JThom Analytics Logo
Columbia logo

Columbia #197

Team Page

14-14
Overall
5-9
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Ivy League logo

Team Schedule

Columbia logo

Away

6-7
Connecticut logo
#9
California logo
#74
Yale logo
#76
Harvard logo
#148
Penn logo
#150
Cornell logo
#157
Stony Brook logo
#230
Princeton logo
#250
Fairfield logo
#257
Lehigh logo
#282
Brown logo
#286
New Haven logo
#330
North Florida logo
#334

Neutral

0-0
None

Home

8-5
Yale logo
#76
Hofstra logo
#84
Harvard logo
#148
Penn logo
#150
Cornell logo
#157
Princeton logo
#250
Boston logo
#252
Longwood logo
#259
Dartmouth logo
#272
Dartmouth logo
#272
Brown logo
#286
Massachusetts-Lowell logo
#318
Albany logo
#319
Penn State-Abington logo
Non D1
Sarah Lawrence logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Columbia logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 7Away
New Haven logo
#33077%97%71-53
Nov 10Away
Connecticut logo
#91%14%62-89
Nov 13Home
Massachusetts-Lowell logo
#31887%99%86-72
Nov 18Home
Boston logo
#25275%97%54-49
Nov 21Away
Lehigh logo
#28262%95%82-67
Nov 23Home
Longwood logo
#25977%97%95-70
Nov 26Away
Fairfield logo
#25754%93%106-77
Nov 29Home
Sarah Lawrence logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 3Home
Hofstra logo
#8424%78%72-70
Dec 6Home
Albany logo
#31987%99%93-65
Dec 9Away
Stony Brook logo
#23048%91%73-77
Dec 21Away
California logo
#749%52%56-74
Dec 28Away
North Florida logo
#33479%98%90-82
Dec 31Home
Penn State-Abington logo
Non D1100%100%
Jan 5Away
Cornell logo
#15728%81%104-99
Jan 10Home
Harvard logo
#14849%91%54-79
Jan 17Away
Brown logo
#28663%95%80-86
Jan 19Away
Yale logo
#769%53%74-91
Jan 24Home
Dartmouth logo
#27279%98%79-69
Jan 30Home
Penn logo
#15049%91%72-67
Jan 31Home
Princeton logo
#25075%97%68-80
Feb 7Home
Cornell logo
#15751%92%67-88
Feb 13Away
Penn logo
#15027%80%67-76
Feb 14Away
Princeton logo
#25052%92%75-65
Feb 21Home
Dartmouth logo
#27279%98%63-64
Feb 27Home
Brown logo
#28682%98%80-62
Feb 28Home
Yale logo
#7621%75%54-60
Mar 6Away
Harvard logo
#14826%80%71-81

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%ConnecticutCaliforniaYaleYaleHofstraHarvardPennCornellStony BrookHarvardPennCornellPrincetonFairfieldLehighBrownDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games8-2, 2 left
Record:
14-12
#50 Fcst:
22.3-3.7
Act Win %:
54%
#50 Fcst %:
86%
TWV:
-8.3
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 16 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Columbia logo
051015Sarah Lawrence Location: Home 11/29 Win Probability: 100%100%H15Penn State-Abington Location: Home 12/31 Win Probability: 100%100%H16Albany Location: Home 12/06 Win Probability: 87%87%H1Massachusetts-Lowell Location: Home 11/13 Win Probability: 87%87%H2Brown Location: Home 02/27 Win Probability: 82%82%H3North Florida Location: Away 12/28 Win Probability: 79%79%A4Dartmouth Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 79%79%H5New Haven Location: Away 11/07 Win Probability: 77%77%A6Longwood Location: Home 11/23 Win Probability: 77%77%H7Boston Location: Home 11/18 Win Probability: 75%75%H8Lehigh Location: Away 11/21 Win Probability: 62%62%A9Fairfield Location: Away 11/26 Win Probability: 54%54%A10Princeton Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 52%52%A11Penn Location: Home 01/30 Win Probability: 49%49%H12Cornell Location: Away 01/05 Win Probability: 28%28%A13Hofstra Location: Home 12/03 Win Probability: 24%24%H1414WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
14100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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