%92%84-80
Feb 18Home
Lehigh logo
#28289%98%72-49
Feb 21Away
Army logo
#33888%98%81-63
Feb 25Away
Loyola Maryland logo
#32083%97%78-51
Feb 28Home
Colgate logo
#24084%97%85-69
Mar 5Home
Bucknell logo
#32794%99%74-69
Mar 8Home
Boston logo
#25285%97%72-73

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%North CarolinaUNCWYalePenn StateColgateAmericanBostonPresbyterianLehighDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games20-2, 2 left
Record:
24-7
#50 Fcst:
28.8-2.2
Act Win %:
77%
#50 Fcst %:
93%
TWV:
-4.8
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 9 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Navy logo
0510152025Washington College Location: Home 11/14 Win Probability: 100%100%H25Rosemont College Location: Home 12/21 Win Probability: 100%100%H26Coppin State Location: Home 12/19 Win Probability: 98%98%H1Gardner-Webb Location: Neutral 11/26 Win Probability: 97%97%N2Air Force Location: Home 12/07 Win Probability: 96%96%H3Army Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 95%95%H4Holy Cross Location: Home 01/21 Win Probability: 94%94%H5Delaware State Location: Away 12/03 Win Probability: 94%94%A6NJIT Location: Home 11/22 Win Probability: 94%94%H7Bucknell Location: Home 01/07 Win Probability: 94%94%H8Bucknell Location: Home 03/05 Win Probability: 94%94%H9Lafayette Location: Home 01/10 Win Probability: 93%93%H10Loyola Maryland Location: Home 01/31 Win Probability: 93%93%H11Lehigh Location: Home 02/18 Win Probability: 89%89%H12Army Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 88%88%A13Holy Cross Location: Away 01/03 Win Probability: 86%86%A14Bucknell Location: Away 02/09 Win Probability: 86%86%A15Boston Location: Home 12/31 Win Probability: 85%85%H16Lafayette Location: Away 02/04 Win Probability: 84%84%A17American Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 84%84%H18Colgate Location: Home 02/28 Win Probability: 84%84%H19Loyola Maryland Location: Away 02/25 Win Probability: 83%83%A20Lehigh Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 75%75%A21Presbyterian Location: Away 11/03 Win Probability: 73%73%A22Boston Location: Away 01/28 Win Probability: 68%68%A23Colgate Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 66%66%A2424WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
24100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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