New Mexico State logo

New Mexico State #187

Team Page

13-19
Overall
8-12
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Conference USA logo

Team Schedule

New Mexico State logo

Away

3-8
Liberty logo
#119
Kennesaw State logo
#151
Western Kentucky logo
#163
Middle Tennessee logo
#169
FIU logo
#186
Louisiana Tech logo
#192
Missouri State logo
#199
Jacksonville State logo
#204
Abilene Christian logo
#261
UTEP logo
#275
Delaware logo
#304

Neutral

3-3
Tulsa logo
#64
UC Irvine logo
#105
Sam Houston logo
#109
South Alabama logo
#195
Jacksonville State logo
#204
Georgia State logo
#315

Home

7-5
New Mexico logo
#52
Sam Houston logo
#109
Liberty logo
#119
Kennesaw State logo
#151
Western Kentucky logo
#163
Middle Tennessee logo
#169
FIU logo
#186
Missouri State logo
#199
Jacksonville State logo
#204
Samford logo
#211
UTEP logo
#275
Delaware logo
#304
Adams State logo
Non D1
New Mexico Highlands logo
Non D1
Southwest logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

New Mexico State logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 4Home
Adams State logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 11Home
New Mexico Highlands logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 15Home
New Mexico logo
#5216%65%76-68
Nov 21Home
Samford logo
#21168%95%81-72
Nov 25Neutral
UC Irvine logo
#10525%78%57-45
Nov 26Neutral
Georgia State logo
#31583%98%77-58
Dec 2Neutral
South Alabama logo
#19552%92%75-77
Dec 6Away
Abilene Christian logo
#26159%93%69-77
Dec 13Neutral
Tulsa logo
#6413%61%70-83
Dec 21Home
Sam Houston logo
#10937%85%87-78
Dec 28Home
Southwest logo
Non D1100%100%
Jan 2Away
FIU logo
#18638%85%74-89
Jan 4Away
Missouri State logo
#19942%87%82-89
Jan 8Home
Western Kentucky logo
#16357%93%80-64
Jan 10Home
Middle Tennessee logo
#16957%93%55-59
Jan 15Away
Liberty logo
#11921%72%71-73
Jan 17Away
Delaware logo
#30471%96%97-68
Jan 22Home
Missouri State logo
#19965%95%75-84
Jan 24Home
FIU logo
#18662%94%78-81
Jan 28Home
Delaware logo
#30487%98%64-73
Jan 31Away
Kennesaw State logo
#15130%80%53-76
Feb 4Away
Louisiana Tech logo
#19239%86%72-63
Feb 7Away
UTEP logo
#27563%94%88-91
Feb 11Home
Liberty logo
#11942%87%75-77
Feb 14Away
Jacksonville State logo
#20443%88%79-70
Feb 21Home
UTEP logo
#27582%98%67-63
Feb 26Away
Western Kentucky logo
#16333%82%70-93
Feb 28Away
Middle Tennessee logo
#16933%83%85-86
Mar 5Home
Jacksonville State logo
#20467%95%77-75
Mar 7Home
Kennesaw State logo
#15153%91%79-76
Mar 10Neutral
Jacksonville State logo
#20455%93%68-63
Mar 11Neutral
Sam Houston logo
#10926%79%61-69

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%TulsaNew MexicoLibertyUC IrvineSam HoustonKennesaw StateWestern KentuckyMiddle TennesseeSam HoustonFIULouisiana TechLibertyMissouri StateJacksonville StateKennesaw StateSouth AlabamaWestern KentuckyMiddle TennesseeJacksonville StateAbilene ChristianFIUUTEPMissouri StateDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games5-1, 3 left
Record:
13-16
#50 Fcst:
25.4-3.6
Act Win %:
45%
#50 Fcst %:
87%
TWV:
-12.4
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 23 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

New Mexico State logo
051015Adams State Location: Home 11/04 Win Probability: 100%100%H14New Mexico Highlands Location: Home 11/11 Win Probability: 100%100%H15Southwest Location: Home 12/28 Win Probability: 100%100%H16Georgia State Location: Neutral 11/26 Win Probability: 83%83%N1UTEP Location: Home 02/21 Win Probability: 82%82%H2Delaware Location: Away 01/17 Win Probability: 71%71%A3Samford Location: Home 11/21 Win Probability: 68%68%H4Jacksonville State Location: Home 03/05 Win Probability: 67%67%H5Western Kentucky Location: Home 01/08 Win Probability: 57%57%H6Jacksonville State Location: Neutral 03/10 Win Probability: 55%55%N7Kennesaw State Location: Home 03/07 Win Probability: 53%53%H8Jacksonville State Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 43%43%A9Louisiana Tech Location: Away 02/04 Win Probability: 39%39%A10Sam Houston Location: Home 12/21 Win Probability: 37%37%H11UC Irvine Location: Neutral 11/25 Win Probability: 25%25%N12New Mexico Location: Home 11/15 Win Probability: 16%16%H1313WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
13100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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