JThom Analytics Logo
Vermont logo

Vermont #236

Team Page

20-14
Overall
12-4
Conference
0%
NCAA Bid
-
Avg Seed
America East logo

Team Schedule

Vermont logo

Away

8-7
Oregon State logo
#170
UMBC logo
#180
UMBC logo
#180
Buffalo logo
#217
Princeton logo
#250
Pepperdine logo
#273
Brown logo
#286
Northeastern logo
#291
Massachusetts-Lowell logo
#318
Albany logo
#319
NJIT logo
#328
Maine logo
#347
New Hampshire logo
#349
Bryant logo
#355
Binghamton logo
#358

Neutral

1-2
Liberty logo
#119
Rhode Island logo
#144
Princeton logo
#250

Home

11-3
Yale logo
#76
Merrimack College logo
#171
UMBC logo
#180
Siena logo
#183
Iona logo
#248
Massachusetts-Lowell logo
#318
Albany logo
#319
NJIT logo
#328
NJIT logo
#328
Maine logo
#347
New Hampshire logo
#349
Bryant logo
#355
Bryant logo
#355
Binghamton logo
#358
SUNY-Plattsburgh logo
Non D1
Western New England logo
Non D1

Schedule Chart

Vermont logo
DateLocOppRtgWin %#50 Win%Score
Nov 3Home
Western New England logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 5Home
SUNY-Plattsburgh logo
Non D1100%100%
Nov 9Away
Brown logo
#28651%95%89-84
Nov 15Away
Northeastern logo
#29153%95%85-74
Nov 18Away
Buffalo logo
#21732%89%90-94
Nov 24Neutral
Liberty logo
#11918%82%73-79
Nov 25Neutral
Rhode Island logo
#14425%87%65-80
Nov 26Neutral
Princeton logo
#25053%96%79-74
Nov 30Home
Yale logo
#7614%75%74-77
Dec 3Away
Oregon State logo
#17021%83%58-80
Dec 6Away
Pepperdine logo
#27347%94%65-56
Dec 14Home
Merrimack College logo
#17143%93%66-59
Dec 17Home
Siena logo
#18345%94%83-69
Dec 20Home
Iona logo
#24864%97%78-83
Dec 30Away
Princeton logo
#25041%92%69-75
Jan 3Away
New Hampshire logo
#34977%98%80-61
Jan 8Home
Binghamton logo
#35892%100%60-59
Jan 15Home
Maine logo
#34789%99%67-62
Jan 19Away
Albany logo
#31962%97%68-75
Jan 22Away
Massachusetts-Lowell logo
#31861%97%77-68
Jan 24Away
Bryant logo
#35580%99%62-52
Jan 29Home
UMBC logo
#18045%94%64-55
Jan 31Home
NJIT logo
#32884%99%77-79
Feb 5Away
Maine logo
#34776%98%70-76
Feb 7Home
New Hampshire logo
#34990%99%80-57
Feb 12Away
Binghamton logo
#35882%99%73-65
Feb 14Home
Bryant logo
#35591%99%90-63
Feb 19Away
UMBC logo
#18023%85%62-75
Feb 21Away
NJIT logo
#32867%97%70-64
Feb 26Home
Massachusetts-Lowell logo
#31881%99%66-64
Mar 3Home
Albany logo
#31981%99%69-56
Mar 7Home
Bryant logo
#35591%99%77-57
Mar 10Home
NJIT logo
#32884%99%63-54
Mar 14Away
UMBC logo
#18023%85%59-74

Schedule Difficulty

Team logo
0%7%10%18%20%27%30%34%40%43%50%52%60%57%70%66%80%75%90%83%100%95%YaleLibertyOregon StateUMBCUMBCRhode IslandBuffaloPrincetonMerrimack CollegeUMBCSienaPepperdineBrownDifficulty Percentile: Games <95% Probability for 50th Rated TeamWin Probability of 50th Rated TeamHardestEasiest (95% threshold)> 95% Probability Games15-4, 2 left
Record:
20-12
#50 Fcst:
30.1-1.9
Act Win %:
63%
#50 Fcst %:
94%
TWV:
-10.1
Win
Loss
Future Game
Comparing 13 games vs 2,190 total <95% games in dataset

Wins to Seed Map

Vermont logo
05101520Western New England Location: Home 11/03 Win Probability: 100%100%H21SUNY-Plattsburgh Location: Home 11/05 Win Probability: 100%100%H22Binghamton Location: Home 01/08 Win Probability: 92%92%H1Bryant Location: Home 02/14 Win Probability: 91%91%H2Bryant Location: Home 03/07 Win Probability: 91%91%H3New Hampshire Location: Home 02/07 Win Probability: 90%90%H4Maine Location: Home 01/15 Win Probability: 89%89%H5NJIT Location: Home 03/10 Win Probability: 84%84%H6Binghamton Location: Away 02/12 Win Probability: 82%82%A7Albany Location: Home 03/03 Win Probability: 81%81%H8Massachusetts-Lowell Location: Home 02/26 Win Probability: 81%81%H9Bryant Location: Away 01/24 Win Probability: 80%80%A10New Hampshire Location: Away 01/03 Win Probability: 77%77%A11NJIT Location: Away 02/21 Win Probability: 67%67%A12Massachusetts-Lowell Location: Away 01/22 Win Probability: 61%61%A13Princeton Location: Neutral 11/26 Win Probability: 53%53%N14Northeastern Location: Away 11/15 Win Probability: 53%53%A15Brown Location: Away 11/09 Win Probability: 51%51%A16Pepperdine Location: Away 12/06 Win Probability: 47%47%A17Siena Location: Home 12/17 Win Probability: 45%45%H18UMBC Location: Home 01/29 Win Probability: 45%45%H19Merrimack College Location: Home 12/14 Win Probability: 43%43%H2020WinProbLocGameOppWinsNCAASeed- wins to date- future games- JThom proj winsWin Prob = probability team would win vs opponent;Loc = location of the game (H=Home, A=Away, N=Neutral)Game = current wins and count of potential remaining games; Opp = Opponent;NCAA Seed = expected seed by winsProjected seed range for team based on number of victories.Schedule strength factors into range that is identified.Proj Wins is average total wins in regular season and conferencetournament by team based on 1,000 season simulations using compositeratings based on kenpom, barttorvik and evanmiya.

Win Values Over Time

Team logo

NCAA Tournament Seed Projections

Team logo
WinsNCAA Tourney StatusBid CategoryTotal
In Tourney %First Four OutNext Four OutOut of TourneyAuto BidAt Large
20100%100%
Total100%

Rating History

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Projected Wins History

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Projected Standings History

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First Place Probability History

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NCAA Tournament Bid History

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NCAA Tournament Progression History

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