JThom Analytics Logo
Liberty logo

Liberty #119

Team Page

22-10
Overall
17-3
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
Conference USA logo

Team Schedule

Liberty logo

Away

10-2
North Carolina State logo
#36
Dayton logo
#73
Sam Houston logo
#109
Kennesaw State logo
#151
Western Kentucky logo
#163
Middle Tennessee logo
#169
FIU logo
#186
New Mexico State logo
#187
Louisiana Tech logo
#192
Jacksonville State logo
#204
UTEP logo
#275
Delaware logo
#304

Neutral

1-3
Bradley logo
#122
Towson logo
#159
Missouri State logo
#199
Vermont logo
#236

Home

11-2
Sam Houston logo
#109
Florida Atlantic logo
#127
Kennesaw State logo
#151
Western Kentucky logo
#163
Charleston logo
#174
FIU logo
#186
New Mexico State logo
#187
Louisiana Tech logo
#192
Missouri State logo
#199
Jacksonville State logo
#204
UTEP logo
#275
Delaware logo
#304
Coppin State logo
#360
Carolina logo
Non D1
Kentucky Christian logo
Non D1
Midway logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Liberty logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Kentucky Christian logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 7Home
Charleston logo
#17477%93%90-75
Nov 9Home
Florida Atlantic logo
#12764%88%88-68
Nov 17Home
Carolina logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 24Neutral
Vermont logo
#23682%95%79-73
Nov 25Neutral
Towson logo
#15963%88%69-72
Nov 26Neutral
Bradley logo
#12252%83%64-74
Dec 6Home
Coppin State logo
#36098%100%92-50
Dec 10Away
North Carolina State logo
#3610%31%45-85
Dec 16Home
Midway logo
Non D1100%100%
Dec 20Away
Dayton logo
#7320%52%64-61
Dec 28Away
FIU logo
#18658%85%97-94
Jan 2Home
Kennesaw State logo
#15172%91%81-73
Jan 4Home
Jacksonville State logo
#20482%95%78-69
Jan 8Away
Louisiana Tech logo
#19260%86%72-56
Jan 10Away
Sam Houston logo
#10934%68%82-74
Jan 15Home
New Mexico State logo
#18779%94%73-71
Jan 17Home
UTEP logo
#27591%98%80-69
Jan 21Away
Western Kentucky logo
#16353%82%76-69
Jan 24Home
Delaware logo
#30494%98%67-51
Jan 29Away
Middle Tennessee logo
#16954%83%81-65
Feb 4Away
Delaware logo
#30485%96%75-69
Feb 7Home
Missouri State logo
#19981%95%79-76
Feb 11Away
New Mexico State logo
#18758%85%77-75
Feb 14Away
UTEP logo
#27580%94%73-64
Feb 19Home
FIU logo
#18679%94%90-89
Feb 21Home
Western Kentucky logo
#16375%93%73-94
Feb 26Away
Kennesaw State logo
#15149%80%65-74
Feb 28Away
Jacksonville State logo
#20463%88%81-78
Mar 5Home
Louisiana Tech logo
#19280%94%71-76
Mar 7Home
Sam Houston logo
#10958%85%79-72
Mar 11Neutral
Missouri State logo
#19973%92%69-77

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%North Carolina StateDaytonSam HoustonKennesaw StateWestern KentuckyBradleyMiddle TennesseeSam HoustonFIUNew Mexico StateLouisiana TechJacksonville StateFlorida AtlanticTowsonKennesaw StateMissouri StateWestern KentuckyCharlestonFIUNew Mexico StateUTEPLouisiana TechMissouri StateDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games6-0, 3 left
Record:
22-7
#50 Fcst:
25.1-3.9
Act Win %:
76%
#50 Fcst %:
86%
TWV:
-3.1
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 23 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Liberty logo
0510152025Kentucky Christian Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H23Carolina Location: Home 11/17 Win Probability: 100%100%H24Midway Location: Home 12/16 Win Probability: 100%100%H25Coppin State Location: Home 12/06 Win Probability: 98%98%H1Delaware Location: Home 01/24 Win Probability: 94%94%H2UTEP Location: Home 01/17 Win Probability: 91%91%H3Delaware Location: Away 02/04 Win Probability: 85%85%A4Jacksonville State Location: Home 01/04 Win Probability: 82%82%H5Vermont Location: Neutral 11/24 Win Probability: 82%82%N6Missouri State Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 81%81%H7UTEP Location: Away 02/14 Win Probability: 80%80%A8New Mexico State Location: Home 01/15 Win Probability: 79%79%H9FIU Location: Home 02/19 Win Probability: 79%79%H10Charleston Location: Home 11/07 Win Probability: 77%77%H11Kennesaw State Location: Home 01/02 Win Probability: 72%72%H12Florida Atlantic Location: Home 11/09 Win Probability: 64%64%H13Jacksonville State Location: Away 02/28 Win Probability: 63%63%A14Louisiana Tech Location: Away 01/08 Win Probability: 60%60%A15New Mexico State Location: Away 02/11 Win Probability: 58%58%A16FIU Location: Away 12/28 Win Probability: 58%58%A17Sam Houston Location: Home 03/07 Win Probability: 58%58%H18Middle Tennessee Location: Away 01/29 Win Probability: 54%54%A19Western Kentucky Location: Away 01/21 Win Probability: 53%53%A20Sam Houston Location: Away 01/10 Win Probability: 34%34%A21Dayton Location: Away 12/20 Win Probability: 20%20%A2222WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
22100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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